{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.532Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Guinea exports to Bulgaria: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Guinea to Bulgaria, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "GIN",
    "country_name": "Guinea"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BGR",
    "country_name": "Bulgaria"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
    "importer_iso3": "BGR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 7,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 8155834.214163253,
    "attention_trade_usd": 8155834.214163253,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 8155834.214163253,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 8155834.214163253,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1972646493326133,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "180100",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 8155834.214163253,
    "top_product_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "180100",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 5287.51171875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.055800002068281174,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 23,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 80271.119426,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 11635,
    "buyer_population_latest": 6899.125,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.593931268104285,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.189451881330982,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.5355909244541324,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.716,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.028,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 100,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 80271.119426,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 11635,
    "buyer_population_2024": 6899.125
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 56244.06338346319,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 219087.87627997805,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 289.5306688392539,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 81177.92308400673,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -62.94732302746531,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 1881.5823308279826,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -97.6821501963276,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -67.77827062857516
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 11924.578919942274,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 533.7527050806707,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -62.10270297875135
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 1407.0728553499969,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -88.2002302572139,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -74.12028140472255
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 168954.545187127,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11907.519336665837,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 347.7980703820454
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 36746.2990704315,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.25077802450781,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.520278666292825
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 55798.187413401516,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.84709433310093,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 241.01056592574307
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 18562.153326978478,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -66.73341162598365,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -52.105443210226795
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 8533.264221992687,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.028694453297454,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.53415412545961
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 16016.770765037412,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 87.69805256653798,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.0342826523795
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 595098.3666588968,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3615.470336616925,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 217.67775200808924
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 508.0633522660987,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.91462531562327,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -60.95181141831687
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 9573.347914853752,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1784.28231876085,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.764279647424573
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 155.52531404770227,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.37543443076594,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -93.60651805766629
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 8405.252537553777,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5304.427304339501,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 154.80677177227497
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 78029.5167425262,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 828.3423239682401,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 101.24805494834455
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 27494.754224084947,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -64.76364922929189,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 461.2412522557651
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 181893.82014954532,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 561.5582691414254,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 178.669256723101
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 328412.6263578928,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 80.55183298029915,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 61.45579704238466
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 299401.619426156,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.833706320451162,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 121.65018650218235
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 2794722.9994037775,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 833.436166698178,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 148.6033299857998
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 8157167.614252986,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 191.87749970187474,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 191.76947020914739
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "180100",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 130297021.573724,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1972646493326133,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "GIN",
    "importer_iso3": "BGR",
    "distance_km": 5136,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 80271.119426,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11634.971018208831,
    "importer_population": 6899.125,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 23,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 15850.520384,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1174.3529719452952,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-BGR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-BGR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-BGR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-BGR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GIN-BGR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}