{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.134Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Guinea exports to India: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Guinea to India, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "GIN",
    "country_name": "Guinea"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IND",
    "country_name": "India"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "all_history_lane_count": 65,
    "current_lane_count": 11,
    "current_product_count": 11,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2002,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 646448426.621112,
    "attention_trade_usd": 646105254.0785673,
    "critical_trade_usd": 305079581.6135858,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 402766896.4268045,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 306373629.7990735,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 241304742.42521548,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 646448426.621112,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 7,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 4,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 11,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1243243345738239,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 40.93074273285463,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3790.9322074744114,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 47.193181861110034,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 97.91576366332912,
    "top_product_hs6": "710812",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 305079581.6135858,
    "top_product_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "710812",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 9794.4404296875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2277,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1393409.058,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.63597808578098,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.710094876388561,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.8758701905197341,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 35.896,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.939999999999998,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.94691416539779,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 47.193181861110034,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2277,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1393409.058
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 151394.3091646401,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 74319.76742857341,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.909801142028876,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 47236.546268581056,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.44147727725502,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 4738239.164062502,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9930.87553675383,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 215.13923457237394
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 4194054.5490057236,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.484954562534188,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 283.5687738753356
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 4107084.5746045853,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.073649099813357,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 343.01507348335275
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 4337206.3017569855,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.603043301696697,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.904813408381035
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 11557107.649867233,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 166.46432855143397,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.19688404139834
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 13717467.606248163,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.692911945020676,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.47897083441044
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 23128878.383443624,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.60895208463013,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 74.70882013785183
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 14933321.59325251,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.43430275485279,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.918692622733705
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 182378934.86554807,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1121.2884703959928,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 136.90100906253403
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 610267464.6414946,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 234.61510513338126,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 197.70665847024213
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 272297936.1099603,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.38055821640051,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 163.2061164183043
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 49679964.40006276,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -81.75529160823282,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.176043621483146
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 296536093.7972512,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 496.892726027953,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.382520668997206
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 146711498.99969935,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.52491009745024,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.628322670572196
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 282262429.56792235,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 92.39284684051982,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 78.43933654024941
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 526269404.49894434,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.44684852480704,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.071945181774907
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 497418348.6658823,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.482183761096815,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.22857542837018
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 418644295.1761011,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.836579752447777,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.041792273277132
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 233840700.41961944,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.143344812269504,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.69189646616797
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 509179929.06722814,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 117.74649500857701,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7820430889339924
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 346674321.2555972,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.91516368473648,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.094254357198869
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 348258475.7356741,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.45695754861201365,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.198534467385882
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 770435818.1471696,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 121.22528863645674,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.80348267639846
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2481024128.0256524,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 222.02865827192423,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 92.70949113912197
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2445694386.8788924,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.4239982895641878,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 91.49914119219457
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1331513664.8376002,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.55682541608028,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.006025960643626
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 653359939.5068423,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.93103760324307,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.90258651355814
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "710812",
      "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53809527310.56449,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 86.3216416101215,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3597504673496814,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "260600",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium ores and concentrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 251443355.77631167,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8351595497385265,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "080131",
      "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: cashew nuts, in shell, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1343064390.2606008,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0995044305912693,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "780199",
      "hs_description": "Lead: unwrought, unrefined, not containing by weight antimony as the principal other element",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 376851039.48236275,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2759855885275462,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "090111",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 232224814.92726868,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0483198493806642,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "854810",
      "hs_description": "Waste and scrap of primary cells, primary batteries and electric accumulators: spent primary cells, spent primary batteries and spent electric accumulators",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 328233668.1767077,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 78.83721377575694,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9295976961720817,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "180100",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 166567625.66452152,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 18.886875476929234,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7785347541540789,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "400122",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: technically specified natural rubber (TSNR), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip (excluding latex and smoked sheets)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 827893282.4479654,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.798579561266076,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "760110",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 192213205.4590062,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.460690011691839,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "440810",
      "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous, sheets for veneer or plywood, other wood sawn lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, not thicker than 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12409870.95538402,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.118026073367629,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.48069885765781856,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "distance_km": 9594,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3173397.5908170003,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2277.434305882774,
    "importer_population": 1393409.058,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 15850.520384,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1174.3529719452952,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-IND/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-IND/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-IND/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-IND/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-IND/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}