{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.204Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Greece exports to Japan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Greece to Japan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "GRC",
    "country_name": "Greece"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "JPN",
    "country_name": "Japan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
    "importer_iso3": "JPN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 131,
    "current_lane_count": 55,
    "current_product_count": 55,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 407078421.0064388,
    "attention_trade_usd": 390024000.49607474,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 4403281.540756107,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 12796107.075378284,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 569085.8728518822,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 389477145.52036226,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 407078421.0064388,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 8,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 20,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 21,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 3,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 24,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.14477077152914067,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.952733487323265,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 8413.023805923847,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 91.6963858011813,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 93.63732691952407,
    "top_product_hs6": "240391",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 373276199.4394211,
    "top_product_description": "Tobacco: homogenised or reconstituted",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "240391",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 9517.9853515625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0575999990105629,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.9966357792484857,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.060224438230304,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.018857527631818,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.041366910598486,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11.1,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4937421.880462,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 39285,
    "buyer_population_latest": 125681.595,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -4.67885267787802,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -4.27363742210356,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.4233058113377264,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.977999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.869999999999997,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 95.8105319195747,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4937421.880462,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 39285,
    "buyer_population_2024": 125681.595
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 93263779.70872758,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 84826287.67577836,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.046911951564029,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 83077323.82847951,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.0618182113352757,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 72943238.11974145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.198377657976533,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.865133933175505
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 86543833.2630855,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.645450207485602,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6704219195089456
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 83490016.06106633,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5286363994715186,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.16531215916759656
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 66423888.591890186,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.440920093599722,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.0726321470693985
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 64264917.53685369,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.250293081004718,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.444963684730489
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 97470789.73749325,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.67029457650381,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.2963491244542915
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 96455767.80952041,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.0413601148677287,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.240375810104732
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 86884236.68888752,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.923233558758893,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.57467675824364
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 72814684.25203557,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.193446559508583,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.263610285336144
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 104924595.08329111,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.09812548264658,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.844964627648583
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 109401450.34530908,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.266735800566268,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.984319679868124
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 55193145.37827959,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.54989608997796,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.822280698463636
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 56195195.73863975,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.8155340731033975,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.790414193136684
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 226039661.75976896,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 302.2401893768017,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.366101662062015
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 175712408.7483991,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.2647886745012,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.10895007328799
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 218601359.97801062,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.408606959013234,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 57.271932667248194
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 117993805.17867802,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.023297755079305,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.482270581952477
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 85457518.2369112,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.574572150204936,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.358954006271023
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 79478603.06983468,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.996359466584757,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.62724592980075
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 95850718.35464919,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.599399904435888,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.693466474907172
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 182330951.04421985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 90.223875390889,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.736996807578596
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 405050663.332507,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 122.15134677505853,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 72.08897221882798
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 609154739.9762161,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.38976481718771,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 85.22975485389794
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 486674204.9248237,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.106637445876974,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.715814707612495
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 551651074.3497857,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.351204721236233,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.845578302803949
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 536234263.88264287,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7946669886058206,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.160991751412602
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 422785390.52247804,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.156587894762644,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.582679944259949
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "240391",
      "hs_description": "Tobacco: homogenised or reconstituted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2676374364.5297313,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 18.93780265123091,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.0860828108555288,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "150910",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: olive oil and its fractions, virgin, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 348032507.5746592,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.929827726322383,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5146902269693422,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "760720",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: foil, backed with paper, paperboard, plastics or similar backing materials, of a thickness (excluding any backing) not exceeding 0.2mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28550373.00867413,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.032398264593624,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.846982036111993,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "760612",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: plates, sheets and strip, thickness exceeding 0.2mm, alloys, rectangular (including square)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 493569412.8215115,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.60984310814509,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6613039305754528,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "200870",
      "hs_description": "Fruit: peaches, including nectarines, prepared or preserved in ways n.e.c. in heading no. 2007 and 2008, whether or not containing added sugar, other sweetening matter or spirit",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56799093.37603287,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 84.38086498404617,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6750152856357555,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "200911",
      "hs_description": "Juice: orange, frozen, unfermented, (not containing added spirit), whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 227053772.0070804,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9999722129491835,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "200897",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, nuts and other edible parts of plants: mixtures (other than those of subheading no 2008.19): prepared or preserved in ways n.e.c. in headings 2007 and 2008, whether or not containing added sugar, or other sweetening matter or spirit, n.e.c.",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44083533.50652201,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.57544341390679,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.43043001807257586,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "190219",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: pasta, uncooked (excluding that containing eggs), not stuffed or otherwise prepared",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 293946016.9482625,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 52.00225103145222,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8233267289536184,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "120729",
      "hs_description": "Oil seeds: cotton seeds, other than seed, whether or not broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35346168.06686486,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.93182394092545,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1522209161587236,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "520100",
      "hs_description": "Cotton: not carded or combed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61214544.03522456,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 94.71817051724234,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8179978842716275,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "GRC",
    "importer_iso3": "JPN",
    "distance_km": 9527,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415,
    "importer_population": 125681.595,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 11.1,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 216240.589485,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 20276.544674383436,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.9966357792484857,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.060224438230304,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.018857527631818,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.041366910598486
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GRC-JPN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GRC-JPN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GRC-JPN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GRC-JPN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GRC-JPN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}