{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.147Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United Kingdom exports to Pakistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United Kingdom to Pakistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "GBR",
    "country_name": "United Kingdom"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "PAK",
    "country_name": "Pakistan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
    "importer_iso3": "PAK",
    "all_history_lane_count": 302,
    "current_lane_count": 237,
    "current_product_count": 237,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 607361919.761584,
    "attention_trade_usd": 128712381.47017932,
    "critical_trade_usd": 88260102.98630157,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 139720364.29662946,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 164667408.10834622,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 154161774.86029595,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 2,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 17,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 103,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 190,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 159,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9990331429720258,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 28.38608225315125,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1314.5280602264509,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 26.539775881922417,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 55.38925414906836,
    "top_product_hs6": "720449",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 161192492.29686588,
    "top_product_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: n.e.s. in heading no. 7204",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "720429",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 6049.916015625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0989999994635582,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 40.086055102424254,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 40.086055102424254,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 346343.170486,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1538,
    "buyer_population_latest": 225199.936,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.97495743635785,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2398006628906222,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.713907734019493,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.71,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 7.442,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 21.192040080600464,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 14.531714965098159,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 346343.170486,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1538,
    "buyer_population_2024": 225199.936
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 448749878.55953425,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 451689751.89141977,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.6551251537543212,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 346841227.8436691,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.21250894196839,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 352797962.9570361,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.7174241800492762,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.705906566747133
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 324142313.8845197,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.122396408509335,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.47070521826894
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 308778195.41139406,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.739929905788021,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8006871444273393
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 319045366.07093096,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.3250957522624525,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.2965153055295238
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 344745847.3315323,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.055431607455965,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.075403461102021
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 471817129.22190094,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.85940900345865,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.179633697788763
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 579378169.3088828,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.797188449763706,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.002827351365916
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 820297767.2676454,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.58244316421966,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.50293963328903
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 838500972.5686308,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.2190972628901573,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.12764927748667
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 792925851.9772936,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.435309210402483,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.02569065115626
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 879858421.630631,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.963518144421247,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.363962396511088
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 733283734.3493152,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.658894621895048,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.37102657810774
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 646980521.170293,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.769416003152443,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.555686887362844
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 754073264.1472726,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.552699729392863,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.012399739062323
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 841132898.2602625,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.545248751318526,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.680114559929738
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 688212925.1080928,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.18023923073966,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.0807549092897615
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 805530520.0442609,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.04670032428435,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2247723821282817
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 778635295.4280895,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.3388213043366255,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.54072964124763
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 831411275.6023208,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.77801025513689,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.503618122332178
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 891247789.771191,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.19698131655977,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.428165586498433
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 966750391.5010953,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.4715611748432,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.4797770191152635
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 912165698.1286118,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.646203389452841,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1381353590428818
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 678231966.968666,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.645968889192115,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.702280433882947
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 931305390.2483768,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.31369731963736,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2373836000800331
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 806711997.6732514,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.378360512000976,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.012445663225361
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 622761754.7322048,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.802467729698172,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.8041118146938437
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 716732580.360086,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.089370038192174,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.359311517030775
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "720449",
      "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: n.e.s. in heading no. 7204",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 953590624.4340684,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 7.807299420229056,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.913645038040055,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "720441",
      "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: turnings, shavings, chips, milling waste, sawdust, fillings, trimmings and stampings, whether or not in bundles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 250942861.44168767,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.49934706105018,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9725135949648673,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "720429",
      "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: of alloy steel (excluding stainless)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 140334047.40905714,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.95889005484459,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.22973694036849,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "630900",
      "hs_description": "Clothing: worn, and other worn articles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 366727867.5432447,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8251808996853595,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "847130",
      "hs_description": "Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 154460035.21904355,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8516512447644448,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "740400",
      "hs_description": "Copper: waste and scrap",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 71012148.62776533,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 19.201867073682255,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9683878911878897,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "841112",
      "hs_description": "Turbo-jets: of a thrust exceeding 25kN",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27791897.571736224,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 89.07576440362536,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9295196574153091,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "482110",
      "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: labels or all kinds, printed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23841447.433229122,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.5374610573106544,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "760200",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: waste and scrap",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 149603477.06851515,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 48.79990731987904,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.677264714332171,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "901890",
      "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 91942121.4593711,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 15.492846067849861,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6641758770815566,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
    "importer_iso3": "PAK",
    "distance_km": 6320,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 1,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764,
    "importer_population": 225199.936,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 3186859.739185,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 47334.35531498716,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 40.086055102424254,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 40.086055102424254,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-PAK/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-PAK/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-PAK/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-PAK/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-PAK/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}