{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.206Z", "seo": { "title": "Finland exports to Poland: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Finland to Poland, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "FIN", "country_name": "Finland" }, "importer": { "iso3": "POL", "country_name": "Poland" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "all_history_lane_count": 972, "current_lane_count": 781, "current_product_count": 781, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2426444930.7984576, "attention_trade_usd": 674210166.5877287, "critical_trade_usd": 103902367.2922722, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 917332488.7731662, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 717321827.0335068, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 506691919.93948734, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 4, "high_attention_lane_count": 66, "high_volatility_lane_count": 431, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 370, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 221, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0253238919415926, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 30.72665005638739, "product_concentration_hhi": 209.35393509674017, "top1_product_share_pct": 9.638672067520424, "top3_product_share_pct": 19.614042602303407, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 233877069.77863625, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 911.2882080078125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.21588237583637238, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.18347235538788, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.415188815959596, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.8074541990101, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.607734616949497, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 674048.2663969999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17841, "buyer_population_latest": 37781.025, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.774876361756622, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.599090635201723, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.7520265621440814, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.94, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.524, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 27.785924915504673, "critical_trade_share_pct": 4.282082233701533, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 674048.2663969999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17841, "buyer_population_2024": 37781.025 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 517377262.87278783, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 585930973.8996153, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.250236519126535, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 705881147.1085433, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.471724239223853, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 765889233.2146827, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.501160053919389, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.96886112895379 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 789980168.0795436, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.1454855114940727, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.47310926248819 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 761920023.1238186, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5520062514910578, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.57919062234806 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 809712015.6246731, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.272573373896995, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8720095486968846 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 781281636.5864575, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.511171686921588, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.3683913143335382 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 971979580.403087, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.408348396593425, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.454918280041145 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1077582023.7717276, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.864677149374513, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.995077816749687 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1274407153.098762, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.265442906899267, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.715466466511344 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1569447010.5652874, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.15114575032997, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.31760055444571 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 2101511195.3096914, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.90137934970892, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.93778151271304 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 3076157039.7790465, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.378332251793, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.142614728017115 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1917907959.8669763, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.6524691338666, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.912142993089687 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1736288087.4705164, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.469686564576163, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.16532390331721 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 2099655726.0302165, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.927842630600924, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.95327713484856 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1685325444.3924432, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.733248479794373, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.217682967736636 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1708004543.6746426, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3456807026594797, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5459640320961912 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1878962099.6921248, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.009197964408223, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6341159765914455 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1507891730.670291, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.74868833611041, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6402952508492348 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1473689821.1989458, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.268193980753619, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.7995457292022365 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1660268813.5084426, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.660669133054213, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.04076065924448 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1947662207.1646361, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.310051921584922, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.905001638289068 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1917708372.2789261, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.5379378814007083, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.17557639767892 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1846730819.9869888, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.701165063361045, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.611603674845809 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 2313006365.6415305, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.248701143019158, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.897993223362463 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 2577152873.042798, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.42005103509538, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.353439103384199 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 2786345453.0879617, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.117197168756762, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.694815591507782 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 2530685101.757964, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.175472160017428, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0434585209926146 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5610472194.533945, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.72113654216605, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7782824286494023, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "481092", "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: multi-ply, coated with kaolin or other inorganic substances only, for non-graphic purposes, n.e.c. in heading no. 4810, in rolls or sheets", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 546836994.9100813, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7915951398710889, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "470321", "hs_description": "Wood pulp: chemical wood pulp, soda or sulphate, (other than dissolving grades), semi-bleached or bleached, of coniferous wood", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 338607346.0286815, "current_below_peak_pct": 9.428852138975547, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7710007610211957, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "721933", "hs_description": "Steel, stainless: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, cold-rolled, of a thickness exceeding 1mm but less than 3mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 224326678.41816702, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.867149605502572, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8016336089417376, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "720851", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: (not in coils), flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, without patterns in relief, of a thickness exceeding 10mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 540937053.8789029, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.921207377752968, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8527407104842536, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "310520", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 278996214.15780467, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.91286512201117, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1178505513918058, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "721934", "hs_description": "Steel, stainless: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, cold-rolled, of a thickness of 0.5mm or more but not exceeding 1mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 215137387.6268567, "current_below_peak_pct": 0.9592027920635867, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7951693670330547, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "382200", "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 497138928.2870613, "current_below_peak_pct": 7.698735511750885, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8828578708545407, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "721070", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, painted, varnished or coated with plastics", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 995324952.8165636, "current_below_peak_pct": 48.290772727720075, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.39595931611251345, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "843149", "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 293465498.2474255, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.49839701005384, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6999678348337269, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "FIN", "importer_iso3": "POL", "distance_km": 917, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512, "importer_population": 37781.025, "importer_biz_entry_days": 37, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 11.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 299155.23758899997, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 53982.61427350038, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.18347235538788, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.415188815959596, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.8074541990101, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.607734616949497 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FIN-POL/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FIN-POL/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FIN-POL/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FIN-POL/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/FIN-POL/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }