{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.234Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "France exports to Lithuania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from France to Lithuania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "FRA",
    "country_name": "France"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LTU",
    "country_name": "Lithuania"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
    "importer_iso3": "LTU",
    "all_history_lane_count": 542,
    "current_lane_count": 506,
    "current_product_count": 506,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2003,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 951678690.6946361,
    "attention_trade_usd": 287602748.6963436,
    "critical_trade_usd": 15875632.3835989,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 518443894.75180167,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 264909293.39145115,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 267744938.51625788,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 37,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 289,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 287,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 127,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.142563337434722,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 28.068177225355203,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 354.2267886869765,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 12.027609959488208,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 26.391891039602918,
    "top_product_hs6": "300490",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 114464200.98431504,
    "top_product_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "870331",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 1700.296142578125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.14377905428409576,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.3168283158865903,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 1.5242361690613029,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.29484943869731806,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.2293867303639847,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 65503.849705,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23433,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2795.321,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.014668841947326,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.425656534698645,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5432407108000303,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.136,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 21.744,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 30.220572500832247,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 1.6681714678313517,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 65503.849705,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23433,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2795.321
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 57593594.13083051,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 97842010.42269264,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 69.8834946824697,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 143452059.53042296,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.616017915707,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 162036925.51810208,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.95545428104341,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.1713618416143
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 135552935.79338786,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.34441633598852,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.479373669218852
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 193907900.12153402,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.04957615753289,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.568030011851427
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 221843523.34349617,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.406645218917413,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.039522776185006
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 276421039.7384981,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.601807423737874,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.8101616298976
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 370467109.9151284,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.0227611710022,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.084647515841027
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 368846525.12038994,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.43744363571430744,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.467615576642515
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 406644361.75415623,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.247578344795105,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.73161850964182
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 540519049.9539427,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.92181099530962,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.41934001419951
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 761544458.1145703,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.891326250103674,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.33560475243719
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 763528635.7156557,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.26054652226055186,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.368284268698947
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 404902010.0774732,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.96963661383068,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.180387896104115
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 563040326.772568,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.055947552553974,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.576479175943964
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 655974428.7518742,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.505763008489737,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.935027527698754
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 645710470.6030099,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.564688759041044,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.832220794545137
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 783925820.6084962,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.405158549839065,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.66365073409452
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 749844877.3708172,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.347470429182298,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.559020533873892
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 626729086.8680754,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.418834644096393,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9896321420013288
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 705690124.5975271,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.598910659155793,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4439056946797164
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 885345946.8807745,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.458174348933895,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.6932351848743235
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 1002514186.1780304,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.234175828110995,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.950897394143148
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 861179297.3743579,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.098043773574453,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.862791225317277
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 873103805.6749234,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3846719651670725,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.4630583450174641
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 1159864670.4040017,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.84384547005925,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.979765351067855
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 1238617801.0939655,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.7898551184021105,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.879370498391829
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 1335352737.731718,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.809910091096284,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.21526948615497
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 1123192418.0927937,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.88796080946433,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.065230170148379
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1211577080.5744069,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 8.031089209430169,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7103598925075663,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "870331",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity not exceeding 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 127332577.83168724,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.53862570860495,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "870120",
      "hs_description": "Tractors: road, for semi-trailers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 599484084.0569172,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.107857944159182,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "870590",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: break-down lorries, road-sweepers, spraying lorries, mobile workshops, mobile radiological units, and other special purpose vehicles n.e.s. in heading no. 8705",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76126668.93084477,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6490569858293007,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "870332",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 330518408.6026105,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.04100102455757,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.699268072193579,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "220820",
      "hs_description": "Spirits obtained by distilling grape wine or grape marc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38426455.30440518,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.38035275178649,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8574807305167212,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "220421",
      "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 74358916.58390857,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 67.41870957183488,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8890269543522891,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "330499",
      "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 171332725.89189732,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.94056343412671,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0797059437150047,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 722712305.6472311,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 66.70834079964074,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.815286097750142,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "870195",
      "hs_description": "Tractors: n.e.c. in heading no 8701 (other than tractors of heading no 8709): of an engine power exceeding 130kW",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78991377.712926,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 38.86058070281852,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.254339260156966,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
    "importer_iso3": "LTU",
    "distance_km": 1701,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 65503.84970499999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23433.3909075201,
    "importer_population": 2795.321,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 5.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.3168283158865903,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 1.5242361690613029,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.29484943869731806,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.2293867303639847
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-LTU/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-LTU/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-LTU/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-LTU/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-LTU/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}