{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.924Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Ethiopia exports to Egypt: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Ethiopia to Egypt, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ETH",
    "country_name": "Ethiopia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "EGY",
    "country_name": "Egypt"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
    "importer_iso3": "EGY",
    "all_history_lane_count": 58,
    "current_lane_count": 3,
    "current_product_count": 3,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 15017516.647600401,
    "attention_trade_usd": 14173709.175939258,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 14784370.775099253,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 610661.5991599945,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 15017516.647600401,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.9395234054051762,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 3.909500510384042,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 8926.75209672943,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 94.38117838347146,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "090111",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 14173709.175939258,
    "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "090111",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 2466.89599609375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 33.25213992848485,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.736373140606055,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 22.071860761414136,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 11.664512379191915,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 404142.766093,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3876,
    "buyer_population_latest": 104258.324,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.071702156521417,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.415004099572471,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6176321736395494,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.274,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 5.094,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 94.38117838347146,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 404142.766093,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3876,
    "buyer_population_2024": 104258.324
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 13726971.834757322,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 11383596.76039768,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.071318442033288,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 13034480.576525291,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.502304068524818,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 16304667.842541607,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.088742484344362,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.904009916324737
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 12031204.655046457,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.210059774078744,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.861453810414293
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 5655986.4613123275,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.98902625731714,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.292621077719588
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 3201316.493323524,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.399502187267615,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.878222785294064
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 7442979.730158425,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 132.4974661418533,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.792221909091186
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 2869939.096448112,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.44099271398896,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.23945617068057
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 5331566.0003749,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 85.772792425224,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.533759556604302
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 12830588.26621403,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 140.65327645408158,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.90388203493896
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 21498741.03601738,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.55849840984021,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 95.66513607945035
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 16976082.374135498,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.03685352693425,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.11633418790606
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 12230849.56042755,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.95246105154221,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5830235534125436
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 6641585.413036943,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.69808597331178,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.39903254977469
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 11160090.746386506,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.03353495206233,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.048565613654194
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 17432497.996894326,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.20390902769985,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.538468287930304
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 20198298.0156156,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.865769892610992,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.881968422198604
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 28630193.465397563,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.74557402442096,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.89434839582122
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 38044707.16382828,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.88316479526796,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.711418049299265
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 14908148.383467054,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.81413291139417,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.627497112059046
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 8761128.771726606,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.232616241983564,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.61261655838086
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 6064932.839912969,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.774526913868005,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -45.77778557017507
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 10800356.51412736,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 78.07874875465801,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.187222306690058
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 26051886.83022705,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 141.2132117689818,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.800271634404254
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 7745390.408442207,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -70.26936874508638,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.494012790769002
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 7728245.62269953,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.2213547005195493,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.556742372738437
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 5493000.842545038,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.92305562324642,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.480835308605066
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 9333225.722506417,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 69.91123777403448,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.413358952414505
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 17909896.93713855,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 91.89396538380181,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.33378166157832
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "090111",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 271143195.687149,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.005883814131041,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "120740",
      "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sesamum seeds, whether or not broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 96903090.25606059,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 96.14324706065597,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0286687177889267,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "540751",
      "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of textured polyester filaments, unbleached or bleached",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 75259740.37604502,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2909883067070036,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
    "importer_iso3": "EGY",
    "distance_km": 2454,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 404142.76609299995,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3876.3597052739883,
    "importer_population": 104258.324,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 20.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 111271.11232999999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 943.9656682091999,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 33.25213992848485,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.736373140606055,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 22.071860761414136,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 11.664512379191915
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-EGY/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-EGY/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-EGY/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-EGY/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-EGY/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}