{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.725Z", "seo": { "title": "Ethiopia exports to Sweden: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Ethiopia to Sweden, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ETH", "country_name": "Ethiopia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SWE", "country_name": "Sweden" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "all_history_lane_count": 16, "current_lane_count": 5, "current_product_count": 5, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 9505389.485855158, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 283342.71141740354, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 6857298.487060193, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 70402.13853068564, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9607424396489985, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 60.25945475554649, "product_concentration_hhi": 5639.773504169435, "top1_product_share_pct": 71.4005076659825, "top3_product_share_pct": 97.37616482286514, "top_product_hs6": "090111", "top_product_trade_usd": 6786896.348529507, "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 5862.81103515625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222223, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222223, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 627437.8988869999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 60239, "buyer_population_latest": 10415.811, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6041298879049046, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.033187461230712, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.559565412862506, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.328000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 28.238, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 627437.8988869999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 60239, "buyer_population_2024": 10415.811 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 741037.4499531165, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 1599729.0158433234, "yoy_growth_pct": 115.87694602270564, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2568929.474891749, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.58528972405342, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 5034788.405953708, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.98780173464539, "cagr_3y_pct": 89.4001661401335 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 1573610.086307301, "yoy_growth_pct": -68.74525879883086, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5472256366513051 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 768322.7695623777, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.1745141793444, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.12499296327033 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 789595.2270505291, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.7686876311459274, "cagr_3y_pct": -46.072813389705956 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2053043.5595457293, "yoy_growth_pct": 160.0121542292894, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.269849380972882 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 2879722.4698027964, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.26601902396965, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.334876717520906 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 5699304.354846978, "yoy_growth_pct": 97.9115840019565, "cagr_3y_pct": 93.2587257949025 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 15045734.522844553, "yoy_growth_pct": 163.99247322261178, "cagr_3y_pct": 94.23988408051724 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 16299460.417278802, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.332766290211136, "cagr_3y_pct": 78.21360858628745 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 12746775.631265204, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.796333713277114, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.775432158356786 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 11649708.815523604, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.606622156670918, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.173670439180114 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 9335657.991745431, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.863593677934908, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.95300893573487 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 20126787.489171546, "yoy_growth_pct": 115.59045443789402, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.446035322092346 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 36472547.3237104, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.21395351013203, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.29079792397563 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 26165781.999577016, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.258967580893557, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.992581358290245 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 15151050.612461135, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.095938073985096, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.03183603891674 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 18473364.56284282, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.927944374030496, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.287462406430645 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 14599973.041082188, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.967439410314793, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.67353930079575 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 14594024.28562984, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.040744975594197985, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2408283608260517 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 11910192.69341313, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.389935083631283, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.611169311478644 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 6628742.700279947, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.343950841820224, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.141299727729347 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 7056157.486458276, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.447901291451208, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.512999252607212 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 8406129.383689074, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.131827766338503, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.965342151033997 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 11501439.159100622, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.822057264756914, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.163805827002147 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 13326593.6212872, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.868922462128655, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.60905791184418 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 7906170.7875538785, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.67373094558104, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.0231722812462993 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "export_value_usd": 10510091.037549261, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.93528966126749, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.959856410046058 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 446122215.1594819, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.83056562184811, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9464755610366451, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "190590", "hs_description": "Food preparations: bakers' wares n.e.c. in heading no. 1605, whether or not containing cocoa: communion wafers, empty cachets suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice papers and similar products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 397398434.8178701, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.237514949464654, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8991015079613649, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "090121", "hs_description": "Coffee: roasted, not decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 109862317.24714814, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2104405740232336, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "420100", "hs_description": "Saddlery and harness: for any animal (including traces, leads, knee pads, muzzles, saddle cloths, saddle bags, dog coats and the like), of any materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40606703.324405074, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.26827537709919197, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "hs_code": "420329", "hs_description": "Clothing accessories: gloves, mittens and mitts, n.e.c. in heading no. 4203, of leather or composition leather, not specially designed for use in sports", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46787031.892961, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.0060279303417, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9809181579206355, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "distance_km": 5848, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 627437.8988869999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 60238.98656446434, "importer_population": 10415.811, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 111271.11232999999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 943.9656682091999, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222223, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222223, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-SWE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-SWE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-SWE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-SWE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-SWE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }