{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.227Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "France exports to the Philippines: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from France to the Philippines, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "FRA",
    "country_name": "France"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "PHL",
    "country_name": "Philippines"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
    "importer_iso3": "PHL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 603,
    "current_lane_count": 521,
    "current_product_count": 521,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1068946870.8648812,
    "attention_trade_usd": 722355366.7197515,
    "critical_trade_usd": 31949367.459557332,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 243332161.92922178,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 498766856.113469,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 290794401.5820882,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 1068946870.8648812,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 2,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 83,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 325,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 268,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 287,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 521,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.000710000178548,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 44.99645583837659,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1029.0458405587374,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 30.068468363735285,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 40.785523626073946,
    "top_product_hs6": "880240",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 321415951.69114506,
    "top_product_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "880240",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 10751.6357421875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.2011278122663498,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.392619136161617,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.392619136161617,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 33,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 394086.419343,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3549,
    "buyer_population_latest": 111046.913,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.14271163092057,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.220520105972713,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.893418793085976,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.322000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.036000000000001,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 67.57635822772897,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 2.988863930506407,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 394086.419343,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3549,
    "buyer_population_2024": 111046.913
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 405500818.58493984,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 523270199.7910406,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.042945367428818,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1382839907.8392308,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 164.26880575111008,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 691424444.1691381,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.99967528782636,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.467836245816805
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 411857914.92778134,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.43341707094296,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.670502620228071
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 583851501.9151386,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.76041803579666,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.98003928155078
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 463309764.5655061,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.645958253808338,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.493111590869155
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 419147719.89230305,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.531861413414934,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5865464212848837
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 379797045.1703299,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.3882592829287,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.353758942381566
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 445702680.0756998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.35285614868667,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2831556234757735
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 505635407.1320323,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.446795304473657,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.452726681531384
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 438553620.24231946,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.266829407814063,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.911647300635447
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 749187224.4324586,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 70.83138522913137,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.89995925305392
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1005903156.1118174,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.26592489932434,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.768794341561097
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 636219632.6155597,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.75140307991669,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.203917289379351
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 803159350.2968446,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.239321945313087,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.3459006733604237
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 864187688.1677064,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.598534194777895,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.93573356204241
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1122809284.7679942,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.926554166564223,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.846193778023125
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1818881331.8730774,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.99379151455027,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.321010308830253
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 2413390665.9919624,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.685438225189856,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.82286791576606
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1010882455.2192128,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.1136005262656,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4397856285335093
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 950725969.1254182,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.9508883335748,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.44663934083052
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 900577448.0377067,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.2747608371152,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.005749825467696
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1465386890.532928,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.71636534158169,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.175011592148245
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1423660272.7033951,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.8474813101649787,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.406404341227752
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 601797494.5533853,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.72885525486855,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.573497922535227
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 939419598.6022879,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.10227810926061,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.774490061608402
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1045884370.8331046,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.333037163501803,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.768307769998808
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1248404501.79283,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.363529717764784,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.536643650947433
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "export_value_usd": 1138592342.045843,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.796200237125563,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.619395048455612
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "hs_code": "880240",
      "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1218588332.7101395,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 81.74228633531179,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9663387253800674,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1162531736.702107,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 16.483375198523323,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5317719917208847,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "hs_code": "020329",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of swine, n.e.s. in item no. 0203.2, frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 760489300.4939373,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.878274353521416,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "hs_code": "854239",
      "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6709526475.297872,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.90481328068748,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6267348120480187,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "hs_code": "880330",
      "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 368211784.1595721,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 56.70116639759294,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.907602568531132,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "hs_code": "300220",
      "hs_description": "Vaccines: for human medicine",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 146935709.99345335,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 35.55819149586263,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.660725927275575,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "hs_code": "020649",
      "hs_description": "Offal, edible: of swine, (other than livers), frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 329607196.3360269,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 2.2300293968558926,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9989375936151264,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "hs_code": "880230",
      "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 2000kg but not exceeding 15,000kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35722096.77693988,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 77.50499246583902,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9522389483363701,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "hs_code": "391710",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: artificial guts (sausage casings) of hardened protein or of cellulosic materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 64712081.762609564,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9343703057706705,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "PHL",
      "hs_code": "420221",
      "hs_description": "Cases and containers: handbags (whether or not with shoulder strap and including those without handle), with outer surface of leather, of composition leather or of patent leather",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 52424328.52148541,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 27.0811651330237,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.054878304179024,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
    "importer_iso3": "PHL",
    "distance_km": 10758,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 394086.419343,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3548.828226706311,
    "importer_population": 111046.913,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 33,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 23.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.392619136161617,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.392619136161617,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-PHL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-PHL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-PHL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-PHL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-PHL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}