{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.557Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Guinea exports to Mali: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Guinea to Mali, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "GIN",
    "country_name": "Guinea"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MLI",
    "country_name": "Mali"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
    "importer_iso3": "MLI",
    "all_history_lane_count": 29,
    "current_lane_count": 8,
    "current_product_count": 8,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2000,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 4628202.783870916,
    "attention_trade_usd": 2499641.7231562277,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2020410.146500596,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 29825.82734137632,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3412079.7730367365,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 5,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9084149327546197,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 22.466146375416695,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3776.557406433653,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 54.00890669413556,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 94.33129110490422,
    "top_product_hs6": "252310",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 2499641.7231562277,
    "top_product_description": "Cement clinkers (whether or not coloured)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "252310",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 914.376708984375,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.10316351801156998,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 19143.741502999997,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 918,
    "buyer_population_latest": 20855.724,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.52488252307195,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.405648369829594,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0459590880939302,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 20.709999999999997,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.962,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 54.00890669413556,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 19143.741502999997,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 918,
    "buyer_population_2024": 20855.724
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 66731.58293820974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 717151.8121775618,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 974.6812537649678,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 159673.55708158202,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.7350409815254,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 45385.52692108668,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -71.57605319840287,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.058206519490222
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 92844.51739620708,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 104.56855675078738,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -49.411897755712474
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 625494.8275391656,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 573.7014150980104,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 57.638964766997304
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 931644.9038567524,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.94526106987145,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 173.80687183669377
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 582716.7227640173,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.452915767399034,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 84.4592362723241
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 2307858.68370317,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 296.05156219925124,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.52372299175683
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 4608183.61654231,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 99.67356099759361,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 70.38307592076613
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 11591553.439909324,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 151.5427857149254,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 170.95347175587753
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 8253259.814525991,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.79936362877561,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.92275079779849
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 35966706.14497509,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 335.78788203992536,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 98.36130814839467
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 8594539.681214733,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -76.1041791078345,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.490605445889866
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 17188046.150742725,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 99.98797827777793,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.702774034959997
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 23124559.03475528,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.538613824678535,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.690699324300649
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 5288393.215843674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.1308364933773,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.944897401706815
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 12708154.713563893,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 140.30275728157108,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.575664189706046
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 7706644.334376611,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.35670041732323,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.668496400988655
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 10273250.945361739,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.30381550808574,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.775136157810596
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 7676959.831178814,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.272342007328476,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.465187914450574
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 7646171.183572334,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.40105260784922825,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.2622499782086951
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 14468574.633034492,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 89.22640215170662,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.091483598926377
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 13403597.40615408,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.360622963155395,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.414106887961193
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 14643046.406399028,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.247136889353836,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.183093413700906
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 27707675.345319074,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 89.22070296253919,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.181846670754915
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 24141877.673310377,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.869349837430889,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.669920257245966
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 183828927.29711178,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 661.4524842876682,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 132.41320770260185
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 14966239.530021317,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -91.85860476363861,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.56004335474626
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 14272601.879809165,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.634682271526924,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.071260188296076
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "hs_code": "252310",
      "hs_description": "Cement clinkers (whether or not coloured)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25168610.655108567,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 31.377977688009363,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.1906543770301856,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "hs_code": "380891",
      "hs_description": "Insecticides: not containing substances of 3808.50: put up in forms or packings for retail sale or as preparations or articles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27122633.70320022,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.217933948411994,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "hs_code": "220299",
      "hs_description": "Non-alcoholic beverages: other than non-alcoholic beer, n.e.c. in item no. 2202.10, not including fruit, nut or vegetable juices of heading no. 2009",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17527904.235428132,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 26.930783440211,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.250084778115137,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "hs_code": "854140",
      "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: photosensitive, including photovoltaic cells, whether or not assembled in modules or made up into panels, light emitting diodes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34152841.72936188,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0471896205708426,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "hs_code": "220210",
      "hs_description": "Waters: including mineral and aerated, containing added sugar or other sweetening matter or flavoured",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16551155.67583381,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.86920569862228,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5781938866885228,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "hs_code": "847420",
      "hs_description": "Machines: for crushing or grinding earth, stone, ores or other mineral substances",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14103801.850512212,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3502795465629633,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "hs_code": "847490",
      "hs_description": "Machines, for sorting, screening, separating, washing, crushing etc mineral substances, for agglomerating, shaping or moulding solid fuels, ceramic pastes etc, for forming foundry moulds of sand: parts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25454234.734157868,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9203553908558393,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "hs_code": "843149",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27577317.62260802,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 97.61835944364464,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.207993221780553,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
    "importer_iso3": "MLI",
    "distance_km": 705,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 19143.741502999997,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 917.9130632434529,
    "importer_population": 20855.724,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 11,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 55.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 15850.520384,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1174.3529719452952,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-MLI/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-MLI/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-MLI/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-MLI/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-MLI/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}