{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.604Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Guatemala exports to Guyana: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Guatemala to Guyana, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "GTM",
    "country_name": "Guatemala"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GUY",
    "country_name": "Guyana"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
    "importer_iso3": "GUY",
    "all_history_lane_count": 8,
    "current_lane_count": 4,
    "current_product_count": 4,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2020,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 5664648.559075286,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 16019.421707027948,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 16019.421707027948,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1202078.3793410552,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9211231491655806,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 1.99805311985359,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5950.944838852508,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 74.0982932291528,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.7172036086623,
    "top_product_hs6": "271320",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 4197407.899704584,
    "top_product_description": "Petroleum bitumen: obtained from bituminous minerals",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 3640.02392578125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 18,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 7409.179921,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9375,
    "buyer_population_latest": 790.329,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 36.661725442922986,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 35.882601991445725,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5733798441144744,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.152,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.3,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 7409.179921,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9375,
    "buyer_population_2024": 790.329
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 218722.61291366417,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 442046.36886358913,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 102.10364304585049,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 363704.0804058833,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.72264042324515,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 212891.61611276644,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.46570589057305,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8966600646598488
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 772012.9168780532,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 262.6319020797541,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.4256261514554
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 699056.4834455616,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.450157094199984,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.33346342739895
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 520070.696033614,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.603909219144803,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.679431636691184
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 393422.5202265791,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.352107660157262,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.124875189720992
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 407621.7860055964,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.6091644603465145,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.456043309650227
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 626011.3655818879,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.57652291266226,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.375091051903836
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 963724.9524054026,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.94687786692247,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.80250496315256
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 419778.32739627175,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.442102453762466,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9843811564458349
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 1825725.4566169893,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 334.92608776191065,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.87330276498773
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 2868579.9217999307,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.12000462081068,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.848261280531545
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 3692220.6369602303,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.71248972012237,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 106.4219505529131
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 2523893.9577395823,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.642926956351126,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.398295117148095
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 3192991.371509966,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.51052005249983,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.635909608440535
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 9446865.288109686,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 195.86253731848524,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.77289064340494
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 6167741.437583459,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.71123754303454,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.69506526153366
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 5286665.701318697,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.285224910627415,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.3027121979783
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 4033148.259369322,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.71092693900997,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.701645051346222
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 4900375.030068117,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.50247684756341,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.380794110064426
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 6619115.91210553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.07366010746979,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.780297779321588
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 6436267.86399695,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7624240236399755,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.859307322719896
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 5247098.084602671,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.47607657919631,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.304943874319698
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 6424838.775382022,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.445562705133515,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9880951384706238
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 10146472.349721659,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.92571151512431,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.384100748766794
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 6986678.898184103,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.14179335071303,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.014653125164475
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 13285029.771377785,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 90.14799398939999,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.39921910815053
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 13978922.397549486,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.223116832351193,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.272079887316844
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "hs_code": "271320",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum bitumen: obtained from bituminous minerals",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12388729.432379134,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9046426324033592,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "hs_code": "210390",
      "hs_description": "Sauces and preparations therefor: mixed condiments and mixed seasonings",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13339292.585910317,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9915321096849551,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "hs_code": "340220",
      "hs_description": "Washing and cleaning preparations: surface-active, whether or not containing soap (excluding those of heading no. 3401), put up for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12551019.11115576,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 36.96359208174408,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8302561138054937,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "hs_code": "340290",
      "hs_description": "Washing and cleaning preparations: surface-active, whether or not containing soap (excluding those of heading no. 3401), including auxiliary washing preparations, not for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15562818.311288105,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 94.69245517071006,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5304324851317836,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
    "importer_iso3": "GUY",
    "distance_km": 3641,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 7409.179921,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9374.804569995533,
    "importer_population": 790.329,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 18,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 9.4,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-GUY/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-GUY/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-GUY/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-GUY/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-GUY/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}