{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.475Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Guatemala exports to Colombia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Guatemala to Colombia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "GTM",
    "country_name": "Guatemala"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "COL",
    "country_name": "Colombia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
    "importer_iso3": "COL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 99,
    "current_lane_count": 42,
    "current_product_count": 42,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 111123141.09376414,
    "attention_trade_usd": 46821718.76859273,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 94959762.43935885,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5421006.305238555,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 46116909.71985529,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 6,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 29,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 13,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 18,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.799102703958538,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 13.997723306392174,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2878.4037698130387,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 46.614884849220296,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 82.14715816962025,
    "top_product_hs6": "382499",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 51799924.26169475,
    "top_product_description": "Chemical products, mixtures and preparations: n.e.c. heading 3824",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "170199",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 2025.9427490234375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.8514000177383423,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.902852506747475,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.063467751111112,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.7664032324505051,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 9.297064518660607,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 314322.45322799997,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6131,
    "buyer_population_latest": 51265.842,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.330966912771773,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.116926115920405,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.166035957976419,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.89,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.468,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 42.13498494349185,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 314322.45322799997,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6131,
    "buyer_population_2024": 51265.842
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 7824439.77026734,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 10404107.717270914,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.96936295434521,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 8910208.73352226,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.358741992537894,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 8375170.213090876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.004780992598368,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.293207557959498
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 8795914.416412044,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.023709281317301,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.443355596692101
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 10790757.705521552,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.67920303302846,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.5912006903451115
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 9367873.326498933,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.186139637761851,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.8044063544139917
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 8374390.931022405,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.605207402476946,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6236409285334208
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 9562999.019154461,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.193367588428817,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.946309259811698
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 11348669.242158484,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.672701099596132,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.60264400302617
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 16408512.230953762,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.585341953563805,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.133038842720936
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 19371648.110553127,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.05852863375128,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.52921686976675
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 27907649.61811796,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.06440514947543,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.97689736107188
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 43011087.07862584,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 54.11934601150561,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.8807820514107
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 35978949.620738536,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.34959247840516,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.921344806486555
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 59784678.92566037,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 66.16571510803648,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.91067421676352
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 66574063.79476157,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.356395971522225,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.675543722947705
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 60745660.99787321,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.754764940978365,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.075458002786426
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 40913002.94500928,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.648682600652414,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.876754121485067
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 50680701.169132225,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.874312617070892,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.691225144508074
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 63574721.703336686,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.441677476352154,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.528912690679718
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 60026508.970313646,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.581169115580753,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.630236277083284
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 65345404.78596144,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.860911465429844,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.840571276008946
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 33734418.08482947,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.375225166442235,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.041413229857827
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 38862920.33833077,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.202581057141785,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.490437568456603
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 37905675.0909891,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.463132567002513,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.60057410499096
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 56488169.69917402,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.02298815040056,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.748489321970887
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 105000055.37057552,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 85.87972655115227,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.27869809626199
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 68090811.82373546,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.15164198397485,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.56113848034329
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "export_value_usd": 124501278.40643801,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 82.84593041529678,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.138391894587468
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "hs_code": "382499",
      "hs_description": "Chemical products, mixtures and preparations: n.e.c. heading 3824",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 292420260.6002368,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3925859452370926,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "hs_code": "170199",
      "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 175781524.44968027,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 14.886939491436591,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4272197195912728,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "hs_code": "400110",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: natural rubber latex, whether or not pre-vulcanised, in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16582002.055809315,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 42.061373838376284,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5699205011692855,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "hs_code": "220710",
      "hs_description": "Undenatured ethyl alcohol: of an alcoholic strength by volume of 80% vol. or higher",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 225349962.6474005,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.4099736652643453,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "hs_code": "380892",
      "hs_description": "Fungicides: not containing substances of 3808.50: put up in forms or packings for retail sale or as preparations or articles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 151399297.6415559,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 43.650329853639995,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3970832424153068,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "hs_code": "380891",
      "hs_description": "Insecticides: not containing substances of 3808.50: put up in forms or packings for retail sale or as preparations or articles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 155810065.10785994,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 19.13930470778632,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2618724818935725,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "hs_code": "841850",
      "hs_description": "Furniture incorporating refrigerating or freezing equipment: for storage and display, n.e.c. in item no. 8418.1, 8418.2, 8418.3 or 8418.4 (chests, cabinets, display counters, show-cases and the like)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21695452.175322082,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.804297023928704,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8994898003934522,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "hs_code": "380899",
      "hs_description": "Rodenticides and similar products: not containing substances of 3808.50: n.e.c. in heading no. 3808.9, in forms, packings or articles for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19064878.421705484,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3516316958529213,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "hs_code": "380893",
      "hs_description": "Herbicides, anti-sprouting products and plant-growth regulators: not containing substances of 3808.50: put up in forms or packings for retail sale or as preparations or articles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 179620064.53030282,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 75.9517094617857,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7266896179541802,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "COL",
      "hs_code": "170490",
      "hs_description": "Sugar confectionery: (excluding chewing gum, including white chocolate), not containing cocoa",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27047215.183128178,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 70.54168530717195,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.000679208729347,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
    "importer_iso3": "COL",
    "distance_km": 2115,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 314322.45322799997,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6131.225801928699,
    "importer_population": 51265.842,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 10,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 14.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.902852506747475,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.063467751111112,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.7664032324505051,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 9.297064518660607
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-COL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-COL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-COL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-COL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-COL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}