{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.217Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "France exports to Nigeria: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from France to Nigeria, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "FRA",
    "country_name": "France"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "NGA",
    "country_name": "Nigeria"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
    "importer_iso3": "NGA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 330,
    "current_lane_count": 271,
    "current_product_count": 271,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1032699425.1677202,
    "attention_trade_usd": 304612078.80097014,
    "critical_trade_usd": 53986477.94912129,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 212910153.4419481,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 170609029.35430464,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 205619875.27462295,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 1032699425.1677202,
    "critical_lane_count": 3,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 50,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 168,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 213,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 176,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9446770831497003,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 29.07348904794805,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3049.254962028378,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 54.47635262894356,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 63.44330502551275,
    "top_product_hs6": "271012",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 562576980.4514403,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "880330",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 4722.14892578125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.1907999962568283,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.20347591656565,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.20347591656565,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7.2,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 440776.971536,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2085,
    "buyer_population_latest": 211400.711,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.702539793973116,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -19.412873862302447,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1223415578896843,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.304000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 20.386000000000003,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 29.49668329209133,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 5.227704851327227,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 440776.971536,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2085,
    "buyer_population_2024": 211400.711
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 337643839.56088567,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 496237559.8584306,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.97071343099288,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 420001132.55849606,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.362889363248467,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 509082687.14803165,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.209836756125576,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.668245048431228
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 487911415.3883192,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.158709831268781,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5624423325258587
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 538677591.0968697,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.404793597244844,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.649104029590182
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 569775589.9018034,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.773026262631631,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.825772365536939
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 743140570.3598399,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.426887976705828,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.056192340137198
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 913120674.2204622,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.87321008168284,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.233901665258358
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 794749051.5457499,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.963415024609649,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.731439214432783
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1163420357.0013316,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.388392001038966,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.115063065767465
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1452770219.1442966,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.870620528658492,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.7408678553538
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1557305120.2091036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.195556440190498,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.13570106578511
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2058182988.6052814,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.163117034439814,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.943474754499025
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1879144603.3078022,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.698856529700683,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.956821178363406
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2340529055.4568,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.55289770339315,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.546047587882827
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2138227376.416707,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.64341669112968,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.2799085298281998
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1409391550.3147867,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.08598328412206,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.143259133074888
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1813592299.2869675,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.67909552046788,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.15083579444159
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1707959548.9996653,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.824503684142945,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.21568517129797
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1241391950.5386374,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.317251086789017,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.142576014079413
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1429884810.4143307,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.183992436386152,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.618048984112969
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1384687365.0919602,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.1609151305883043,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.755179721273519
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1197527867.8436174,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.516372140502131,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1919713628408934
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 842596528.8995919,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.638670504023313,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.162264811449933
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 849808596.2558746,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.8559336656301486,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.018747011908973
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1141460017.6467578,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.31966005943625,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5856658712354643
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1272597054.1131723,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.488535247758168,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.733545917207547
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 825039829.0537921,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.1688088238792,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9811378084237821
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1118946118.3785121,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.62328495847169,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6618296507019616
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "271012",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10124677008.770359,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.684720000636087,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7676713341408472,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "880330",
      "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 179861447.8844034,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.608807076279289,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "300220",
      "hs_description": "Vaccines: for human medicine",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 188838008.24723455,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 6.921848938966205,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7481257545080852,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "490700",
      "hs_description": "Unused postage, revenue or similar stamps of current or new issue in the country in which they have, or will have, a recognised face value: stamp-impressed paper: cheque forms: banknotes, stock, share or bond certificates and the like of similar title",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 100232895.23788756,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.113927015088148,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "110710",
      "hs_description": "Malt: not roasted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 101344474.55905816,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.81311492421229,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8230013116389213,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "220820",
      "hs_description": "Spirits obtained by distilling grape wine or grape marc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22726344.530355163,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 56.717536056798814,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8162475859131865,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3080432595.447777,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 85.99189156761416,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8506060239078086,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "220410",
      "hs_description": "Wine: sparkling",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20903076.88992712,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 38.07585219665732,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7602602670392412,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 363544610.5011937,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 95.10410797408537,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8426127245781374,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "190190",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for uses n.e.s. in heading no. 1901",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 236278346.35645583,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 14.662994809418986,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.898578759395922,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
    "importer_iso3": "NGA",
    "distance_km": 4701,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 440776.971536,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2085.030695738767,
    "importer_population": 211400.711,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.2,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 26.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.20347591656565,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.20347591656565,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-NGA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-NGA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-NGA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-NGA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-NGA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}