{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.544Z", "seo": { "title": "United Kingdom exports to Saint Lucia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from United Kingdom to Saint Lucia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "GBR", "country_name": "United Kingdom" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LCA", "country_name": "Saint Lucia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "all_history_lane_count": 8, "current_lane_count": 7, "current_product_count": 7, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 7526852.2597584035, "attention_trade_usd": 4335818.315087335, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 913544.5116856613, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 126538.40854306702, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 5678800.549396676, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6844863535911024, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 4.192607583823817, "product_concentration_hhi": 3972.6324870431636, "top1_product_share_pct": 57.60466879718595, "top3_product_share_pct": 89.88020622929353, "top_product_hs6": "020714", "top_product_trade_usd": 4335818.315087335, "top_product_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen", "top_attention_product_hs6": "020714", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 6794.7529296875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.4283417761325836, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 15.928568278649239, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.073650950108934, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 6.532375338997822, "tariff_advantage_pp": 9.541275611111113, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1764.9011329999998, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9571, "buyer_population_latest": 184.401, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.9980096230490147, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.7558440232372314, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.23339947941394268, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.584000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.212, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 57.60466879718595, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1764.9011329999998, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9571, "buyer_population_2024": 184.401 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 110520615.50353453, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 30019573.519126777, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.8380326309649, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 27823233.54891581, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.316359670504924, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 26239997.342385855, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.690338629212455, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.078685966974234 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 31747139.511976533, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.98758661341367, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8826018872218686 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 24378835.39401063, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.209348090042027, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.309582096497689 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 24023895.4317527, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.4559348571061337, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.898363938882409 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 21266746.12027076, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.476695439815233, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.501861150615557 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 27564784.373846184, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.614489296848024, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.1790872677019975 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 31266550.166569848, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.429329765539343, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.180608942622026 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 31623991.406917244, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.1432065208446751, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.140178026875173 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 49914083.58222035, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.83612808376377, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.886657475236614 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 29087932.2651327, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.723998163328055, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.3787655990274437 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 27040486.80786367, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.038814029841756, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.0854905437778815 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 24562006.108826388, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.165813902124398, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.0509495337046 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 24850242.34109671, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.1735044401228523, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.113172585074333 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 26920450.61238352, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.330736750454747, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.14819044540334003 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 24953216.823322788, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.30758120429007, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5281217651178505 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 24505577.398555312, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.7939147002044464, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.46447675779746067 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 23674481.81590445, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.3914548069365558, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.192526960794174 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 23936563.529437065, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.1070219638621648, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3769520825675508 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 28382833.683973722, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.575223419471463, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.017966392787754 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 28289854.9505212, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.327587916301042, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.116621079239382 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 27750210.44879979, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.9075548554958965, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.051315069846396 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 27411029.905215085, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.2222629598089174, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.154583959523825 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 30567511.28218563, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.515369498648464, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.614748914495091 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 30354760.724198695, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.6960022228270857, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0354908264812908 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 34806230.42739889, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.664815656581665, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.287222014212237 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 42357449.76187976, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.695021959449747, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.486746341826759 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 51316496.339967445, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.15105283356913, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.126960521352654 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "hs_code": "020714", "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19859675.155626323, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4045017114268328, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11320136.748575525, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4989327977298158, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "hs_code": "870340", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13023476.694821391, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.7619389616827172, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18852780.988207735, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.03865424811269, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5740325481052093, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "hs_code": "870333", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 2500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16215290.645968825, "current_below_peak_pct": 82.44773603929958, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0572760872086837, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10151019.426210878, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.968294514076273, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8880134754519532, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "hs_code": "110100", "hs_description": "Wheat or meslin flour", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10292256.044041859, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.633038070608528, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.040694268203346, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GBR", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "distance_km": 6795, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 1, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1764.9011329999998, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9570.995455556098, "importer_population": 184.401, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 3186859.739185, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 47334.35531498716, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 15.928568278649239, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.073650950108934, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 6.532375338997822, "tariff_advantage_pp": 9.541275611111113 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-LCA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-LCA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-LCA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-LCA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-LCA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }