{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.255Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "France exports to Iran: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from France to Iran, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "FRA",
    "country_name": "France"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IRN",
    "country_name": "Iran"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
    "importer_iso3": "IRN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 331,
    "current_lane_count": 191,
    "current_product_count": 191,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 240217189.61857304,
    "attention_trade_usd": 99136676.86172746,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 123623545.15031159,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 104863244.43295754,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 105268155.71678454,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 18,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 123,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 155,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 103,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1133947421011101,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 45.512979064857305,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 392.59826269434586,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 10.318224819197136,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 27.765520098492708,
    "top_product_hs6": "901831",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 24786149.67920145,
    "top_product_description": "Medical, surgical instruments and appliances: syringes, with or without needles",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "901831",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 4218.44189453125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.00039999998989515007,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121214,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121214,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 72.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 231547.57124000002,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2757,
    "buyer_population_latest": 85028.763,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.431909337919595,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.360726244823533,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0166815769729887,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 39.459999999999994,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 40.714000000000006,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 41.26960148819527,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 231547.57124000002,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2757,
    "buyer_population_2024": 85028.763
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 603370628.2643752,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 712744560.0330057,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.12715545721042,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 732069469.6805925,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.7113373754395154,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 628560879.5619979,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.139175912329227,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.372710990798942
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 674846215.4882467,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.363699751486585,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.8047903249184816
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 694632360.1582205,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.9319486745078116,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7345368618189139
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1000562370.484536,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.04200378119902,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.7613047305053
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1335305787.4768052,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.45552729812986,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.542846533847175
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2181015113.481614,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.334506143559956,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.43151461310544
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2874810438.8458767,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.810661057581502,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.16357924399063
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2453243276.3624225,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.664172523761144,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.47664896844197
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2366996335.2873664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.515629367297801,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7652548255714393
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2313125441.516092,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.275917920453152,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.989925825344024
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2910867796.09457,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.841328959085775,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.867003637226809
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1312723669.181449,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.90266954264658,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.84035070184231
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2221813615.6492367,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 69.25219433535865,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.333555256877228
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2095922621.202413,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.666136599403138,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.370510835017477
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1435438797.747389,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.512796167833233,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.023694873229421
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 613902520.6821637,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.23241411298405,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.86757257283731
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 574405209.4529804,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.4338082836496895,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.0447325948319
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 649192759.6100767,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.019998587463743,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.24093740065212
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 835520965.3959727,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.701522471971195,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.820297521097388
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1694947792.2090724,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 102.86119228687424,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.431977208354475
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1013889634.0702968,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.18165994665438,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.021641352268002
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 429948398.2160227,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.59416175407779,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.865476080299537
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 291422605.0869186,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.21916716142837,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -44.393917013486714
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 269122822.25084174,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.652042925573943,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.7332089763168
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 313153286.34311724,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.360732146022137,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.026721441704145
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 291636812.98092765,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.870907731306486,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.02449540378244297
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 281979572.6701138,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.3113927600921245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5677207065514454
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "901831",
      "hs_description": "Medical, surgical instruments and appliances: syringes, with or without needles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37751347.91202422,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.478116671784175,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "300390",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: (not containing antibiotics, hormones, alkaloids or their derivatives), for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, (not packaged for retail sale)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46979349.00615805,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.233463459483545,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1692838998779527,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 279627323.4366926,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 88.79371682797266,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9934042770796767,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "300230",
      "hs_description": "Vaccines: for veterinary medicine",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57819290.60857469,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 50.10989394236945,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9059863568467346,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "300220",
      "hs_description": "Vaccines: for human medicine",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 124331334.15588409,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 36.605110084739664,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5298789519839138,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "190190",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for uses n.e.s. in heading no. 1901",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11855026.3785885,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 20.131364726930965,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8397974595741301,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "382200",
      "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 104398113.4196317,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 41.26845079855151,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7019034409836795,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "382100",
      "hs_description": "Prepared culture media for the development or maintenance of micro-organisms (including viruses and the like) or of plant, human or animal cells",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18197987.53913357,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.49080486275951,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7939386158387203,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "902190",
      "hs_description": "Appliances: worn, carried or implanted in the body, to compensate for a defect or disability",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 75264554.10028057,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6318758600715386,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "902139",
      "hs_description": "Artificial parts of the body: excluding artificial joints",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78058157.75945006,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.5770530420865843,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7520456764438903,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
    "importer_iso3": "IRN",
    "distance_km": 4220,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 231547.57124,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2723.167585538084,
    "importer_population": 85028.763,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 72.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121214,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121214,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-IRN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-IRN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-IRN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-IRN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-IRN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}