{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.979Z", "seo": { "title": "Ethiopia exports to Finland: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Ethiopia to Finland, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ETH", "country_name": "Ethiopia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "FIN", "country_name": "Finland" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "all_history_lane_count": 8, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 3415101.451097713, "attention_trade_usd": 3364361.249568548, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1523468.5224941855, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1840892.7270743626, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3415101.451097713, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.864058316586364, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 46.618698808579914, "product_concentration_hhi": 4897.931185170712, "top1_product_share_pct": 53.90448141687405, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "090111", "top_product_trade_usd": 1840892.7270743626, "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "090111", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 5801.59521484375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.152416764804444, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.9310717735353515, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.0272738012375755, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.903797972297776, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 13, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 299155.23758899997, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 53983, "buyer_population_latest": 5541.696, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.2678409235528108, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9075316398649012, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.3535649209532643, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.496, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 25.092, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.51424028668737, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 299155.23758899997, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 53983, "buyer_population_2024": 5541.696 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 3008044.524648875, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 4395290.50185578, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.11786713392605, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 3817447.9651595247, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.146856537748274, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 3564679.2404289492, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.621405898325394, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.822674199190092 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 2367625.0066108555, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.58098030929841, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.634222656772693 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 848060.2322346349, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.18097334389141, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.43553886433967 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 1077949.39720869, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.107645923721478, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.878862836088565 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 799945.6728660328, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.790053323703088, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.350843944812468 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 1591995.106509694, "yoy_growth_pct": 99.01290306451922, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.35923760755081 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 1937279.5674742456, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.68878908940599, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.580700510681705 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 7080505.97886353, "yoy_growth_pct": 265.4870519330793, "cagr_3y_pct": 106.85590998700837 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 7189653.245138688, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5415178887071113, "cagr_3y_pct": 65.29335909881068 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 4932757.495293263, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.390884551649744, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.552342827592184 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 6109380.198260123, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.853244439637855, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.798391456413031 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 2826092.1067547216, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.74175423622255, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.746880766986692 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 6795036.529648143, "yoy_growth_pct": 140.4393159517744, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.267247200972141 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 8519407.05664275, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.376913272957747, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.721666553470445 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 6966497.110461895, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.227911119354488, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.0857017054083 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 4082558.487059673, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.39725571796025, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.61857153654701 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 4390409.878244829, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.540648643759562, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.826305073499572 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 4268725.582247086, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.771593071542322, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.063454843952705 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 5290461.053994397, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.935374904316586, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.023562426525755 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 6934823.13737635, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.08164045816819, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.459996902384955 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 3566144.7696088934, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.576269373207516, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.818216366783647 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 4546357.302795735, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.48661640268586, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.9271132335896635 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 5737847.253438148, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.207573916588522, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.120407078249512 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 6141262.480540235, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.030776688249385, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.863299943256862 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 5990650.764108629, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.4524552876358463, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.631867649215486 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 4437046.880040483, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.933808283002335, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.212893747690275 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "export_value_usd": 3529969.2886979226, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.443272651072007, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.854690217221357 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 227949739.11894798, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.97182120591822, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5111111536718889, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "hs_code": "060311", "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: roses, flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20689669.507828895, "current_below_peak_pct": 9.413858940236508, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3087754815513923, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "hs_code": "060319", "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh, other than roses, carnations, orchids, or chrysanthemums", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22378935.385851804, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.17470100777764, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.31666717210455514, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ETH", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "distance_km": 5791, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 299155.23758899997, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 53982.61427350038, "importer_population": 5541.696, "importer_biz_entry_days": 13, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 111271.11232999999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 943.9656682091999, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.152416764804444, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.9310717735353515, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.0272738012375755, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.903797972297776 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-FIN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-FIN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-FIN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-FIN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-FIN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }