{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.886Z", "seo": { "title": "Gambia exports to Germany: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Gambia to Germany, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "GMB", "country_name": "Gambia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "DEU", "country_name": "Germany" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "all_history_lane_count": 13, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 149108.7294602741, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 79367.85780445547, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7476550248627327, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 41.53952758812619, "product_concentration_hhi": 5020.8422479866485, "top1_product_share_pct": 53.228176574062246, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "030483", "top_product_trade_usd": 79367.85780445547, "top_product_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, flat fish (Pleuronectidae, Bothidae, Cynoglossidae, Soleidae, Scophthalmidae and Citharidae)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 4730.9755859375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.01119999960064888, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.892701414859465, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.8782636827160495, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6162482441270535, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.262015438588996, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4223116.205969, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 50802, "buyer_population_latest": 83129.288, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.422772294996279, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3176380750794765, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.10175824948728263, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.237999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.802, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4223116.205969, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 50802, "buyer_population_2024": 83129.288 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1286154.2309853716, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 609562.515308138, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.6057994738991, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 419018.4952729681, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.259143278987324, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1637322.1493833482, "yoy_growth_pct": 290.7517610449917, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.37947145765483 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 577844.1818864814, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.7079725816871, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7654716931527648 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 578414.0443431386, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.09861870630882841, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.344442599347971 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1028435.3225116276, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.80261951964607, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.359153926580149 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1988338.1720142444, "yoy_growth_pct": 93.33623889525285, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.97087370642326 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1002162.3533572551, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.5979925616961, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.10647422933147 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 286758.1277094156, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.3860606768182, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.66996103299431 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 275406.32022506034, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.9586698291804168, "cagr_3y_pct": -48.25982609155314 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 209296.21308920922, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.004571529740616, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.66998901596928 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 112307.89734148093, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.340215293999876, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.835874380649074 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 139193.56352373416, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.93924810158743, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.344625530868377 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 59652.405192632716, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.144279029496026, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.19045882624009 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 57675.602674916176, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.31386892336184, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.91940677674333 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 182909.22413472016, "yoy_growth_pct": 217.1344826090038, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.531445220330802 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 346344.6858293203, "yoy_growth_pct": 89.35331854790614, "cagr_3y_pct": 79.73259982428561 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 639349.5425581654, "yoy_growth_pct": 84.59920672010506, "cagr_3y_pct": 122.97118356131307 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1375534.8163733922, "yoy_growth_pct": 115.14597646689512, "cagr_3y_pct": 95.91994939254087 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 701694.303162388, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.98752871901779, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.535720043052535 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 157946.1294697293, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.49074935368586, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.2533983158387 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 309233.4051906713, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.78409817882658, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.195142948532116 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 464724.5618112768, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.28278122951517, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.83357682595888 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 613887.6274734852, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.09709103406138, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.226820087108464 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 341646.0437190174, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.34713644171405, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.378445573908251 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 679337.7238343514, "yoy_growth_pct": 98.84255542354951, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.491508450268741 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 805652.4322376229, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.59380157638233, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.484577643683068 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 878806.6511486332, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.08012140022112, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.016324438928436 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 377682.1251054403, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.023296920682654, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.773166453943468 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "030483", "hs_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, flat fish (Pleuronectidae, Bothidae, Cynoglossidae, Soleidae, Scophthalmidae and Citharidae)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30074375.26745139, "current_below_peak_pct": 78.0404858136135, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7515309525426436, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "920600", "hs_description": "Musical instruments: percussion (e.g. drums, xylophones, cymbals, castanets, maracas)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 65209206.4685408, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7432440665587169, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GMB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "distance_km": 5091, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2078.0706840000003, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 835.594421571596, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.892701414859465, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.8782636827160495, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6162482441270535, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.262015438588996 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GMB-DEU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GMB-DEU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GMB-DEU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GMB-DEU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GMB-DEU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }