{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.208Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "France exports to Sri Lanka: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from France to Sri Lanka, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "FRA",
    "country_name": "France"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LKA",
    "country_name": "Sri Lanka"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
    "importer_iso3": "LKA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 123,
    "current_lane_count": 94,
    "current_product_count": 94,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 137828865.051935,
    "attention_trade_usd": 118126139.84621459,
    "critical_trade_usd": 91958385.31104961,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 71860469.9371392,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 111810835.18186058,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 123282308.78202547,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 137828865.051935,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 2,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 11,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 46,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 69,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 62,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 94,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0991102240444959,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 68.48107906321684,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2503.52118322829,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 43.4329728575923,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 72.60019134946138,
    "top_product_hs6": "880240",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 59863173.547934435,
    "top_product_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "880240",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 8526.0146484375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.036000002175569534,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 84518.83039300001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3815,
    "buyer_population_latest": 22156,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1452073861579324,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.039656303460391,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.1034412369869564,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.916000000000004,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.772,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 85.70493546595173,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 66.71925019218506,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 84518.83039300001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3815,
    "buyer_population_2024": 22156
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 159992125.58011854,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 52458963.03872705,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.21153441238744,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 62222063.00363266,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.610928236797484,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 70470025.4745691,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.255687890732437,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.914492795824096
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 434028494.3157576,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 515.9051190812863,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 102.25511494421457
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 399293147.71596634,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.003010644393571,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 85.82999577352159
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 97497301.11019117,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.58252585402617,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.42844120373876
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 89203800.39758655,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.506390041742096,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.986001902860714
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 123731316.2148991,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.70632827684626,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.330039157914
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 115960260.52360967,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.2805892065291635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.951114523599843
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 120642754.63747296,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.038016207207407,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.587480206153966
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 121524777.76409216,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7311032720279442,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5980126026361221
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 158186632.1002972,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.16821343822922,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.905614489423709
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 133586093.20184243,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.551591542107657,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4554406041176433
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 89429242.64565416,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.05497563243301,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.717223680257248
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 155770564.33714157,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 74.18302976617157,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5117317869776539
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 296401084.92213017,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 90.28054894929656,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.428604218652367
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 166702352.2729793,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.75784679844376,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.070526463633655
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 118912480.0705103,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.667785157711435,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.606772479954595
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 410289768.79499036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 245.03507836326776,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.447491955444233
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 971239475.924749,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 136.72037418267882,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 79.94020018629374
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 122777270.76477836,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -87.35870258487198,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0718417095829436
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 195534646.53058892,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.25964578997858,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.88921343609086
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 157034510.86192548,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.68967461868226,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -45.521777798384036
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 161218048.29918608,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.664087922010361,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.504481892561568
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 88865109.69129099,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.87893221087975,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.116020621043
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 120724167.21047696,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.851030432372546,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.392076842856245
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 96667710.13859442,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.926794798212388,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.675082695983944
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 168423274.63518813,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 74.22909303811618,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.753343676480586
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 179858161.21729285,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.7893743349149105,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.212063195630753
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "880240",
      "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 102707130.11615822,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 93.14149746163733,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4404727847013663,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "841112",
      "hs_description": "Turbo-jets: of a thrust exceeding 25kN",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48234001.90308454,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 57.60007800269884,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7241642215197445,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 292913935.2022579,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.80726087775681,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8804268482566328,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "330300",
      "hs_description": "Perfumes and toilet waters",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19657914.55115962,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6753972715789418,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "210210",
      "hs_description": "Yeasts: active",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15656857.45051816,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6054159225226318,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "710391",
      "hs_description": "Stones: rubies, sapphires and emeralds, worked (other than simply sawn or roughly shaped), not strung, mounted or set",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34948284.652245924,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.42186908649752,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5390676004845336,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70165612.41049153,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 86.62965886620066,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7659734926449224,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "382200",
      "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27359853.33598265,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.607122275378536,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.009171977534019,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "840999",
      "hs_description": "Engines: parts for internal combustion piston engines (excluding spark-ignition)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25934991.661886018,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.3609387702773,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6537452619371201,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "170199",
      "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 340073916.57369614,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 87.86847110995394,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7908133816838562,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
    "importer_iso3": "LKA",
    "distance_km": 8517,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 84518.830393,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3814.715219037733,
    "importer_population": 22156,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-LKA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-LKA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-LKA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-LKA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-LKA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}