{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.723Z", "seo": { "title": "Ethiopia exports to Ukraine: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Ethiopia to Ukraine, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ETH", "country_name": "Ethiopia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "UKR", "country_name": "Ukraine" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "all_history_lane_count": 8, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2005, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 12207104.611865498, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 12207104.611865498, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 370991.7549651672, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.779327123302418, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0.9559130334134609, "product_concentration_hhi": 9363.821721305485, "top1_product_share_pct": 96.71880232306316, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "090111", "top_product_trade_usd": 11806565.378919717, "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 4667.82568359375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.742568300996169, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.742568300996169, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 200085.537744, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4567, "buyer_population_latest": 43814.583, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.388047577338883, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.285640541163119, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -3.37794288946095, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.714000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 10.852, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 200085.537744, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4567, "buyer_population_2024": 43814.583 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 71083.0266410746, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 56.66507998644884, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.92028324810566, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 347.3275182005059, "yoy_growth_pct": 512.9480771642209, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 260757.62395933134, "yoy_growth_pct": 74975.4288949834, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.22580102410788 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 28060.17510960357, "yoy_growth_pct": -89.23898190068647, "cagr_3y_pct": 691.1490123545635 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 3739.2398998727176, "yoy_growth_pct": -86.67421038797094, "cagr_3y_pct": 120.80795320472978 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 53015.13685165558, "yoy_growth_pct": 1317.8051762193754, "cagr_3y_pct": -41.19860573807369 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 20963.43064840539, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.457650600687394, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.261695548982974 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 106574.43006559476, "yoy_growth_pct": 408.38258228359916, "cagr_3y_pct": 205.4615584609366 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 349140.784112293, "yoy_growth_pct": 227.60276916086036, "cagr_3y_pct": 87.4419953311876 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 188414.1574223335, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.03490454391187, "cagr_3y_pct": 107.91399603659838 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 239232.1439560861, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.971426791376008, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.934925219867672 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 196223.16922865962, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.977924712040906, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.4754368030399 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 218590.46054730884, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.398904322345604, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.076570755423537 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 444868.1906400986, "yoy_growth_pct": 103.51674520756005, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.971349880132163 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 443949.45076020184, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.20651957124082632, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.278743827983458 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 616420.2981601609, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.84920841880233, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.28039768194165 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 470034.78941591503, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.74767819638077, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.851215568775988 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 635549.1451041581, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.213213875917184, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.703794640108113 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 933174.2181694622, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.82959222870598, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.822923472894711 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 2041329.912899077, "yoy_growth_pct": 118.75121206235218, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.15275015394395 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 2240086.705469814, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.73663254110968, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.185016798145554 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 2057187.1856983597, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.16484108962625, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.147858446809938 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 2756759.362687532, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.00624803871146, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.533830239842224 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 3103560.3732870533, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.580024767248066, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.480384130234933 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 5925131.363628483, "yoy_growth_pct": 90.91400362716445, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.27919226344363 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 3621469.0053287037, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.87951535455989, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.52047149171733 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 2945108.017067028, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.676426258694022, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7316471414025036 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 12492455.670641407, "yoy_growth_pct": 324.1764851491723, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.22812086515645 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 75356158.3249888, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7877122758249417, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "060311", "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: roses, flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15669425.31400083, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.453341597360847, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5351533243499187, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "120991", "hs_description": "Seed: vegetable seed, of a kind used for sowing", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27943808.47643286, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4945858914107235, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "distance_km": 4655, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 200085.537744, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4566.642520459455, "importer_population": 43814.583, "importer_biz_entry_days": 6.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 111271.11232999999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 943.9656682091999, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.742568300996169, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.742568300996169, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-UKR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-UKR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-UKR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-UKR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-UKR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }