{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.195Z", "seo": { "title": "Equatorial Guinea exports to China: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Equatorial Guinea to China, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "GNQ", "country_name": "Equatorial Guinea" }, "importer": { "iso3": "CHN", "country_name": "China" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "all_history_lane_count": 10, "current_lane_count": 6, "current_product_count": 6, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 881355665.4124372, "attention_trade_usd": 881355665.4124372, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 15327363.290284667, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 866028302.1221526, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 10929280.620577252, "access_friction_trade_usd": 881355665.4124372, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 6, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 6, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.69936733997318, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 69.06665348072387, "product_concentration_hhi": 6727.474160427199, "top1_product_share_pct": 80.85954294059417, "top3_product_share_pct": 97.51302652894776, "top_product_hs6": "270900", "top_product_trade_usd": 712660162.7335291, "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 11235.12890625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 17734062.645370997, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 12556, "buyer_population_latest": 1412359.985, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.1812362915018895, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.16286575688667, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.01746865158438471, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 44.900000000000006, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 46.43, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 100, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 17734062.645370997, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 12556, "buyer_population_2024": 1412359.985 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 10423849.87215529, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 12903123.076265402, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.78462117660454, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 66145795.95300583, "yoy_growth_pct": 412.6340000172318, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 59424210.91176206, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.16177210418514, "cagr_3y_pct": 78.63988282510444 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 145142951.0305521, "yoy_growth_pct": 144.24884874966577, "cagr_3y_pct": 124.06139541400951 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 283051878.2499601, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.01593170058852, "cagr_3y_pct": 62.35086171456812 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 453278264.7763233, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.13964209629377, "cagr_3y_pct": 96.84927685889282 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 340789278.93633586, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.816761486566485, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.91173429444083 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 365955737.24879175, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.384756466225961, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.940033970875394 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 894636703.3788617, "yoy_growth_pct": 144.46582258953651, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.43746605765298 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 1291997155.0193858, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.41584501728737, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.92839593432568 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 2284169952.284816, "yoy_growth_pct": 76.79372925945358, "cagr_3y_pct": 84.11956973953205 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 1527902128.9685154, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.10908728835255, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.53165743009375 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 2045038382.4432085, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.84616355131405, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.54132963957553 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 957571934.1019243, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.175845386436585, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.157607051552265 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 538135129.9374981, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.802119634782564, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.379313334347003 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 1510342451.3155262, "yoy_growth_pct": 180.66230344243564, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.609111511389134 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 1652337731.5330963, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.401528778714429, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.943247646203766 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 2226605619.7516665, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.75487348980069, "cagr_3y_pct": 60.54026872012197 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 2899900552.225007, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.238625399159513, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.289915221631663 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 1053326392.4725088, "yoy_growth_pct": -63.67715466434451, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.936028725933348 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 564916944.2701482, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.368291129200756, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.69367541576673 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 1336521962.7428784, "yoy_growth_pct": 136.58733842186578, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.756075317726044 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 1919757679.0775921, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.63831890482126, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.15028439117408 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 1555280957.906508, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.98555870583669, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.1548350108617 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 1068056060.8581415, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.327130610805998, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.2018504228972935 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 1084671399.6357453, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5556616723146455, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.329494759294818 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 1349210721.3674638, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.388890665002894, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.627395467209638 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 1246550427.9867332, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.608914734733318, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.286317110976135 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 893542670.0057, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.3187707497053, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.256959420782337 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 291595370039.4009, "current_below_peak_pct": 68.26831687452032, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6607378394241948, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "271111", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, natural gas", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39691641680.73332, "current_below_peak_pct": 76.75537570363832, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8390123319784105, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "440349", "hs_description": "Wood, tropical: (as specified in subheading note 1, chapter 44, customs tariff), n.e.s. in item no. 4403.41, in the rough, whether or not stripped of bark or sapwood, or roughly squared, untreated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 830047834.1885823, "current_below_peak_pct": 89.65534302149356, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8199820463972184, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "440729", "hs_description": "Wood, tropical: (as specified in subheading note 1, chapter 44, customs tariff), n.e.c. in item no. 4407.2, sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or end-jointed, thicker than 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1781917052.1445398, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2850155324854566, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "271113", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, butanes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2870309730.2851663, "current_below_peak_pct": 75.10394253785412, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5636877171720946, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "440839", "hs_description": "Wood, tropical: (as in subheading note 1, chapter 44, customs tariff), n.e.c. in item no. 4408.31, sheets for veneer or plywood, other wood sawn length wise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or end-jointed, not thicker than 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 227274769.9711631, "current_below_peak_pct": 16.06026609143348, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1768551711255055, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GNQ", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "distance_km": 11954, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033, "importer_population": 1412359.985, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 12269.392789000001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 8462.286329799965, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GNQ-CHN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GNQ-CHN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GNQ-CHN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GNQ-CHN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GNQ-CHN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }