{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:11.298Z", "seo": { "title": "France exports to Papua New Guinea: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from France to Papua New Guinea, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "FRA", "country_name": "France" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PNG", "country_name": "Papua New Guinea" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "all_history_lane_count": 20, "current_lane_count": 7, "current_product_count": 7, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1399730.3544822447, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1399730.3544822447, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 426761.86937334586, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 774745.7772897169, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 7, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3506686541282862, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 49.73418652520475, "product_concentration_hhi": 2710.241963585192, "top1_product_share_pct": 44.650355348170415, "top3_product_share_pct": 76.96071193283804, "top_product_hs6": "880330", "top_product_trade_usd": 624984.5771925276, "top_product_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 14565.84375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.18000000715255737, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.264865000989907, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.264865000989907, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 41, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 26594.277245999998, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2916, "buyer_population_latest": 9119.005, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.140334920164524, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.142267314450886, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9371957372452453, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.46, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 48.532, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 26594.277245999998, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2916, "buyer_population_2024": 9119.005 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 4245300.083235797, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 6016862.822136968, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.72997677824637, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 6394031.255173496, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.268523052393138, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 5976802.339848003, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.525287391861079, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.077946817625417 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 3595615.8397225738, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.84047597240744, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.769820747124786 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 2480065.670940862, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.025287975919703, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.071691271066335 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 2093873.4549581856, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.571854427393728, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.504643264799448 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 2017263.5257356653, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.6587659603359413, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.523583387154996 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 2323797.0622083084, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.19551276082558, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.1460549691954656 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 2721422.221844495, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.111010513901004, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.13109139670385 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 2749043.2778521646, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0149493079743, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.868025645926128 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 2956069.8120658486, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.530857585313622, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.3524733463054 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 3249315.578609484, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.920123176614037, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.087770371758694 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 3801972.520005131, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.008410787608153, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.414692384699432 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 7846911, "yoy_growth_pct": 106.39052383233451, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.461175230488955 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 30616190.146912567, "yoy_growth_pct": 290.16869373072495, "cagr_3y_pct": 111.21256524671419 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 26130261.862926625, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.652144053391691, "cagr_3y_pct": 90.12749642005775 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 28215459.05383751, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.980008780047276, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.20142252055664 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 14518503.117190644, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.544154147950955, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.01874291398811 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 6512767.185716756, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.14160700213434, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.0676527268481 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 50031776.649681054, "yoy_growth_pct": 668.2107347458461, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.037404322640498 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 72780759.99999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.46906960671355, "cagr_3y_pct": 71.145275447474 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 51633922.030958764, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.05553331545483, "cagr_3y_pct": 99.39909690207567 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 6464968.200061437, "yoy_growth_pct": -87.47922306543911, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.44390872137709 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 9039439.239572428, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.82186701995729, "cagr_3y_pct": -50.106768366278075 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 4655634.311631824, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.49642562726005, "cagr_3y_pct": -55.1583846967806 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 3882232.828635706, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.61216133457519, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.63317058142336 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 6857533.175079901, "yoy_growth_pct": 76.6388951352455, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.797066144190069 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 7559141.70893127, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.231208744290111, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.534277569782386 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 5845924.418701833, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.66417744497683, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.6191559821506 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "hs_code": "880330", "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26973577.328644883, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.41624278920641, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.077713245288226, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 65368894.7174335, "current_below_peak_pct": 10.144387249333104, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3046216015401235, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12441084.222074986, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.05470070141653, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3155964263871822, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "hs_code": "843143", "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17121770.12357781, "current_below_peak_pct": 89.17731860115119, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2714702991709252, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "hs_code": "841391", "hs_description": "Pumps: parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16030076.671444379, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.35573842864696, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.633182882423489, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "hs_code": "940690", "hs_description": "Buildings: prefabricated, not of wood", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17686892.901707232, "current_below_peak_pct": 87.45667751284859, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3996190432199818, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12939489.98379366, "current_below_peak_pct": 98.34492366530651, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.308169589514347, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "distance_km": 14554, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 26594.277246, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2916.357348855495, "importer_population": 9119.005, "importer_biz_entry_days": 41, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 18.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.264865000989907, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.264865000989907, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-PNG/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-PNG/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-PNG/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-PNG/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-PNG/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }