{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:18.640Z", "seo": { "title": "Gabon exports to Mozambique: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Gabon to Mozambique, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "GAB", "country_name": "Gabon" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MOZ", "country_name": "Mozambique" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "all_history_lane_count": 9, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 2002, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 975658.1673659292, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 975658.1673659292, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 975658.1673659292, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6901683707415364, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 81.66859381456005, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "890400", "top_product_trade_usd": 975658.1673659292, "top_product_description": "Tugs and pusher craft", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 3845.67822265625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.242294937777773, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.242294937777773, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 16095.828897, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 500, "buyer_population_latest": 32163.044, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.954483087134578, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.817694878255674, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.9926132343610856, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 35.316, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 8.148, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 16095.828897, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 500, "buyer_population_2024": 32163.044 }, "history": [ { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 62.49677457687145, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 87.69115358558984, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.31308684215238, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 268.5419538425008, "yoy_growth_pct": 206.23608295949006, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 14705.88008282703, "yoy_growth_pct": 5376.19464013135, "cagr_3y_pct": 517.3685075461184 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 40544.28842320631, "yoy_growth_pct": 175.7012038371807, "cagr_3y_pct": 673.2583762043434 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 612.4402503559074, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.48945369576306, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.628680260477672 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 10503.728469898113, "yoy_growth_pct": 1615.0617490921081, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.610984246087451 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 7880.158370686095, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.977512573089843, "cagr_3y_pct": -42.074682752901595 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 3596.098629758686, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.36514774708028, "cagr_3y_pct": 80.40806831204117 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 73835.41631145061, "yoy_growth_pct": 1953.208877544198, "cagr_3y_pct": 91.56099339117145 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 25590.547375668695, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.34109421456591, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.08629806806284 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 10037.04731874222, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.77830156815883, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.796370325111674 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 491942.8796739381, "yoy_growth_pct": 4801.270902203791, "cagr_3y_pct": 88.16982616304756 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 182048.25437842106, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.99402595295547, "cagr_3y_pct": 92.3249586918708 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 170072.7482826432, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.578204299001156, "cagr_3y_pct": 156.84803806401723 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 58381.40553528234, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.67268646811156, "cagr_3y_pct": -50.857947773734026 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 180153.110004069, "yoy_growth_pct": 208.57960398914153, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.34821516732237434 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 990726.3080742612, "yoy_growth_pct": 449.93572303685704, "cagr_3y_pct": 79.93113601834582 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 192750.787768224, "yoy_growth_pct": -80.54449688099167, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.90428826054145 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 323204.5425272804, "yoy_growth_pct": 67.68001120489448, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.509965456366366 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 809256.1035297405, "yoy_growth_pct": 150.3851267688895, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.521709257662211 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 863317.826867425, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.6804220693403416, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.83832104883025 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 247325.82000054524, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.35170706505917, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.533091504367874 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 44996.08162631151, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.80696151084739, "cagr_3y_pct": -61.83227825200424 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 5548845.998727475, "yoy_growth_pct": 12231.842680903088, "cagr_3y_pct": 85.92765319673352 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 1323358.0373307436, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.15075210892083, "cagr_3y_pct": 74.90516475992169 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "hs_code": "890400", "hs_description": "Tugs and pusher craft", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13876425.585779123, "current_below_peak_pct": 81.66859381456005, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6901683707415364, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "GAB", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "distance_km": 3822, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 16095.828897000001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 500.4448240968734, "importer_population": 32163.044, "importer_biz_entry_days": 17, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 106.9, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 18269.350434, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 8016.990495557147, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.242294937777773, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.242294937777773, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GAB-MOZ/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GAB-MOZ/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GAB-MOZ/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GAB-MOZ/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/GAB-MOZ/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }