{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.490Z", "seo": { "title": "Guatemala exports to Jamaica: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Guatemala to Jamaica, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "GTM", "country_name": "Guatemala" }, "importer": { "iso3": "JAM", "country_name": "Jamaica" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "all_history_lane_count": 29, "current_lane_count": 21, "current_product_count": 21, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 41028709.75744769, "attention_trade_usd": 26592251.298270393, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2462239.216195524, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 878084.9108818179, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 26987940.749343667, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 9, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 9, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8496176937637282, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 11.414678766082824, "product_concentration_hhi": 4540.616083353211, "top1_product_share_pct": 64.8137644480601, "top3_product_share_pct": 87.3057309986743, "top_product_hs6": "170199", "top_product_trade_usd": 26592251.298270393, "top_product_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "top_attention_product_hs6": "170199", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 1511.0068359375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 15.573604838181815, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.573604838181815, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 13638.230996, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4587, "buyer_population_latest": 2973.462, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.273111595530677, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.154906295390704, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.11241063712987831, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.422, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.324, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 64.8137644480601, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 13638.230996, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4587, "buyer_population_2024": 2973.462 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 7913046.319094798, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 15605543.938996859, "yoy_growth_pct": 97.21284710970875, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 7754250.7500749845, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.31092296182125, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 6487814.518340883, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.33215474392359, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.405231926990074 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 10984284.944939915, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.30639607355647, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.046243451012593 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 9524842.848163944, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.286637264888935, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.095854264794865 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 8679220.375351032, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.878072702017526, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.18625693166786 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 8949390.443159929, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.112837975357552, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.601359415600882 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 6937723.668392332, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.478254664876363, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.025441082923924 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 13062802.909161845, "yoy_growth_pct": 88.28658409493654, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.600158822961284 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 20445077.15337228, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.51370762880252, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.703838503882697 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 11846794.191174708, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.05551731449124, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.52569619436586 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 33747766.429268755, "yoy_growth_pct": 184.86834399815285, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.21540973647326 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 39660706.883621454, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.520983104898246, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.716495530581597 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 26271773.43750971, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.75868585852393, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.40558212639597 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 22851140.40636655, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.020183198821778, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.187916564102263 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 28134828.25930486, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.122206414985857, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.814427189341224 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 29471931.476115126, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.7524840190487305, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.90578701573856 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 26272647.9306772, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.85535757312246, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.7607637012939685 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 21718495.088805735, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.3341981131404, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.266389543891284 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 28050792.94617285, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.15624600818194, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6338860312259174 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 35128075.34822212, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.230240070681752, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.166656712834499 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 41673167.84847899, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.632083982329874, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.263122407490933 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 33203780.454727747, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.32335872460045, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.782573976550198 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 31593044.269454323, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.851062629659319, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.473689451794959 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 36879321.56559777, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.73240872597541, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.9916949519281264 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 44469754.73611082, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.581813461540598, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.228119959667413 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 54984491.56256204, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.644692643004216, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.286322049921356 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 54839533.79619266, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.2636339124904796, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.13975700915735 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "export_value_usd": 51638838.4523969, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.836474386691403, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.108356049252061 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "hs_code": "170199", "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48701191.971051104, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7490003825457181, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "hs_code": "701090", "hs_description": "Glass: carboys, bottles, flasks, jars, pots, phials and other containers of glass, (not ampoules), used for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40435528.788875476, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.54633477570325, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7992739327617677, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "hs_code": "230990", "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19156978.73842689, "current_below_peak_pct": 27.29889009937, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6644726171094397, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "hs_code": "392330", "hs_description": "Plastics: carboys, bottles, flasks and similar articles, for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43860641.57314573, "current_below_peak_pct": 11.972402276972497, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.371819518661994, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "hs_code": "392350", "hs_description": "Plastics: stoppers, lids, caps and other closures, for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16776736.209457735, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.38802959994744, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8771911670451145, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 125171521.61077258, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.248950378812154, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9254285754143896, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "hs_code": "481920", "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: folding cartons, boxes and cases, of non-corrugated paper or paperboard", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18248130.291074056, "current_below_peak_pct": 68.8216696781024, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9910445355086461, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "hs_code": "340220", "hs_description": "Washing and cleaning preparations: surface-active, whether or not containing soap (excluding those of heading no. 3401), put up for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16188339.63367919, "current_below_peak_pct": 76.0489191837201, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.910286112832952, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "hs_code": "190590", "hs_description": "Food preparations: bakers' wares n.e.c. in heading no. 1605, whether or not containing cocoa: communion wafers, empty cachets suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice papers and similar products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25894918.454454552, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.288997234977057, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.671343895957462, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "hs_code": "392390", "hs_description": "Plastics: articles for the conveyance or packing of goods n.e.c. in heading no. 3923", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10076426.641878879, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.83575615483641, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6768598784284798, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GTM", "importer_iso3": "JAM", "distance_km": 1515, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 13638.230995999998, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4586.650509069898, "importer_population": 2973.462, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 15.573604838181815, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.573604838181815, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-JAM/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-JAM/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-JAM/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-JAM/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-JAM/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }