{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.290Z", "seo": { "title": "France exports to Montenegro: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from France to Montenegro, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "FRA", "country_name": "France" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MNE", "country_name": "Montenegro" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "all_history_lane_count": 44, "current_lane_count": 40, "current_product_count": 40, "first_observed_last_year": 2012, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 73501873.99906014, "attention_trade_usd": 20848807.67262528, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 5574042.797718526, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2216090.2969175205, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 38709633.27004548, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 17, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 12, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 15, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9422121980368984, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 7.399726658826894, "product_concentration_hhi": 1114.1309553647768, "top1_product_share_pct": 21.254796730658196, "top3_product_share_pct": 48.03289421579994, "top_product_hs6": "890391", "top_product_trade_usd": 15622673.91172474, "top_product_description": "Sailboats: with or without auxiliary motor, for pleasure or sports, other than inflatable", "top_attention_product_hs6": "870331", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.1489947997777774, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777777, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.0741808150914074, "tariff_advantage_pp": 6.173644282686369, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.565059222520688, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.67723581432076, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.10321995306518117, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.522, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 1.8219999999999998, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 28.365001513963943, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 22561709.75149038, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 28598297.868584048, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.755898305512527, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 57043412.01191092, "yoy_growth_pct": 99.46436069041211, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 21874812.11376062, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.652342764501775, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0253196394366726 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 26457525.56381737, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.94972713925134, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5602084136570724 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 34498585.823089965, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.392336728077616, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.433452726798935 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 49543633.3689972, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.61062109345235, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.32513035422115 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 29722885.80706622, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.00664911737006, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.9554468390759157 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 41195046.875186235, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.59706336251059, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.091657904047465 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 27357047.30166506, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.591416015250296, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.959722115769893 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 34096966.4439971, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.63686620859051, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.682701817097623 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 50394059.5956232, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.796314016361016, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.949341428571265 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 53181997.42606056, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.53227474192115, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.804949180281245 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 58089840.14426201, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.228391101753687, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.434046409296556 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 52942926.26922659, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.860265172452575, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.65830532218596 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 54870807.72094091, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.6414334974810725, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0474991503934827 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 68444003.98437712, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.736643813347992, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.619735488206445 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 99945361.40434392, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.02500670059753, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.59044621812196 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 105240795.85144329, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.298329379865763, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.245573044654133 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "890391", "hs_description": "Sailboats: with or without auxiliary motor, for pleasure or sports, other than inflatable", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32239869.04559476, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9943549534516952, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "870331", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity not exceeding 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19246170.914876837, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9504866598377489, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "870332", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 83163936.94812907, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.448703966714284, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6903793824304042, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 119342805.32952392, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9456262593257179, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22285693.44681703, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8736463551949988, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "890392", "hs_description": "Motorboats: (other than outboard motorboats), for pleasure or sports, other than inflatable", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57931836.397068866, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.77059971246032, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "870421", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19276687.33502979, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5318325319759077, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "330300", "hs_description": "Perfumes and toilet waters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10579081.40853324, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8493371862462602, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "330499", "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20969987.448901776, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.853824112088795, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "701090", "hs_description": "Glass: carboys, bottles, flasks, jars, pots, phials and other containers of glass, (not ampoules), used for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13458889.449100308, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.520587320760507, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1780966729288425, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "distance_km": 1494, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 5809.170962, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9367.016883998498, "importer_population": 620.173, "importer_biz_entry_days": 12, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.1489947997777774, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777777, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.0741808150914074, "tariff_advantage_pp": 6.173644282686369 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-MNE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-MNE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-MNE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-MNE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-MNE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }