{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.127Z", "seo": { "title": "United Kingdom exports to the United States: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United Kingdom to the United States, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "GBR", "country_name": "United Kingdom" }, "importer": { "iso3": "USA", "country_name": "United States" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "all_history_lane_count": 2876, "current_lane_count": 2794, "current_product_count": 2794, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 70790426875.44817, "attention_trade_usd": 13047755806.632961, "critical_trade_usd": 3152402694.5550523, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 13659808256.345934, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 13597996464.77063, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 50427609.60145842, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 14794904361.264978, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 42, "high_attention_lane_count": 564, "high_volatility_lane_count": 941, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1596, "declining_demand_lane_count": 23, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1196, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8242654592972398, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 24.149826920668584, "product_concentration_hhi": 167.96694143203842, "top1_product_share_pct": 6.801030330460117, "top3_product_share_pct": 15.705118143961744, "top_product_hs6": "870340", "top_product_trade_usd": 4814478402.86142, "top_product_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power", "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 5570.1611328125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9512828588485718, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.674475463696969, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.674475463696969, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 69288, "buyer_population_latest": 331893.738, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.1023377268677015, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.47830267128826, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5916240968762754, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.094, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 17.618, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 18.431525818582454, "critical_trade_share_pct": 4.45314830506889, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 69288, "buyer_population_2024": 331893.738 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 27584156819.436573, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 29555937135.82505, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.148234870094372, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 33843598902.673203, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.50693898536899, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 35128889373.22205, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.7977357970854886, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.39308293969201 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 39420443718.56982, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.216595576799305, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.0759033124036 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 43196233412.00113, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.578252645727204, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.47336512007062 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 41047504588.50043, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.9743430243242575, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.3272584677301005 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 41738848455.75906, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.684253096964916, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9231846222026228 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 45202643800.6633, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.29873241130663, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5249191735473344 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 48632491021.49055, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.587713753983838, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.814841334340404 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 52721281377.4629, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.40752811564911, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.097379201465005 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 55129571902.86439, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.567966601872042, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.841569999963415 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 59381962849.7872, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.713448155221148, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.883174598949249 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 60167822941.80446, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3233986454862956, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.502363653065178 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 48936445899.97799, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.666749921614556, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8942730223435973 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 52776507123.21835, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.847037422965153, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8545584217694495 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 55189006108.8416, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.571160762857485, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.838079207967681 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 58216070386.792206, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.484904497067311, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.958748657222124 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 56388772619.37734, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.138820183626534, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2313272424475006 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 57909442607.57563, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.696760219384031, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6168209275391199 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 62488531276.38515, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.907326443875129, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.388805573820685 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 57204641037.75173, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.455776013142168, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.47998024788928895 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 56216264300.42841, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.7277911711237715, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9842687421143137 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 63717862888.3221, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.34417838190738, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6515099880009867 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 68972120907.17476, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.246130332496815, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.434095072828483 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 54000154906.57733, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.707272161091375, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3316934533298408 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 56805068231.22314, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.194269034039678, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7556386650087203 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 66453808956.76695, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.985703962662168, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.232188085562469 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 68745902295.78323, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4491526896636593, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.380363584795546 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 71150852377.74051, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4983177202472904, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.794765928425251 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "870340", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29492512581.510124, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.4241517707978644, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "870324", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31336665700.532017, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.524204869755469, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.24057967318751208, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76827257588.05873, "current_below_peak_pct": 40.16977156757284, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4734068005452525, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "300215", "hs_description": "Blood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and immunological products: immunological products, put up in measured doses or in forms or packings for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 67607759105.87304, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7397389348094247, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "841112", "hs_description": "Turbo-jets: of a thrust exceeding 25kN", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 9939140976.18053, "current_below_peak_pct": 11.119434553327537, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.36303643813090486, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "880330", "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13523674535.419735, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.9772777337177976, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.29257813879753836, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "841191", "hs_description": "Turbines: parts of turbo-jets and turbo-propellers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20258571505.276894, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.663071623997123, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.31580590840114847, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 164969722936.03137, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.77014121036807, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6385622902688667, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "220830", "hs_description": "Whiskies", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2149537837.6442657, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.198612519659314, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3815611286020475, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25740609280.741768, "current_below_peak_pct": 75.92294737995346, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6685346381463801, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "USA", "distance_km": 5585, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 22996100, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179, "importer_population": 331893.738, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 3186859.739185, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 47334.35531498716, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.674475463696969, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.674475463696969, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-USA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-USA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-USA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-USA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-USA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }