{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.139Z", "seo": { "title": "United Kingdom exports to Norway: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United Kingdom to Norway, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "GBR", "country_name": "United Kingdom" }, "importer": { "iso3": "NOR", "country_name": "Norway" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "all_history_lane_count": 993, "current_lane_count": 967, "current_product_count": 967, "first_observed_last_year": 2004, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 3910465398.488555, "attention_trade_usd": 864010276.5285282, "critical_trade_usd": 148749299.48315006, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 814819375.6085372, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1109622593.8652918, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 1998533.580032316, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 967869998.6534884, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 6, "high_attention_lane_count": 112, "high_volatility_lane_count": 261, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 665, "declining_demand_lane_count": 2, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 302, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.781859274612277, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 34.44062510554704, "product_concentration_hhi": 153.6870687639403, "top1_product_share_pct": 7.197868159277834, "top3_product_share_pct": 16.58619258959694, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 281470143.7973848, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 1157.1043701171875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.8811951279640198, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.7626026818626266, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.487252744353132, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.0095284787272725, "tariff_advantage_pp": -0.5222757343741412, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 482437.01979000005, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 89203, "buyer_population_latest": 5408.32, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.4203268959053013, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.573677479094294, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.8254061252542577, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.656, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 34.356, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 22.09481963099531, "critical_trade_share_pct": 3.803877143130932, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 482437.01979000005, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 89203, "buyer_population_2024": 5408.32 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 3091318996.0640707, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 3105804176.6781983, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.46857605548216164, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 3886379707.9853196, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.132799329994548, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 4111030164.0993543, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.7804556680976615, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.96866350229919 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 3368468066.4834642, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.062676944102908, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7431291049151874 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 3039831366.038665, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.756265873937231, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.862854340614167 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 2705298676.8142223, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.004975241780812, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.019576292555413 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 2677586206.7968163, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.0243774654131843, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.366016009049547 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 3076133448.338491, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.88457180314111, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.39649705280695446 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 3477127388.36931, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.03564838018998, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.726429726292162 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 4159436214.5221047, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.622773339713095, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.814695284964909 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 4082499966.2612233, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8496797232343432, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.893921852086818 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 5736408963.250043, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.512161926690204, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.160730699625205 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 5138147381.242657, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.429200320969322, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.2977700484723185 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 4100516388.5002503, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.194652191768313, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.1468869932828909 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 4557738408.284163, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.150352210911185, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.380358320977642 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 5125613115.041254, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.459572180029443, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.08138129274340988 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 5540238703.491712, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.08928764509611, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.551161111406993 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 5566850808.039502, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.4803422013390568, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.894016474420561 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 5792755817.646177, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.058039588207185, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.162916953428297 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 4790824201.075857, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.29628605297304, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.729030230434783 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 3769842604.183138, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.311188932030557, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.184493221627047 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 3943036603.39815, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.594197089895236, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.033928822273642 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 4610297731.220206, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.92251923928385, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.272172755350931 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 4444353221.586488, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5994315184888936, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.640013946828759 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 4934983142.500129, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.039399805817007, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.766791990776234 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 4516592994.392748, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.478046145775053, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6821457965937028 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 4311644818.356709, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.537672008314186, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0054080295780143 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 4082533249.2150273, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.313785777674562, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.1254174019037215 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "export_value_usd": 4245585833.462211, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.9939070742053273, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.0414781999961273 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3756371422.072165, "current_below_peak_pct": 12.263473473849688, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7447012675236925, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "230990", "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 636636269.3222085, "current_below_peak_pct": 0.32093016838019267, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.432945179347309, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1490723687.904375, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4099613076105043, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "841112", "hs_description": "Turbo-jets: of a thrust exceeding 25kN", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 381073128.5497904, "current_below_peak_pct": 34.39352451236483, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.892658561394058, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "843143", "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 489238181.2740308, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.717941266258904, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3509560307367444, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "848180", "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 617158214.1716421, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.960447750502055, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5190613469383238, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 539408681.7632216, "current_below_peak_pct": 91.13563297504011, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8591256437024425, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "030244", "hs_description": "Fish: fresh or chilled, mackerel (Scomber scombrus, Scomber australasicus, Scomber japonicus), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0302.91 to 0302.99", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 71298984.20749481, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.828034696230475, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5501108283429543, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "841191", "hs_description": "Turbines: parts of turbo-jets and turbo-propellers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 490613870.8859581, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9110925585345515, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "110900", "hs_description": "Wheat gluten: whether or not dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 304918841.1971517, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5652212999552169, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "distance_km": 1156, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 482437.01979000005, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 89202.75053805989, "importer_population": 5408.32, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 3186859.739185, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 47334.35531498716, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.7626026818626266, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.487252744353132, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.0095284787272725, "tariff_advantage_pp": -0.5222757343741412 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-NOR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-NOR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-NOR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-NOR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-NOR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }