{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.563Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Guatemala exports to Chile: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Guatemala to Chile, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "GTM",
    "country_name": "Guatemala"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "CHL",
    "country_name": "Chile"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
    "importer_iso3": "CHL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 77,
    "current_lane_count": 26,
    "current_product_count": 26,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 114890924.97036654,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1938566.1134020155,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 4370347.0271239,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5223274.631707191,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 105985815.2816849,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 11,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 9,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 15,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8541568787416702,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 38.28086549277077,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5343.008341398773,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 71.02092408952669,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 90.70896209988982,
    "top_product_hs6": "170199",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 81596596.6089591,
    "top_product_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "841850",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 5756.751953125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.8514000177383423,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.843065291616162,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.11315820949495,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.19595397303242412,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.917204236462526,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 317058.508652,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 16503,
    "buyer_population_latest": 19212.362,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.4844496965667604,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.8837478598954913,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5838646522571267,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.318,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.669999999999998,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 1.687310041156013,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 317058.508652,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 16503,
    "buyer_population_2024": 19212.362
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 40429493.128107525,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 28526901.092871748,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.440369181776404,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 29599252.176745664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.7590871871528764,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 12218138.748136662,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.721461355919956,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.89283088369134
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 15334543.51755339,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.506378947382615,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.690975253640694
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 12148802.888760006,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.77492965569323,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.68367094588211
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 3452511.5136021897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -71.58146736583872,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.378921935164584
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 8912169.659389088,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 158.13584181477634,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.547849797800385
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 9974700.344596626,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.922244815976413,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.3612824059827044
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 13740072.811587319,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.74922891824439,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.471547729495654
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 18835767.366472557,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.08637228317977,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.33150599723062
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 7565798.623610756,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.83280916349716,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.802071586522487
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 43835850.62396091,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 479.3948901463144,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.21321635853535
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 101656304.75131258,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 131.9022063090677,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 75.40837839070956
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 99810819.5595409,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8154163642741028,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 136.28760917469597
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 97040994.14071906,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.775075318532516,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.329261056376055
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 228059217.49780336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 135.0132740469403,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.90948178162314
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 119450224.89840427,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -47.623154104896116,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.1703176462230225
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 150878714.12248358,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.31095023120309,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.848632685656995
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 106508476.47767913,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.407884275037375,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.41480651360932
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 104462637.3021308,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.9208228708229358,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.370620444744278
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 92501677.08031252,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.44998875265263,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.047947236839832
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 94842974.71461411,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.531086687508166,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.792927823307346
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 128256121.09541959,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.229964561262264,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.07934478180281
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 109337641.39838761,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.750547214005527,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.732061076751971
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 101602433.26880535,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.07460672340452,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.3213623722162957
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 93295089.21651168,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.176323917671613,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.065381988936528
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 137841143.11010596,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.7474798166658,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.028013066081785
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 136682945.4244029,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.8402409176031855,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.39178098473965
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "export_value_usd": 121187856.29661275,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.33651976819612,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.110557039735333
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "170199",
      "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 280630623.82435685,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 39.89036883599512,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8299341248769977,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "400122",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: technically specified natural rubber (TSNR), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip (excluding latex and smoked sheets)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40370650.22641902,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 35.67346302351127,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9154017142617468,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "230990",
      "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 183458339.18532342,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.496362445241914,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.38474868106952115,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "200899",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, nuts and other edible parts of plants: prepared or preserved, whether or not containing added sugar, other sweetening matter or spirit, n.e.s. in heading no. 2008",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23465124.21633305,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 12.506717286640773,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6593948956010227,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "841850",
      "hs_description": "Furniture incorporating refrigerating or freezing equipment: for storage and display, n.e.c. in item no. 8418.1, 8418.2, 8418.3 or 8418.4 (chests, cabinets, display counters, show-cases and the like)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 49324481.979950815,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 39.62010518016436,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9571724645480262,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "470710",
      "hs_description": "Paper or paperboard: waste and scrap, of unbleached kraft paper or paperboard or of corrugated paper or paperboard",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15084993.46114896,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 8.023876005164796,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8457211349603452,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "382499",
      "hs_description": "Chemical products, mixtures and preparations: n.e.c. heading 3824",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 181069759.94543433,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.90053212081008,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8409193384730229,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "120991",
      "hs_description": "Seed: vegetable seed, of a kind used for sowing",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38072797.580073,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.423954326470169,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0674096797435184,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "611020",
      "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 138837082.2919466,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 31.05910286202963,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1846845206202001,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "hs_code": "190219",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: pasta, uncooked (excluding that containing eggs), not stuffed or otherwise prepared",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 49764493.84522808,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.728766338721435,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2277385007951016,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
    "importer_iso3": "CHL",
    "distance_km": 5723,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 317058.508652,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 16502.838570915956,
    "importer_population": 19212.362,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.843065291616162,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.11315820949495,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.19595397303242412,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.917204236462526
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-CHL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-CHL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-CHL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-CHL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-CHL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}