{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.145Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Guinea exports to Spain: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Guinea to Spain, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "GIN",
    "country_name": "Guinea"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ESP",
    "country_name": "Spain"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
    "importer_iso3": "ESP",
    "all_history_lane_count": 50,
    "current_lane_count": 6,
    "current_product_count": 6,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 101439488.43615559,
    "attention_trade_usd": 97599574.97189838,
    "critical_trade_usd": 97599574.97189838,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 849043.9897524276,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 101439488.43615559,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 97599574.97189838,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 6,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6759846353830556,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 78.03382088485701,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 9261.489688034624,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 96.21457725836818,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 98.9311977574622,
    "top_product_hs6": "260600",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 97599574.97189838,
    "top_product_description": "Aluminium ores and concentrates",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "260600",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 3637.762451171875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.07440000027418137,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1425276.586283,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 30116,
    "buyer_population_latest": 47326.687,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.219593086678142,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.4705637441098336,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7239057326687615,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.381999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.082,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 96.21457725836818,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 96.21457725836818,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1425276.586283,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 30116,
    "buyer_population_2024": 47326.687
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 86136572.53842854,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 83769842.54688962,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7476482077146147,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 109872999.77200487,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.16056617929559,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 110233302.48753636,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.3279265299747314,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.569643215185053
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 82855977.66050774,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.835802075442725,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.3649715839869172
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 68499173.11711152,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.32742156784568,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.57241765972892
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 77326023.21837917,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.88606810797055,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.147233942505563
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 73232156.98400973,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.294292999922945,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.032099609665607
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 50710130.31449437,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.75428554485027,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.537247214926802
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 133175167.79447137,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 162.62044086367925,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.866877542347193
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 124631139.65247835,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.415631595207727,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.39191369431057
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 116374459.64012587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.62489329342203,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.90289178594581
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 155389395.29078662,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.525342047825426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.276807843310705
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 181157053.01009384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.582635945707324,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.27730122179267
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 176778642.47554833,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.4169141978157227,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.9539870885677
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 173439159.83111534,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.889075850831301,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7310072056414123
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 178458053.24910706,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.8937486914021093,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.49910940309915164
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 149945327.2783015,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.977270541556932,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.339735426657577
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 135538722.28305733,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.607905265700767,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.890291322821364
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 151999488.8290622,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.144696562528011,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.208660840302947
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 150203096.8200214,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.1818408225444887,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.0572702014366655
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 119304768.91072184,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.57103253092245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.163383588347768
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 195620598.19864067,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.9671238498668,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.773762658430995
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 222751375.25240237,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.869079894241022,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.037363769375544
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 248627312.88431522,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.616510830782744,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.731205445782958
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 458617846.3386716,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84.459961787088,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.84507427981704
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 450249026.16234505,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.824791652382951,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.43795492494727
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 147384260.43100476,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.26605681144487,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.995847096424743
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 169830362.4915433,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.229646635874161,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.189470560675765
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "export_value_usd": 101561372.11405961,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.19834226102128,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.12692240806472
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "hs_code": "260600",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium ores and concentrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 108818881.22705278,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 77.77610613431527,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6649831693337742,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "hs_code": "180100",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 521650903.131717,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 85.55322794550293,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9458938034535155,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "hs_code": "400122",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: technically specified natural rubber (TSNR), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip (excluding latex and smoked sheets)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 225905949.22440362,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.92829553041825,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8090664872760029,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "hs_code": "400129",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: natural (excluding latex, technically specified natural rubber and smoked sheets), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16053525.31292172,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 96.12185064153502,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.10696097370504,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "hs_code": "030389",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, n.e.c. in heading 0303, excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 140092016.91987908,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 91.1377498880275,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5095264372132561,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "hs_code": "030342",
      "hs_description": "Fish: yellowfin tunas (thunnus albacares), frozen (excluding fillets, livers, roes and other fish meat of heading no. 0304)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 165505504.53445196,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 78.90708605910415,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8788247630123533,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
    "importer_iso3": "ESP",
    "distance_km": 3556,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1425276.586283,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 30115.705886680804,
    "importer_population": 47326.687,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 15850.520384,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1174.3529719452952,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-ESP/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-ESP/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-ESP/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-ESP/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-ESP/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}