{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.610Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United Kingdom exports to Eritrea: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United Kingdom to Eritrea, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "GBR",
    "country_name": "United Kingdom"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ERI",
    "country_name": "Eritrea"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
    "importer_iso3": "ERI",
    "all_history_lane_count": 3,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 2908522.633,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2908522.633,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 2.2045770741937822,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "843149",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 2908522.633,
    "top_product_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 5307.5078125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 84,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3444.0975359999998,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 544,
    "buyer_population_latest": 6333.135,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 0,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.324,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 2.354,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "concentrated_product_mix"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3444.0975359999998,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 544,
    "buyer_population_2024": 6333.135
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 1188148.1906384462,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 3552205.227535538,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 198.96988065325218,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 10934413.12005216,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 207.82042195344323,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 13876643.048766274,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.90798213320185,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 126.88438228457603
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 9945126.619796535,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.33189853737196,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.94102402748403
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 7767562.2859440865,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.895792955695914,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.772973140339548
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 7309876.4477231195,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.892271234814295,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.23772579647093
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 7115216.026875072,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.6629782629045695,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.561208064801452
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 11336580.226953482,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.3286863551828,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.431177513127569
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 9168734.735282844,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.122570019100117,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.844944315433122
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 10078146.01870059,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.918612651298297,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.304593107238704
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 5080887.773893482,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.585094674500674,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.47220875325837
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 6672349.973616657,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.322522176151857,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.052353766099975
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 5401308.768428585,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.04937855798834,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.771932804408475
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 4164343.7458761195,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.90120923622625,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.415845084384165
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 4002630.501951367,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.8832827881918774,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.662207831609443
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 3762614.985689259,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.996444491818453,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.353091991185071
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 8321537.92182687,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 121.16368412598769,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.956042995224983
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 11137472.216310339,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.83910907979462,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.6523667316615
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 5178104.499999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.50736325593799,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.231299219476455
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 2442410,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.83196775963095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.54336851009072
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 2492744.322069257,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.0608465437521595,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.28485535227395
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 1353733.29954728,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.69305453583263,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.05782073366667
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 5659721.481,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 318.0824600305498,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.33015771743884
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 2403473.68173397,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.53371098202331,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2082803749911775
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 2590471.2130000014,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.780302846134068,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.150522836770104
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 2915061.454500001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.530162075188422,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.841259437422565
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 7234570.94331653,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 148.1790197646939,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.38579538088527
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 4401621.154999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.1585044989251,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.328623238807662
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "export_value_usd": 5176241.8457679,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.59853162028664,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.093904185521993
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "ERI",
      "hs_code": "843149",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11138241.935999999,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2045770741937822,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
    "importer_iso3": "ERI",
    "distance_km": 5301,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 1,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3444.0975359999998,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 543.8219043175299,
    "importer_population": 6333.135,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 84,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 21.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 3186859.739185,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 47334.35531498716,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-ERI/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-ERI/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-ERI/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-ERI/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-ERI/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}