{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.755Z", "seo": { "title": "Ethiopia exports to Mexico: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Ethiopia to Mexico, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ETH", "country_name": "Ethiopia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MEX", "country_name": "Mexico" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "all_history_lane_count": 24, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 575327.2343844827, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 575327.2343844827, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 243718.3710008943, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 193891.5597984965, "access_friction_trade_usd": 575327.2343844827, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 3, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.5281703786297445, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 23.09806921436007, "product_concentration_hhi": 3503.2669862997436, "top1_product_share_pct": 42.361695472601404, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "611120", "top_product_trade_usd": 243718.3710008943, "top_product_description": "Garments and clothing accessories: babies', of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 14444.58984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.600296420404037, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.600296420404037, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1293037.8663599999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9926, "buyer_population_latest": 130262.222, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.317392234827791, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.467884470952012, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7979004824760771, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.68, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.506, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1293037.8663599999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9926, "buyer_population_2024": 130262.222 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1190550.0811558762, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1597303.6569457538, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.165179796130076, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 401281.5715087872, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.87756509140608, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 3215006.892881867, "yoy_growth_pct": 701.1847842385818, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.255197362594 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 677654.4791136975, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.9221453734968, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.8595815819039 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1976891.9129305773, "yoy_growth_pct": 191.72564689842363, "cagr_3y_pct": 70.15494294613897 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 12476479.827827595, "yoy_growth_pct": 531.1159323491923, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.14602020810562 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 181769.04631457056, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.54310631826493, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.50829306396396 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 252371.17970959967, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.84167014489621, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.64774275517805 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 552330.6743903472, "yoy_growth_pct": 118.85647760013924, "cagr_3y_pct": -64.62451809789606 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 451833.8896595212, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.195039564252436, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.462667829107254 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1283953.2522907036, "yoy_growth_pct": 184.1648848558537, "cagr_3y_pct": 71.9899820987768 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 585703.7801463591, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.38277997260384, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.97482170590908 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 2155424.986287526, "yoy_growth_pct": 268.0059885816198, "cagr_3y_pct": 68.33898477755906 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 2910729.1599797634, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.04200695906208, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.36636867790914 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1733433.4236785772, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.446763391389226, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.574191638493566 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 2768742.637868583, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.725928902013536, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.70509299891522 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 2069045.1922667886, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.27130676690238, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.753869890133672 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1017396.6583400819, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.82772178477888, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.273864370592793 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 755639.0526095699, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.72817628058448, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.134973175216 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1028160.7400933994, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.065061293839506, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.792978947216024 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1782794.1940687103, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.39644712623038, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.560109772601677 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1431340.7646901992, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.713628782715553, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.730342502723968 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 2829509.1575416722, "yoy_growth_pct": 97.68242666896265, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.136100724908054 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 3325206.428185533, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.51884312947518, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.094637420822984 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 3741307.9097067597, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.51355338406106, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.750590946403676 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1928035.41723284, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.466272657468664, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.00297944077564 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1871739.2030514134, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.919874483541607, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.432543101102148 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 3843045.586688376, "yoy_growth_pct": 105.3195007308299, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8983415840154274 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 2818826.236663475, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.651241233583434, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.497013151197557 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "611120", "hs_description": "Garments and clothing accessories: babies', of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57330822.423555635, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.45682899621749, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0979362316836976, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "610620", "hs_description": "Blouses, shirts and shirt-blouses: women's or girls', of man-made fibres, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76188982.42819946, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0729861563335197, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "610462", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 73095196.18281986, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.6615251443473857, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5225122987887858, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "distance_km": 14438, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1293037.8663599999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9926.42261514624, "importer_population": 130262.222, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 15.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 111271.11232999999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 943.9656682091999, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.600296420404037, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.600296420404037, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-MEX/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-MEX/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-MEX/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-MEX/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-MEX/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }