{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.170Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Guatemala exports to Canada: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Guatemala to Canada, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "GTM",
    "country_name": "Guatemala"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "CAN",
    "country_name": "Canada"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
    "importer_iso3": "CAN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 124,
    "current_lane_count": 93,
    "current_product_count": 93,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 564699571.634299,
    "attention_trade_usd": 329728517.5328868,
    "critical_trade_usd": 24453307.185644995,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 344480832.4844031,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 34614832.25918038,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 373957053.77717555,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 14,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 55,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 28,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 39,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0122864092955572,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 7.309008728530329,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2114.320073291768,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 40.42790176929365,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 65.02994919682901,
    "top_product_hs6": "080390",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 228296188.11193642,
    "top_product_description": "Fruit, edible: bananas, other than plantains, fresh or dried",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "080390",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 3398.818359375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.02579999901354313,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.251374527191918,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.513050048545458,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.14443521359596,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.368614834949498,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1990761.6096649999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 52051,
    "buyer_population_latest": 38246.109,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.170733773212577,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2307679188356975,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.8792515966772338,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.134000000000004,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.016,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 58.39007750238208,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 4.330321539801171,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1990761.6096649999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 52051,
    "buyer_population_2024": 38246.109
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 56493416.26377504,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 64078838.92588179,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.427091444938345,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 84304493.26182377,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.56370289314454,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 91128546.46940419,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.094530841181879,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.278625752067512
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 65487795.016827725,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.136903797961022,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7276212655110914
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 92184542.5512972,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.76598933833318,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.023380015709498
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 74635526.42823657,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.036831596029526,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.438526607288297
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 68374220.46116775,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.3891763972338,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4481207993609413
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 73961185.25823054,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.171156847390781,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.0787052717694365
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 88051264.62531644,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.050640302601064,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.664718202837937
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 110836973.13309965,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.877775412701887,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.471024495598385
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 130290038.5939008,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.551061627640042,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.772794910859837
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 144880013.05972403,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.198073638843976,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.056787033843836
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 153809917.43325144,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.1636551412003415,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.540664466074247
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 139379820.20024776,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.381772953142553,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2734475148000532
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 196895475.1778141,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.2654105127509,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.766666638808942
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 233049692.6497305,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.36213729099967,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.856276222716346
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 240187998.57043257,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.062997354573138,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.890232142067266
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 259206717.90789843,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.918263797801206,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.598221255533911
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 412996343.80012816,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.330879667584234,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.01314765911395
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 465565785.64988244,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.728791099224734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.68376782323496
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 610233571.2845148,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.073543222831734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.030109240004336
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 533630683.0016126,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.553043930647156,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.91763316635139
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 445653401.510512,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.486548523828937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.44649907644393
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 492181507.4894402,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.440424289644001,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.915708256572273
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 476440169.05218726,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.1982791303045155,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7082249988581895
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 491097152.1585245,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.076353351039929,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.2896319711910538
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 571739076.6532651,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.420768098591964,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.121333464249811
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 545616311.6212704,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.569001157819585,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.622796706072485
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 576441982.4229579,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.649697442162349,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.486300734576344
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "080390",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: bananas, other than plantains, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 514046896.11025965,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.255761879543939,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "090111",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1040024522.3607985,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 1.4456483310984112,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4714424516961303,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "080719",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: melons, (other than watermelons), fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 116232622.04757875,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.95420393531468,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7875445303138956,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "080310",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: plantains, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42406629.80235795,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4302760209162078,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "170114",
      "hs_description": "Sugars: cane sugar, raw, in solid form, other than as specified in Subheading Note 2 to this chapter, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 814631519.7389851,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.14124328529428,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5714746544204383,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "611020",
      "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 746690229.7238044,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0611351968769016,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "610910",
      "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 641526143.6321151,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7933732878183396,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "070820",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: beans (vigna spp., phaseolus spp.), shelled or unshelled, fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 74068996.83242194,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.19686189099995,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0257429538362626,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "070610",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, root: carrots and turnips, fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 140300470.95912826,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3337750653845388,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "611030",
      "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of man-made fibres, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 744154623.3228526,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1020358597673,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
    "importer_iso3": "CAN",
    "distance_km": 3393,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1990761.6096649999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 52051.3501037452,
    "importer_population": 38246.109,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.251374527191918,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.513050048545458,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.14443521359596,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.368614834949498
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-CAN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-CAN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-CAN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-CAN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-CAN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}