{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.236Z", "seo": { "title": "Ethiopia exports to Saudi Arabia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Ethiopia to Saudi Arabia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ETH", "country_name": "Ethiopia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SAU", "country_name": "Saudi Arabia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "all_history_lane_count": 81, "current_lane_count": 24, "current_product_count": 24, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 352618085.2393191, "attention_trade_usd": 294234936.68907917, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 33300710.793092746, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 12234007.98090141, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 297489081.7670339, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 9, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 10, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 17, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9498481466114823, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 4.164143112825893, "product_concentration_hhi": 5284.839017984048, "top1_product_share_pct": 71.49626221195035, "top3_product_share_pct": 86.77445466432277, "top_product_hs6": "090111", "top_product_trade_usd": 252108750.8294622, "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "090111", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 1929.513427734375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.920948249898988, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.920948249898988, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10.4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 833541.2365690001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23586, "buyer_population_latest": 35340.679, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.8811275779533165, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.503293336407065, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2635041192047964, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.332, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 43.605999999999995, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 83.44295117177109, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 833541.2365690001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23586, "buyer_population_2024": 35340.679 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 32639850.367505662, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 34049020.569534816, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.317330460044144, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 41401073.96886521, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.59255472361106, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 49878815.4707695, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.477105275770867, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.183248848344522 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 45854177.89813188, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.068831496201401, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.43110789969992 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 39465361.47914115, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.932899272960263, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5834448862807382 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 32091267.885994177, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.68497669036795, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.67095932451483 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 24486690.912869144, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.696717126106304, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.869579067025665 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 36376551.74226488, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.556421411547035, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6800640438004453 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 41969906.73986797, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.376265010584621, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.357953942310871 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 64553007.99790155, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.8078423619214, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.14297192015397 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 60226175.575321294, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.702758797422592, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.300864732066515 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 75054203.3622429, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.62057011801635, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.37959157589524 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 108927793.56196617, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.13216939527713, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.0531089038114 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 89896839.0389702, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.471164980652766, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.284248927319076 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 123377708.63186494, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.243656118298894, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.01953346983325 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 147360164.8610413, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.438240906820003, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.59796363825698 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 173416725.37969297, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.682228126727907, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.484568991265565 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 147241885.64773688, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.093607421456456, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.071381057793768 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 183391543.22827497, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.551205264392586, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.563865782076418 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 190911825.16836613, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.100669969678128, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.255679607966888 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 174941903.7054463, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.365077149535328, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.914192435791166 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 205339963.05067053, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.37608811917706, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.840010845896069 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 169655179.58784774, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.378391878845846, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8583810133887564 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 195552869.08100036, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.26489763299137, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7823374671658083 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 210754355.96602765, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.773594402611739, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.87131751813323 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 234533492.0592898, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.2828681448915, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.398475860407942 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 285655677.7978062, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.79739247032264, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.464383084506926 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 302028120.6024103, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.7315306773607855, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.743178263383248 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 355817127.77783847, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.809271225521407, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.905458465043587 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 392063039.54887855, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.730059043567714, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "090121", "hs_description": "Coffee: roasted, not decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 168796234.09922576, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.8940600663993608, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "020130", "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, fresh or chilled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 242124469.72367942, "current_below_peak_pct": 12.027757500708471, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9629977189802453, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "060311", "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: roses, flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69462637.02560912, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.986507012266074, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "020450", "hs_description": "Meat: of goats, fresh, chilled or frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25174728.797477525, "current_below_peak_pct": 66.29285806027826, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8768710068285442, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "090190", "hs_description": "Coffee: husks and skins, coffee substitutes containing coffee in any proportion", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11179469.60662387, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.808860097742, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9578380845955424, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "081010", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: strawberries, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50181931.23273249, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0758643363864073, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "020410", "hs_description": "Meat: of sheep, lamb carcasses and half-carcasses, fresh or chilled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44069163.8817333, "current_below_peak_pct": 90.94378067043883, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.578160154102786, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "071333", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: kidney beans, including white pea beans (phaseolus vulgaris), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19117448.45809484, "current_below_peak_pct": 65.46307650939973, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1944658862265083, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "020421", "hs_description": "Meat: of sheep, carcasses and half-carcasses (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses of lamb), fresh or chilled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37995880.78631733, "current_below_peak_pct": 96.11343474664885, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9694512510565084, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "distance_km": 1929, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085, "importer_population": 35340.679, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10.4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 111271.11232999999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 943.9656682091999, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.920948249898988, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.920948249898988, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-SAU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-SAU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-SAU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-SAU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-SAU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }