{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.630Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Guatemala exports to Bahamas: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Guatemala to Bahamas, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "GTM",
    "country_name": "Guatemala"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BHS",
    "country_name": "Bahamas"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
    "importer_iso3": "BHS",
    "all_history_lane_count": 8,
    "current_lane_count": 4,
    "current_product_count": 4,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2004,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1416264.8906583043,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1025819.1800625238,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 894187.545735284,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1416264.8906583043,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8746055301450628,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 37.14135738725259,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4512.780990338543,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 63.137026952609844,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 91.69729433020416,
    "top_product_hs6": "441820",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 894187.545735284,
    "top_product_description": "Wood: doors and their frames and thresholds",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 1802.47802734375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 31.39517996363636,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 31.39517996363636,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 11208.6,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 28239,
    "buyer_population_latest": 396.914,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.5837320057948707,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.240316033278101,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.33263746733016575,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 28.464,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 21.665999999999997,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 11208.6,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 28239,
    "buyer_population_2024": 396.914
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 968885.8474789186,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 938418.1903572802,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.1446075098440662,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 195825.12357337167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.13242458580049,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 2047437.7810598996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 945.5439750011273,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.32542174670816
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 1517825.0327547637,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.86709853673651,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.38387206251406
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 1332935.9121985587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.181187987171494,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 89.5164677131771
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 1083437.0480419393,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.717994006560545,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.115682913436373
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 868115.7323980698,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.873911089990205,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.992250675812258
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 465756.7466269585,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.34854210735715,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.56584719733748
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 2039848.3006997383,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 337.9643055033461,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.480410036857656
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 1189901.12903156,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.667175513817234,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.082185721434733
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 364461.2716634236,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -69.370457530362,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.849560567799285
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 681690.8279998827,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 87.04067647259308,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.604731590054023
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 1331364.5736306752,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 95.30328397361161,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.815461760649108
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 838846.7772053815,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.99345815415393,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.03135633164613
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 1454306.2286016836,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 73.36971043111183,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.732875788716683
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 1134649.3532057295,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.980025190657702,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.18983746397792
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 3776244.9397365893,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 232.8116240552686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 65.11727221108472
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 615386.8674010446,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -83.70373539794878,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.924634833920468
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 1784718.077405089,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 190.01562625839998,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.297215773506025
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 3632203.095190812,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 103.51691066366597,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2879913483459626
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 6391920.664301941,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 75.97916462229522,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 118.18642043271686
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 6332141.552630148,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9352292497253889,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.52007051296073
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 5636920.472629421,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.979240975937376,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.77743609783322
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 3266378.9963571974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.053839286585706,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.051239901730234
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 3781935.1286010477,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.783720530251388,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.78531663260131
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 6158753.8750833245,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.84662919010648,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9951988167849386
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 5236996.639103844,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.966619135547287,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.041148190461854
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 5483345.263814632,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.704005782080145,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.181950097441097
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "export_value_usd": 5188979.2949306425,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.368364651895108,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.551217696992728
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "hs_code": "441820",
      "hs_description": "Wood: doors and their frames and thresholds",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11867083.620547995,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 58.82658588775585,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0093720733757214,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "hs_code": "190590",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: bakers' wares n.e.c. in heading no. 1605, whether or not containing cocoa: communion wafers, empty cachets suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice papers and similar products",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39508549.71542485,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7348690866409562,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "hs_code": "440910",
      "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous (including unassembled strips and friezes for parquet flooring), continuously shaped along any edges, ends or faces, whether or not planed, sanded or end-jointed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18871693.68888137,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0300768278871448,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
      "importer_iso3": "BHS",
      "hs_code": "020130",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15627985.323742652,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "GTM",
    "importer_iso3": "BHS",
    "distance_km": 1799,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 11208.6,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 28239.366714200056,
    "importer_population": 396.914,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 11.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 11,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 31.39517996363636,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 31.39517996363636,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-BHS/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-BHS/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-BHS/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-BHS/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GTM-BHS/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}