{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.889Z", "seo": { "title": "Ethiopia exports to the United Kingdom: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Ethiopia to the United Kingdom, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ETH", "country_name": "Ethiopia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GBR", "country_name": "United Kingdom" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "all_history_lane_count": 73, "current_lane_count": 28, "current_product_count": 28, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 57441005.01660527, "attention_trade_usd": 30844249.204818457, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 31047926.80141323, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2310511.7671085815, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 32239343.448572323, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 4, "high_volatility_lane_count": 16, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 8, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 9, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1929311670435638, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 15.1901259349562, "product_concentration_hhi": 2600.504326691957, "top1_product_share_pct": 41.362412569223835, "top3_product_share_pct": 76.92618980078952, "top_product_hs6": "060311", "top_product_trade_usd": 23758985.478876833, "top_product_description": "Flowers, cut: roses, flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh", "top_attention_product_hs6": "060311", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 5906.44970703125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3186859.739185, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 47334, "buyer_population_latest": 67326.569, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.090346724339945, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.290378476461543, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7670585336488678, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.965999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.626, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 53.697265909435046, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3186859.739185, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 47334, "buyer_population_2024": 67326.569 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 31775252.01817191, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 42881638.72572788, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.952946089001436, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 31157664.81492789, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.340312215647455, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 24527555.709048793, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.279223411834636, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.267811315579078 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 16012389.345006464, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.71673437439542, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.98964985631136 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 19227162.895144727, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.076788547118383, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.863308655273821 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 21469344.526517823, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.661531363731758, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.341954104920109 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 38220218.8770292, "yoy_growth_pct": 78.02229047943949, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.64283383953763 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 26247189.005018987, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.32642937114666, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.931750013338615 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 27276253.866654854, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.920666938616124, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.30669734187226 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 31263764.046519484, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.61898030190778, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.477516399654515 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 24622952.18529786, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.241242261617334, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.1068189809179794 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 30797437.72255197, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.076138274519487, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.130180356418567 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 30765806.371858604, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.10270773490420604, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5337649906588693 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 36822657.987727314, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.68695877059441, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.355837138608418 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 36322152.54024045, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.359232263063892, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.653931944905155 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 61853340.59302007, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.29095542863055, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.2113133143999 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 62842263.604430914, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5988190806341729, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.503024041814477 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 51100254.40017973, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.684892190012192, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.05136757654559 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 37564282.194676794, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.4890505231131, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.315490165674838 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 61344025.87023416, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.304134369768896, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8011087446824883 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 48768671.81718958, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.49972083613524, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5446572103759992 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 105309861.13044596, "yoy_growth_pct": 115.9375213768426, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.00396179202037 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 68313830.72039853, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.13064210028814, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.652262993555788 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 71839668.56678794, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.161235739831804, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.782235978762735 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 44501941.25258392, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.05380489581277, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.958189187237224 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 53604943.73367247, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.455293016144548, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.764366473695416 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 65008963.88039474, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.274194789535294, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.2755412731257816 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 58962091.69079479, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.301597546955453, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.832611143341596 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 63093705.39738165, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.007237342008832, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.582934837631526 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "060311", "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: roses, flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 220959012.2590744, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5286578445732943, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 620291806.5777867, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.58375937112233, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.784930095490716, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "999999", "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1936568138.316745, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6851785014647803, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "121190", "hs_description": "Plants and parts (including seeds and fruits) n.e.c. in heading no. 1211, of a kind used primarily in perfumery, in pharmacy or for insecticidal, fungicidal or similar purposes, fresh, chilled, frozen or dried, whether or not cut, crushed or powdered", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 133139125.0284488, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9076136418228541, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "060319", "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh, other than roses, carnations, orchids, or chrysanthemums", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 296652718.6069375, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.103004182839471, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "620343", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of synthetic fibres (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 435444176.9936001, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.233020657981214, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "120799", "hs_description": "Oil seeds and oleaginous fruits: n.e.c. in heading no. 1207, whether or not broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38440082.34467164, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.81607178875739, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8540116107867521, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "090240", "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 254330092.45564997, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.775041278221984, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3102716055628845, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "620640", "hs_description": "Blouses, shirts and shirt-blouses: women's or girls', of man-made fibres (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 248171470.93451297, "current_below_peak_pct": 40.86516492414181, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0962742245090684, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "610130", "hs_description": "Coats: men's or boys' overcoats, car-coats, capes, anoraks, wind-jackets and similar articles, of man-made fibres, knitted or crocheted, (excluding those of heading no. 6103)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 72895384.37933916, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0388967770158721, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "distance_km": 5891, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3186859.739185, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 47334.35531498716, "importer_population": 67326.569, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 111271.11232999999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 943.9656682091999, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-GBR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-GBR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-GBR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-GBR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-GBR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }