{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.189Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "France exports to Portugal: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from France to Portugal, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "FRA",
    "country_name": "France"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "PRT",
    "country_name": "Portugal"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
    "importer_iso3": "PRT",
    "all_history_lane_count": 1365,
    "current_lane_count": 1358,
    "current_product_count": 1358,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2008,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 7379931615.850158,
    "attention_trade_usd": 3045820275.7381105,
    "critical_trade_usd": 458654991.30182004,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1763180314.2640777,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1792610930.8315058,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 12556768.67850303,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3684456888.2558923,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 7,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 358,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 366,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 692,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 6,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 819,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8005966416602774,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 28.170573515500596,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 93.73554934486569,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 4.373989068851969,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 10.191553403646589,
    "top_product_hs6": "880240",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 322797402.16603637,
    "top_product_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "880240",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 1452.85986328125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.3367120027542114,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 249886.464355,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 24262,
    "buyer_population_latest": 10299.423,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.462941650481978,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.644844908749368,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7817840835313117,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.083999999999996,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.34,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 41.27165987820927,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 6.214894868629262,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 249886.464355,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 24262,
    "buyer_population_2024": 10299.423
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 3865507403.459351,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 3754281371.352923,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.8773979842048436,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 3771667262.8404636,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.463095057823959,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 4240506401.603288,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.430554078350454,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.134445493514293
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 4488190791.004784,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.8409153517100965,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.132443691106659
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 4210220181.4499364,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.193377743922001,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7346419213575066
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 3991549264.8961177,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.1938118941444955,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.9965742528015085
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 4214377465.425821,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.582499068453872,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.0763994643278605
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 4621653805.655323,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.663973945635895,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1567221980002724
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 5656253345.617166,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.385916026333398,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.321385835500354
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 5534617752.879169,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.1504622460422063,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.509400192116924
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 5934383586.668386,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.223007109772928,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.690787337370987
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 6822116033.476834,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.95913491003078,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.44618052045256
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 7475274334.129555,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.574130628203982,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.538398426951678
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 5866646586.60446,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.519313882309966,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.38193447854069085
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 5453206741.668914,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.047294205169418,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.193665422098194
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 5447334541.438087,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.10768343305153083,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.011784961577764
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 4602902777.0300665,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.501742328920598,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.768212609922676
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 5136871493.865087,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.600695098312563,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.9722774746438465
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 5361678813.548132,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.376346964325095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5269161194988659
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 4743766239.542147,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.524610024095738,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0098732323123194
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 5067519390.547991,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.824812494072052,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.4520687322035921
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 5521059721.650093,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.949947620290356,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.98120532366468
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 6691579364.22547,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.200995852034367,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.15064726407402
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 8251567046.20418,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.312697900868052,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.646859334336096
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 5620407894.062106,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.886781473252867,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5962512051680635
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 6411977993.196914,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.083855016485414,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.412664319986101
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 6932442174.046921,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.117061246969627,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.641012029765591
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 7599038832.286815,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.615610797814389,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.57669609613805
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 7986811442.192162,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.1029165459423265,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.5954243619198225
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "880240",
      "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 730787184.4305102,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 85.28458306839396,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.735376632162825,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2111850043.6098886,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 16.289969860628815,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.425010720550532,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "870899",
      "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1262790334.8282695,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.21982469564215515,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "841191",
      "hs_description": "Turbines: parts of turbo-jets and turbo-propellers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 224004265.85563645,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9918769868498701,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 607512148.3476213,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 35.8697190663335,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7414414226442471,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "870332",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 859638764.4876926,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.57207981442247,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4855201542809792,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "870331",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity not exceeding 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 397103597.7267823,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 48.640480152241516,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6697710020499459,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "870380",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only electric motor for propulsion",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1457398661.3325503,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 4.772735671583758,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9947715628453975,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "870421",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 582675441.3749157,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.339130178806236,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4469748666519046,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 893925705.847104,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 39.80746664538158,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.46278454513449485,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
    "importer_iso3": "PRT",
    "distance_km": 1454,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 249886.46435499997,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 24262.180935281518,
    "importer_population": 10299.423,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 6.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-PRT/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-PRT/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-PRT/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-PRT/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-PRT/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}