{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.934Z", "seo": { "title": "Ethiopia exports to France: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Ethiopia to France, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ETH", "country_name": "Ethiopia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "FRA", "country_name": "France" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "all_history_lane_count": 75, "current_lane_count": 37, "current_product_count": 37, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 105072121.7092204, "attention_trade_usd": 11415836.416357495, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 46582525.62803143, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 673845.7667139265, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 14038422.933831338, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 24, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 9, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.193940152885011, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0.5170980004408242, "product_concentration_hhi": 3039.0094573441315, "top1_product_share_pct": 52.72134582383033, "top3_product_share_pct": 71.93410501339763, "top_product_hs6": "090111", "top_product_trade_usd": 55395436.650754, "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "060311", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 5582.501953125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.9160062904034344, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868686, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6058942969227233, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.314518829945963, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2937472.7579530003, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 43519, "buyer_population_latest": 67499.344, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.025953008194504, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.671974083461248, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.34476684401285596, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.700000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.02, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 10.864762441887304, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2937472.7579530003, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 43519, "buyer_population_2024": 67499.344 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 22292990.080955803, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 19074065.382247478, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.439178804722797, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 25657037.980999023, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.51268760396731, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 23526922.624775864, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.302265280195908, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8119917866202595 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 21633297.414601725, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.04875860891382, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.286113993814689 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 18192927.789177265, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.90312174556584, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.827277483241337 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 14541709.009919433, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.069440287834784, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.817553618624268 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 12920493.585186668, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.148726904292161, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.785774041008438 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 11437395.63010184, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.478647818727284, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.334060381723756 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 14268034.29002043, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.748979151063843, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.631309909808131 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 23793503.77984654, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.76090971051676, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.57251532913138 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 24539806.532051254, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.13658198098945, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.97771051210889 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 23834685.22572557, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.873377609577854, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.6538293214503 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 23898663.108769406, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.2684234443959932, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.1471056780168789 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 22260473.34833538, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.8547338944365706, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.19723697263804 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 38247704.9082361, "yoy_growth_pct": 71.81892006396275, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.07531089884464 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 58852294.5452401, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.87144061699527, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.0402596186953 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 50160648.677389584, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.76857603431111, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.10208030756918 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 37886881.496806376, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.46891638009405, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.31545600706978094 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 48846782.907619506, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.927958643777487, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.022434863626436 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 43064683.19910782, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.837217037295922, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.957167493759362 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 41608348.547585644, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.3817377566412565, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.172480734551608 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 39006632.09488035, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.252871223018685, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.224316470266434 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 30882201.72471252, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.828330808991236, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.491901129409397 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 36548703.203064404, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.348761299028247, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.2297771915617455 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 38736004.063370734, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.984619613324438, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.2318035959671949 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 68157586.72650951, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.9540984532274, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.197301526071495 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 107328706.40012707, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.47140055119082, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.20163424459296 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 70384028.03424414, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.42199166004222, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.026203597911277 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 109118720.0111788, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.03335495105364, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.984507948461403 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 831001392.5546483, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.46310445110971943, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "060311", "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: roses, flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 172935460.73902428, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3997508890612034, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "620463", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of synthetic fibres (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 402174010.0432842, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7620225320934484, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "610910", "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1671222233.12333, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.289020131958449, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "610462", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 384054506.1258326, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3233182212531305, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "620343", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of synthetic fibres (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 406648471.93905026, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.5595695075105125, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "611030", "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of man-made fibres, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1219426407.373766, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8495606783707712, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "610463", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of synthetic fibres, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 382806258.6285527, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7592132880804443, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "621050", "hs_description": "Garments: women's or girls', n.e.s. in item no. 6210.3, of the fabrics of heading no. 5602, 5603, 5903, 5906 or 5907 (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 117792125.34833956, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.442740894879692, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "621112", "hs_description": "Swimwear: women's or girls', (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29435626.814968802, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4108890249882458, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "distance_km": 5566, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532, "importer_population": 67499.344, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 111271.11232999999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 943.9656682091999, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.9160062904034344, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868686, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6058942969227233, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.314518829945963 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-FRA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-FRA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-FRA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-FRA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-FRA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }