{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.488Z", "seo": { "title": "Georgia exports to Italy: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Georgia to Italy, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "GEO", "country_name": "Georgia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ITA", "country_name": "Italy" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "all_history_lane_count": 106, "current_lane_count": 31, "current_product_count": 31, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 47125534.03894241, "attention_trade_usd": 28062643.29490644, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 30913710.637594625, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 27058899.354199514, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 1518122.217538293, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 11956160.418667477, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 11, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 7, "declining_demand_lane_count": 2, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 12, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2730814778535309, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 36.190627958212346, "product_concentration_hhi": 1426.630134653227, "top1_product_share_pct": 19.092964246354597, "top3_product_share_pct": 53.757257510489374, "top_product_hs6": "720230", "top_product_trade_usd": 8997661.36495894, "top_product_description": "Ferro-alloys: ferro-silico-manganese", "top_attention_product_hs6": "720230", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 2665.359375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.721847908195402, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.8834974298850575, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.4540202884202376, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.4294771414648206, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2099880.198259, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 35551, "buyer_population_latest": 59066.223, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3456337761183397, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6164129413341017, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26132844935394806, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.387999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.601999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 59.54870086292654, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2099880.198259, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 35551, "buyer_population_2024": 59066.223 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 6479351.383102429, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 3325646.171554149, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.67316225159299, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 14747642.542512923, "yoy_growth_pct": 343.4519423219644, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 16075909.287882445, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.006637783228989, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.377972222938745 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 26190969.960028585, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.92061301795589, "cagr_3y_pct": 98.95667476203427 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 85314461.4959817, "yoy_growth_pct": 225.7399845297237, "cagr_3y_pct": 79.5146997852357 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 13566980.815883081, "yoy_growth_pct": -84.09767748868451, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.499112323534794 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 19024357.112734467, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.22542945194076, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.10832580319272 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 14448933.101002414, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.050347586617626, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.67292525265599 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 19371799.29907971, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.07079376494424, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.606186245000451 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 37923554.48596473, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.76681494819303, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.853804552954074 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 30035168.546610124, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.800755747391896, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.623729307061428 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 43294825.34139465, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.147103000962026, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.744073051304333 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 43597852.85892517, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.6999162489767397, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.757555362961141 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 43539551.21038547, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.1337259629008658, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.17520546061932 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 24172927.184318528, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.48053203967668, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.65616605754502 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 106205418.60231142, "yoy_growth_pct": 339.3568796716066, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.55314643404497 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 53857512.21214823, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.289299057500166, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.346390709661255 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 98453758.86672483, "yoy_growth_pct": 82.80413413621687, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.69856704898757 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 128849058.27083915, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.872665253197606, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.65425618184825 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 146748910.430582, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.8921094185396, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.672057987821674 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 67875686.56001846, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.74705927228922, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.659338981519285 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 58426049.914328896, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.921975783381303, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.17396397912327 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 55755320.283591084, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.571128177677508, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.572447459886895 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 49470208.815618165, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.27266678050568, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.006770745541871 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 35202530.22826043, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.84095080442295, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.539084437475525 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 58237614.048360564, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.4358754065004, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4625453298236835 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 69156149.75503442, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.748253830603524, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.813872155704708 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 46722625.73201723, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.43894303323918, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.896649955686843 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 53699703.67517214, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.932974835731017, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6678974376806663 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "720230", "hs_description": "Ferro-alloys: ferro-silico-manganese", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 204037543.98259532, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.298155116850296, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.31013275036043, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "080222", "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: hazelnuts or filberts (corylus spp.), fresh or dried, shelled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 479674944.92998457, "current_below_peak_pct": 79.28335498836041, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9553797615583723, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "730419", "hs_description": "Iron or steel (excluding cast iron or stainless steel): seamless, line pipe of a kind used for oil or gas pipelines", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 194968130.5364395, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6754000776043905, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "080221", "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: hazelnuts or filberts (corylus spp.), fresh or dried, in shell", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 59881720.36917694, "current_below_peak_pct": 55.20361961513458, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7957359303769054, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "730439", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel (excluding cast iron): seamless, (excluding cold-drawn or cold-rolled), tubes, pipes and hollow profiles of circular cross-section", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 285634826.31324565, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3180110514590666, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "720241", "hs_description": "Ferro-alloys: ferro-chromium, containing by weight more than 4% of carbon", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 241220237.60002404, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8971229114829692, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "440799", "hs_description": "Wood: sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or end-jointed, thicker than 6mm, n.e.c. in heading no. 4407", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43162569.64353992, "current_below_peak_pct": 60.977160524315686, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5275270958097047, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "441233", "hs_description": "Plywood: with sheets of wood only: not bamboo: each ply 6mm or less, with at least one outer ply of alder, ash, beech, birch, cherry, chestnut, elm, eucalyptus, hickory, horse chestnut, lime, maple, oak, plane, poplar, aspen, robinia, tulipwood or walnut", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 162838499.96879166, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6717755810157576, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "610463", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of synthetic fibres, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 242961021.5197125, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.864037651755885, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9318014004641516, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "200819", "hs_description": "Nuts and other seeds: whether or not containing added sugar, other sweetening matter or spirit (excluding ground-nuts except in mixtures)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 130632722.39079091, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.4502111176376, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0559772016038436, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GEO", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "distance_km": 2673, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254, "importer_population": 59066.223, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 13.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 18700.241392000004, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5042.385527731414, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.721847908195402, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.8834974298850575, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.4540202884202376, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.4294771414648206 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GEO-ITA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GEO-ITA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GEO-ITA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GEO-ITA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GEO-ITA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }