{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.150Z", "seo": { "title": "Equatorial Guinea exports to the United Kingdom: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Equatorial Guinea to the United Kingdom, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "GNQ", "country_name": "Equatorial Guinea" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GBR", "country_name": "United Kingdom" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "all_history_lane_count": 51, "current_lane_count": 9, "current_product_count": 9, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 118706552.84748274, "attention_trade_usd": 118263054.16178317, "critical_trade_usd": 73941354.25592685, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 75530423.75465414, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 78833550.4124495, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 118326589.2193933, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 8, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0766606775536984, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 62.503612261580585, "product_concentration_hhi": 5015.973047616493, "top1_product_share_pct": 62.28919337833744, "top3_product_share_pct": 98.34125995609813, "top_product_hs6": "270900", "top_product_trade_usd": 73941354.25592685, "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 5379.634765625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3186859.739185, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 47334, "buyer_population_latest": 67326.569, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.090346724339945, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.290378476461543, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7670585336488678, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.965999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.626, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.62639072986191, "critical_trade_share_pct": 62.28919337833744, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3186859.739185, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 47334, "buyer_population_2024": 67326.569 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 105929.97475279972, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 150382.13734366468, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.96372433260689, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 910718.064453306, "yoy_growth_pct": 505.6025539602912, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 12130504.747907978, "yoy_growth_pct": 1231.9714653063113, "cagr_3y_pct": 385.6089336758921 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1127340.8889592234, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.70656240290707, "cagr_3y_pct": 95.71299758203844 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 524830.8696725499, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.4452378324465, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.78304760434177 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 9440179.88349906, "yoy_growth_pct": 1698.7089611152128, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.018504594298182 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 8475592.876017032, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.217887999868259, "cagr_3y_pct": 95.9017321429124 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 7713567.276948164, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.99082353548546, "cagr_3y_pct": 144.95067095278608 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 23192576.702475827, "yoy_growth_pct": 200.67251467147193, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.93447093262407 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 22536477.179765984, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.8289203529498486, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.53897840749254 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 26869324.992611784, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.225932155607616, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.58881622449769 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 10830539.014058314, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.6918083463713, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.41691886435191 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1165773.3779123183, "yoy_growth_pct": -89.23623859902897, "cagr_3y_pct": -62.74001281178067 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 61859773.523178846, "yoy_growth_pct": 5206.329231326084, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.04354937341194 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 15871226.110017579, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.34321982431663, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.584778621190985 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 470996190.8797572, "yoy_growth_pct": 2867.610615681888, "cagr_3y_pct": 639.2666032421198 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 461363008.5653091, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.045278178673726, "cagr_3y_pct": 95.37911958871695 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1717879128.3977213, "yoy_growth_pct": 272.3486921371902, "cagr_3y_pct": 376.5707403396134 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1804983608.6513321, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.070466182033062, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.489531073493126 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 369760307.73008716, "yoy_growth_pct": -79.51447836103239, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.112093897548933 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 169844443.6046299, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.06633971956482, "cagr_3y_pct": -53.75981316956242 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 66019645.59997574, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.12934624246014, "cagr_3y_pct": -66.8054609630978 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 23747908.31643962, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.02902787401763, "cagr_3y_pct": -59.95315028428057 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 35025273.74935479, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.48782622302927, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.91960391716116 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 14299889.381708805, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.17265491187709, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.9444480060139 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 540227.9057274391, "yoy_growth_pct": -96.2221532537276, "cagr_3y_pct": -71.66539146830394 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 12057227.489887167, "yoy_growth_pct": 2131.8779467068834, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.915501142760338 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 17227553.033489753, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.881545927031105, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.405392780037822 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 121534206.06549034, "yoy_growth_pct": 605.464123832515, "cagr_3y_pct": 508.1917219704585 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29999359070.508434, "current_below_peak_pct": 95.89745736358415, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3724218265385606, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "271111", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, natural gas", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3562777194.430143, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5449917443158057, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "271112", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, propane", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 221395602.4383597, "current_below_peak_pct": 70.28171365651107, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4236298680287903, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "293379", "hs_description": "Heterocyclic compounds: lactams: other than 6-hexanelactam (epsilon caprolactam)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1325225273.5381844, "current_below_peak_pct": 60.502344580836564, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.014756847759459, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "293399", "hs_description": "Heterocyclic compounds: n.e.c. in headings no. 2933", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 185369389.93271264, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.636628136438276, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5229618802089644, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "292250", "hs_description": "Amino-alcohol-phenols, amino-acid-phenols and other amino-compounds with oxygen function", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56745069.01612549, "current_below_peak_pct": 95.19883363396762, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7519036280235789, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "293719", "hs_description": "Polypeptide hormones, protein hormones and glycoprotein hormones, their derivatives and structural analogues: other than somatotropin, (its derivatives and structural anaologues) and insulin and its salts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 51076209.68199271, "current_below_peak_pct": 60.07597722234883, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0203716332668227, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "293729", "hs_description": "Steroidal hormones, their derivatives and structural analogues: other than cortisone, hydrocortisone, prednisone (dehydrocortisone), prednisolone (dehydrohydrocortisone), halogenated derivatives of corticosteroidal hormones, oestrogen and progestogens", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16285303.366509765, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.865505606381475, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5585722066399917, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "290124", "hs_description": "Acyclic hydrocarbons: unsaturated, buta-1,3-diene and isoprene", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11937216.953016972, "current_below_peak_pct": 85.40473784619387, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6362223572400467, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "distance_km": 5580, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3186859.739185, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 47334.35531498716, "importer_population": 67326.569, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 12269.392789000001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 8462.286329799965, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GNQ-GBR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GNQ-GBR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GNQ-GBR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GNQ-GBR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GNQ-GBR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }