{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.129Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "United Kingdom exports to Canada: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from United Kingdom to Canada, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "GBR",
    "country_name": "United Kingdom"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "CAN",
    "country_name": "Canada"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
    "importer_iso3": "CAN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 1728,
    "current_lane_count": 1666,
    "current_product_count": 1666,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2003,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 7080428295.366528,
    "attention_trade_usd": 5017019596.353603,
    "critical_trade_usd": 1257693235.677052,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1784449362.1975324,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2567706151.5582542,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 46967971.90094936,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 5285124962.993708,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 20,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 384,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 615,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1029,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 19,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1233,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8901095185215213,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 37.47769898816453,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 224.52800122635165,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 8.897325223725435,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 19.672858564745262,
    "top_product_hs6": "880330",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 629968732.6714388,
    "top_product_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "880330",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 5715.74658203125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.8549883961677551,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.3297100502020225,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.513050048545457,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.36789252848484844,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 7.145157520060607,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1990761.6096649999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 52051,
    "buyer_population_latest": 38246.109,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.170733773212577,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2307679188356975,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.8792515966772338,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.134000000000004,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.016,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 70.85757226913476,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 17.76295420575184,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1990761.6096649999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 52051,
    "buyer_population_2024": 38246.109
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 3442457201.48676,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 4127585235.622849,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.902296355062575,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 4157604363.532379,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7272806300994583,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 3948274403.1626105,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.034869652482232,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.675792972005732
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 5301931463.680507,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.28477664656748,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.704123779331896
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 6990876221.3656435,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.855273295304,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.913040659519066
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 6049714290.013943,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.462717713057259,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.285807396405925
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 5467750793.946472,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.619685627602248,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0318256902584588
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 5979330908.104378,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.356317312857287,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.0765184369662375
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 6643928652.935388,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.114918291781017,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.17236006183943
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 7144443271.952318,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.533413514243503,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.325102524901308
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 8225837244.266026,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.13615450708452,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.218194667408966
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 8682585310.608774,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.552602765890291,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.330508082164425
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 9395967519.15564,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.21624185684906,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.561433232955707
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 7170957940.511012,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.68047328929651,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.471632890033284
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 8935609298.962198,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.608307189784394,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9620989495326748
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 9495820522.51325,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.269423883787262,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.3529931215427773
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 8035803147.670752,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.375368262079125,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.86854260770082
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 7631619367.800374,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.029786972662887,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.12229375146569
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 7526043878.126754,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.383395641023033,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.456749534523787
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 6744872574.66674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.379574130976877,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.670365141469935
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 6377817446.573635,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.441987584342778,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.807036498446195
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 6727130322.661937,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.4769970921002775,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.671595942894401
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 7461673491.045062,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.919116074035951,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.423880977814986
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 7029138679.596336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.796753395438992,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.2943758608024787
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 6950487521.835841,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.1189302323597383,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0947204296094082
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 6666994895.220018,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.078744486990226,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6841059177438518
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 7301669969.306016,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.519657417782557,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.2760363178001777
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 7548625650.249565,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.3821808159184785,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7900017596929727
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 7228806894.426479,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.236781245239152,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.733519568111742
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "880330",
      "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5246671055.912935,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 29.423121851174905,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3240461434007838,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "870340",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2912138430.4135585,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.5260818086594083,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16502829678.026707,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 86.46276685740007,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8573965260421954,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "271012",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 9311054643.257706,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 60.18054829797571,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7693743847575457,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "841191",
      "hs_description": "Turbines: parts of turbo-jets and turbo-propellers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4188773069.4327626,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 22.392321696541362,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4763607938841936,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "890520",
      "hs_description": "Floating or submersible drilling or production platforms",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 249002628.20211154,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2912185394726814,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "841112",
      "hs_description": "Turbo-jets: of a thrust exceeding 25kN",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1570374786.1093028,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.153420449006305,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0007120204751503,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "220830",
      "hs_description": "Whiskies",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 272225762.6309517,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 25.64862548761178,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.46872426975275444,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7905119753.1495495,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 81.76890016615505,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5600612332995977,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15447834496.165428,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.9886429231761,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8536994384544933,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
    "importer_iso3": "CAN",
    "distance_km": 5728,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1990761.6096649999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 52051.3501037452,
    "importer_population": 38246.109,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 3186859.739185,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 47334.35531498716,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.3297100502020225,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.513050048545457,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.36789252848484844,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 7.145157520060607
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-CAN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-CAN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-CAN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-CAN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GBR-CAN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}