{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.183Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United Kingdom exports to Paraguay: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United Kingdom to Paraguay, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "GBR",
    "country_name": "United Kingdom"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "PRY",
    "country_name": "Paraguay"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
    "importer_iso3": "PRY",
    "all_history_lane_count": 73,
    "current_lane_count": 48,
    "current_product_count": 48,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 40222609.839635774,
    "attention_trade_usd": 34459011.818094775,
    "critical_trade_usd": 16618990.69856505,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 16314933.627728079,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 26369902.39572986,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 24370790.718873806,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 40222609.839635774,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 6,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 25,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 24,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 19,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 48,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2278044750989208,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 52.33110002490901,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2139.508742028426,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 41.31753450316524,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 64.48201278305847,
    "top_product_hs6": "220830",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 16618990.69856505,
    "top_product_description": "Whiskies",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "220830",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 10216.666015625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0559999980032444,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 35,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 38986.810989,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5400,
    "buyer_population_latest": 7219.641,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2296186225791113,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9651940186437677,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.240055114987726,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.45,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.94,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 85.67075074312685,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 41.31753450316524,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 38986.810989,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5400,
    "buyer_population_2024": 7219.641
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 99728960.37041397,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 84984281.33379114,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.784751572520205,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 86388312.58564447,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.6521069894546159,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 65919715.78724136,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.69371062562514,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.890669040958368
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 44953007.65478552,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.806429809446946,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.126411111018516
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 32923049.19914143,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.761187033418498,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.49827272106844
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 35664511.827325486,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.326879480699944,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.515753757729957
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 20492634.16303462,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.540544891649,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.03740944300825
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 24164071.673694517,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.915888613688182,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.796507113917396
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 28925501.349682648,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.704583483633332,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.742979249208913
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 23955046.180955756,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.183643970898444,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.341559096060711
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 23619762.299194686,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.3996378016904898,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7565615964690187
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 22182155.175281454,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.086458897015435,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.467719812661013
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 31670179.90629831,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.773232159108574,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.753363710959162
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 28183150.725692894,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.01044954882603,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.064815340650642
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 44367979.66937934,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.42732280437226,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.995578445612466
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 65110966.27410186,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.7521549534029,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.155320446686048
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 51686821.52357977,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.617333021920757,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.404324327248194
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 57330115.30359831,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.918244948461453,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.919186081853091
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 57643802.74244942,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.5471599650374692,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.9790140663539475
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 41638656.59733952,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.765597312551282,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.95230316292812
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 39722778.31508217,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.601200996431187,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.51175119321175
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 42123912.13762969,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.044727796987548,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.927539814947117
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 52210613.04135909,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.94530895129956,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.833581006030488
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 52774303.771617845,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0796477907896396,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.93288666078287
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 30404276.037159223,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.38810583132558,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.298028231958789
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 65597833.11376102,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 115.751998283364,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.905496407108892
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 50461414.76078642,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.074570659559335,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.4827448260843812
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 46955514.32872583,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.947685570609541,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.589214308795585
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "export_value_usd": 52940655.579696864,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.746407608423361,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.896371459739015
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "220830",
      "hs_description": "Whiskies",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20740820.65853448,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 80.66155992139312,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6862271736364859,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "271012",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 558837911.7591144,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 68.32905096711944,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4255329225901976,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 169857041.24745184,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.4456991695745365,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "870360",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, capable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17584880.37424382,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3544175274521451,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 964659533.3148592,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 4.156292759163818,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "382200",
      "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40868948.148965225,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.9894820023543,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5949247891786937,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 143460469.22952843,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.724983044814486,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8505473925185527,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "870333",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 2500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 73471559.56439802,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.98479932460207,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9539859001155268,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "854370",
      "hs_description": "Electrical machines and apparatus: having individual functions, not specified or included elsewhere in this chapter, n.e.c. in heading no. 8543",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 130055503.51816073,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3142021062997722,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PRY",
      "hs_code": "870340",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36336185.4494941,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 70.9639488661912,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1441974831918411,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
    "importer_iso3": "PRY",
    "distance_km": 10191,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 38986.810989,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5400.103826353693,
    "importer_population": 7219.641,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 35,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 52.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 3186859.739185,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 47334.35531498716,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.752774503434345,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-PRY/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-PRY/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-PRY/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-PRY/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-PRY/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}