{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.569Z", "seo": { "title": "Guinea exports to Belarus: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Guinea to Belarus, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "GIN", "country_name": "Guinea" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BLR", "country_name": "Belarus" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "all_history_lane_count": 11, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2009, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1745104.9166075762, "attention_trade_usd": 1517258.9526235121, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 41673.54227743835, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1558932.4949009505, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1745104.9166075762, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6709540111136054, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 81.34388278671567, "product_concentration_hhi": 7678.723203465773, "top1_product_share_pct": 86.94370969815449, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "080830", "top_product_trade_usd": 1517258.9526235121, "top_product_description": "Fruit, edible: pears, fresh", "top_attention_product_hs6": "080830", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 6245.8515625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 68218.816484, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7304, "buyer_population_latest": 9340.314, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3542249002150193, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.9960922051038628, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6172032922380555, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.812, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.426000000000005, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 86.94370969815449, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 68218.816484, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7304, "buyer_population_2024": 9340.314 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 7.656870509986282, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 49.20816446675457, "yoy_growth_pct": 542.666797127835, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 57.855007699354076, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.571968648498128, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 40.79531897294492, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.486969935360708, "cagr_3y_pct": 74.6571396816343 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 1564.3104704520679, "yoy_growth_pct": 3734.5342304824344, "cagr_3y_pct": 216.78304488372913 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 4644.081510111118, "yoy_growth_pct": 196.87722468347553, "cagr_3y_pct": 331.3730005338508 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 3.3605556264807133, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.92763788449527, "cagr_3y_pct": -56.48888106328462 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 1087552.3837487707, "yoy_growth_pct": 32362178.879689075, "cagr_3y_pct": 785.8817280685308 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 22445.829260613147, "yoy_growth_pct": -97.93611511537101, "cagr_3y_pct": 69.0746928523251 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 19659.916950325965, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.411714790933415, "cagr_3y_pct": 1701.870313241479 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 5040.377561849051, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.36216249242355, "cagr_3y_pct": -83.32736299057359 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 5888.450586546153, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.82558527194913, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.984010915282894 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 915880.1098154264, "yoy_growth_pct": 15453.838762067835, "cagr_3y_pct": 259.8202902492242 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 17.49586358541872, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.99808972119844, "cagr_3y_pct": -84.8588996400537 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 91.97190125311589, "yoy_growth_pct": 425.6779741342203, "cagr_3y_pct": -75.00318305677905 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 104762.49289112464, "yoy_growth_pct": 113807.06450963514, "cagr_3y_pct": -51.45747098378013 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 31363430.519392285, "yoy_growth_pct": 29837.65197243541, "cagr_3y_pct": 12047.755957433592 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 64251501.19655411, "yoy_growth_pct": 104.86120342233241, "cagr_3y_pct": 8773.113529622908 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 29268111.619964324, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.44758320832197, "cagr_3y_pct": 553.7268049203872 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 5100613.361441627, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.5727965381873, "cagr_3y_pct": -45.415883957724255 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 13843.931753722649, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.7285830002647, "cagr_3y_pct": -94.00496039048306 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 305448.8640652878, "yoy_growth_pct": 2106.3736624759963, "cagr_3y_pct": -78.14682196446469 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 20219930.08981084, "yoy_growth_pct": 6519.743095685226, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.265315730485256 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 9985414.704062168, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.615978098292324, "cagr_3y_pct": 796.8136686176476 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 2263841.200036173, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.32852097654772, "cagr_3y_pct": 94.97060905979306 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "080830", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: pears, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 58883055.18945895, "current_below_peak_pct": 86.04049190060302, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6546519424562601, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "180100", "hs_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16056000.329808583, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.04956160949008, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6749735138392371, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "081070", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: persimmons, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27071762.380164642, "current_below_peak_pct": 99.29445603059747, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2465263706809138, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GIN", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "distance_km": 6127, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 68218.816484, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7303.696265885707, "importer_population": 9340.314, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 15850.520384, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1174.3529719452952, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-BLR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-BLR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-BLR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-BLR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-BLR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }