{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:11.310Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "France exports to Guinea-Bissau: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from France to Guinea-Bissau, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "FRA",
    "country_name": "France"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GNB",
    "country_name": "Guinea-Bissau"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
    "importer_iso3": "GNB",
    "all_history_lane_count": 4,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2018,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 327933.13699999976,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 103999.44400000002,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 327933.13699999976,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2895848869318987,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5668.783942900165,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 68.286387599799,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "890190",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 223933.6929999997,
    "top_product_description": "Vessels: n.e.s. in heading no. 8901, for the transport of goods and other vessels for the transport of both persons and goods",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 4440.6328125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1638.517533,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 813,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2015.49,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.804310581834683,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.4341371903675375,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.2695389220736217,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 10.187999999999999,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 1.9460000000000002,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1638.517533,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 813,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2015.49
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 5951065.194990685,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 5717496.075648061,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.9248287775309754,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 8029108.366375553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.43050069720386,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 3473012.80392125,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.744726245499486,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.432535517674474
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 2173794.3991556815,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.40897250072529,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.55570393912894
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 3029695.2081616167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.37358608239923,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.737906358545892
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 2286002.9157302505,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.54676927329036,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.01251021125659
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 2120752.995470189,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.228771193726735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.820052389417647
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 3242288.6924959025,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.883843588633454,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.286326234194802
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 2946221.453944834,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.131427415340887,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.825215512918483
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 5599650.577376007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 90.06210717386409,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.215562689016714
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 5011968.03861524,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.494985903855358,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.625121926792328
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 13277206.971429346,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 164.91004869012923,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 65.17606381038634
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 11343614.525479803,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.563246999992984,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.530971973449557
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 7795487.392325063,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.278629269224613,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.863059816073433
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 5513017.159165191,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.279378161871517,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.39621308560531
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 9819185.347753111,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 78.10910186319792,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.696686752286494
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 8124582.186386438,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.258083042036098,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.387851701105447
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 6936960.548606333,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.617633381444339,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.959275184560832
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 10529591.272398636,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.789695193150244,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.3556966541966595
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 6345036.107737847,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.74090785109411,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.910307979945131
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 4673392.668653578,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.345688357008402,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.336053892373899
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 3301471.9741956154,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.35599021370524,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.064198976261046
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 3587680.549112009,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.669120233441529,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.30868670778949
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 5308801.951833807,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.9730951282102,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.340941304922352
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 4340652.463323603,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.23668498644554,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.550862235546752
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 4586302.449997206,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.6592871405675815,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.529959716296531
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 4902230.9569999995,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.88852317192874,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.620901868561931
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 4804042.958999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.002924767544778,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.43891482033436
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "export_value_usd": 4654978.486999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.1028963161276346,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.49666786795852236
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "hs_code": "890190",
      "hs_description": "Vessels: n.e.s. in heading no. 8901, for the transport of goods and other vessels for the transport of both persons and goods",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26569028.85499999,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9947903052380612,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
      "importer_iso3": "GNB",
      "hs_code": "220300",
      "hs_description": "Beer: made from malt",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11220133.245000001,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.924342505011964,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "FRA",
    "importer_iso3": "GNB",
    "distance_km": 4425,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1638.5175330000002,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 812.9623729217213,
    "importer_population": 2015.49,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 88.8,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-GNB/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-GNB/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-GNB/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-GNB/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-GNB/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}