{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.178Z", "seo": { "title": "France exports to China: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from France to China, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "FRA", "country_name": "France" }, "importer": { "iso3": "CHN", "country_name": "China" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "all_history_lane_count": 1919, "current_lane_count": 1817, "current_product_count": 1817, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 29801027740.993584, "attention_trade_usd": 23798276246.147552, "critical_trade_usd": 3309132490.073102, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 16277331960.131361, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5943361980.388119, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 20954522.892193068, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 13294819977.324574, "access_friction_trade_usd": 29801027740.993584, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 38, "high_attention_lane_count": 745, "high_volatility_lane_count": 949, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1021, "declining_demand_lane_count": 21, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 647, "access_friction_lane_count": 1817, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.135360874505947, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 24.17106108284423, "product_concentration_hhi": 235.63980238775332, "top1_product_share_pct": 7.0858155500550595, "top3_product_share_pct": 21.110753910332303, "top_product_hs6": "330499", "top_product_trade_usd": 2111645857.7475455, "top_product_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "330499", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 8225.232421875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0036000001709908247, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878794, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878794, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 17734062.645370997, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 12556, "buyer_population_latest": 1412359.985, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.1812362915018895, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.16286575688667, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.01746865158438471, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 44.900000000000006, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 46.43, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 79.85723329068686, "critical_trade_share_pct": 11.104088485918686, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 17734062.645370997, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 12556, "buyer_population_2024": 1412359.985 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 2623819840.2903123, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 2352317378.4236217, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.347603051764798, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 3327688368.8152432, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.46425985447828, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 3262844808.642824, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.9486067499615456, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.536063715805819 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 3464133390.0427256, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.169112942997335, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.771346098481851 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 3406945950.787966, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.6508440298268812, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7876993216512362 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 3533424307.7959647, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.7123675818439894, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.691175410311697 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 3694558611.568968, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.560287407812447, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.1698254374294734 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 5544585448.194481, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.07436695773144, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.625444878045005 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 7043732899.271173, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.0380439635008, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.854581217519 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 8073946994.411072, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.625967649149473, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.77004176369944 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 10520162803.488596, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.297645138998774, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.79918718895786 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 12675616933.87323, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.488790626603826, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.634117635809936 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 14240754750.642715, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.347626351715824, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.822839429301364 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 11901879674.694853, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.423814024620466, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.199195256099775 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 15602205826.742802, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.090266858565087, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.169770071394388 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 19985183043.169144, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.09203560764302, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.958835937048939 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 21487595883.58443, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.517633624720821, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.765453554408754 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 21050845304.527443, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.032570704620551, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.499720361241316 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 23966500127.171574, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.850535598288083, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.242633965499578 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 22034358015.023212, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.061845083328755, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8410884424193021 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 20020894528.85469, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.137835941467976, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.658239358771385 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 23973448311.453148, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.74214377335599, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.009662811143384964 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 28268447976.799545, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.91565238987538, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.659371284210348 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 27592201586.45151, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.392230344244728, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.28440091617897 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 24271053759.184048, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.036545242182605, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.4120981121868539 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 32481576875.30024, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.82845754280186, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.739793468644926 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 29083283101.920544, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.462219203291944, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.769824481795923 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 31194230123.235493, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.258283096572238, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.7247822350921 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 30150511510.351257, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.345870722761657, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.4518149960655378 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "330499", "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 9746215934.22552, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.200467033574483, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.304545353368518, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "841112", "hs_description": "Turbo-jets: of a thrust exceeding 25kN", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5249077199.886527, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1028556947761925, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "880240", "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11372821473.28201, "current_below_peak_pct": 73.09487090496934, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7183236562215622, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "711319", "hs_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3990839975.5241017, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7198808331091662, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "420221", "hs_description": "Cases and containers: handbags (whether or not with shoulder strap and including those without handle), with outer surface of leather, of composition leather or of patent leather", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2023277489.827548, "current_below_peak_pct": 7.936844406329661, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5615761392353842, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "220820", "hs_description": "Spirits obtained by distilling grape wine or grape marc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 967435870.0602434, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.218914368049063, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8925472056414717, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14247189734.173857, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.896998761633476, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8812556321622792, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "420222", "hs_description": "Cases and containers: handbags (whether or not with shoulder strap and including those without handle), with outer surface of plastic sheeting or of textile materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1709287725.614792, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.600366931893633, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.794119675157447, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "841191", "hs_description": "Turbines: parts of turbo-jets and turbo-propellers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5587188668.91876, "current_below_peak_pct": 2.5775897620133503, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9582448112095003, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "530121", "hs_description": "Flax: broken or scutched, but not spun", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 687447479.6323911, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9095756991582586, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "FRA", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "distance_km": 9284, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033, "importer_population": 1412359.985, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878794, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878794, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-CHN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-CHN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-CHN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-CHN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FRA-CHN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }