{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.290Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Finland exports to Zambia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Finland to Zambia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "FIN",
    "country_name": "Finland"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ZMB",
    "country_name": "Zambia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
    "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
    "all_history_lane_count": 55,
    "current_lane_count": 28,
    "current_product_count": 28,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 26600103.45364434,
    "attention_trade_usd": 20661854.332055587,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 14173248.338459298,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5010499.764795821,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 11006056.339769535,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 26600103.45364434,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 26600103.45364434,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 6,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 21,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 14,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 14,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 28,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.153900760377919,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.757354117599547,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1476.3292363501073,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 26.718969018915985,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 61.39222972200392,
    "top_product_hs6": "843041",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 7107273.400778831,
    "top_product_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: self-propelled, n.e.s. in heading no. 8430",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "843041",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
    "distance_km": 8419.3525390625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.10080000013113022,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.54900142464647,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.54900142464647,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 21203.05908,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1121,
    "buyer_population_latest": 18920.656,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6556563915409939,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.1688252989154657,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.8578853777657898,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 36.05800000000001,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 34.70399999999999,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 77.6758420058882,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 21203.05908,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1121,
    "buyer_population_2024": 18920.656
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 10215779.191183778,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 15705976.891339164,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.742329365276696,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 11176490.4894526,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.839252936786654,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 13192693.404907718,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.039678174090824,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.898189010836678
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 4945482.573054911,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -62.51347301669894,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.96779081093237
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 11440657.219641522,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 131.33550772122987,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7817372283588808
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 8776773.120740725,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.284362495603784,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.702769199321306
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 9072941.61967526,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.374457729055891,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.418338321268095
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 16659209.466553861,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 83.6142032527498,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.344679406298576
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 13053315.231590461,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.64505009798234,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.146338404354509
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 10247093.961501695,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.498149859258753,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.1399905767207645
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 25683528.182045564,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 150.64206767829504,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.522549460428792
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 41757441.3790519,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.5845214219557,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.34577407296576
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 34688743.69998969,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.927995216221035,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.15136489568726
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 11708413.490016086,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -66.24722534987751,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.03715334252385
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 39265097.02615265,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 235.35796339644563,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.0304909676087557
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 64944226.4423316,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 65.39937848383586,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.24916686323626
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 38957561.806010716,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.01381810190042,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.290179074348075
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 32321182.80870518,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.03489307249617,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.281170275913661
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 30198257.085411876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.56821792648482,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.5275821875598
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 31524936.819240324,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.393232795111679,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.813252850825203
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 60593860.230198614,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 92.20929950672232,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.30493494596595
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 31892799.299439877,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -47.366285662808416,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8365287383844464
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 35854161.61607902,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.420867417269044,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.382681419423373
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 32251458.42144819,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.048214857756355,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.95860417869144
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 25706659.9153541,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.293031157132425,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.93543806528022
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 26745870.64571353,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.042573923571968,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.307287899532868
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 29835663.985722095,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.552412635719357,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5619053401024883
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 30807854.29666256,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.258483911756449,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.219747943008924
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 37916018.844333336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.07257259536184,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.336786642744912
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "843041",
      "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: self-propelled, n.e.s. in heading no. 8430",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46683584.481231764,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9543174256321199,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "391231",
      "hs_description": "Cellulose ethers: carboxymethylcellulose and its salts, in primary forms",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13717196.309973035,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0.6023988452904626,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1337566798621512,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "870410",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: dumpers, designed for off-highway use, for transport of goods",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 119240605.67057261,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 47.30134987394956,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6636130511428129,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "848340",
      "hs_description": "Gears and gearing: (not toothed wheels, chain sprockets and other transmission elements presented separately): ball or roller screws: gear boxes and other speed changers, including torque converters",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22175595.506098937,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.035205752157031,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "850440",
      "hs_description": "Electrical static converters",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 51172994.80880307,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6827788236818269,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "842951",
      "hs_description": "Front-end shovel loaders",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20607389.411890287,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 95.08805068320076,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0515489055211296,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "847410",
      "hs_description": "Machines: for sorting, screening, separating or washing earth, stone, ores or other mineral substances",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24940214.887444846,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 54.78790490990997,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8274221490294271,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "841370",
      "hs_description": "Pumps: centrifugal, n.e.c. in heading no. 8413, for liquids",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45906465.55214316,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0.9360452598756721,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.26919131961213,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "842199",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts for filtering or purifying liquids or gases",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12441327.04183966,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 65.63755953630321,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4742718813391114,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35598617.887118824,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 82.07640941692202,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4621593164980398,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "FIN",
    "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
    "distance_km": 8383,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 21203.05908,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1120.6302297341065,
    "importer_population": 18920.656,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 34,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 299155.23758899997,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 53982.61427350038,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.54900142464647,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.54900142464647,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FIN-ZMB/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FIN-ZMB/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FIN-ZMB/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FIN-ZMB/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FIN-ZMB/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}