{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.768Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Ethiopia exports to Brazil: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Ethiopia to Brazil, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ETH",
    "country_name": "Ethiopia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BRA",
    "country_name": "Brazil"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
    "importer_iso3": "BRA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 6,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2000,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 217622.65973478215,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 30308.539852661048,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 217622.65973478215,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 217622.65973478215,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 2,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9616447371812092,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 7602.507273469257,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 86.0728933790267,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "611120",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 187314.1198821211,
    "top_product_description": "Garments and clothing accessories: babies', of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 9960.6796875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 28.836599972525246,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 28.836599972525246,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.6,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1608981.220812,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7519,
    "buyer_population_latest": 213993.439,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.134039194863969,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.688169663595019,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.43419756407150345,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.334000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 16.486,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1608981.220812,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7519,
    "buyer_population_2024": 213993.439
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 244791.6194235454,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 167526.99090637665,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.563428804922978,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 6200.953426416623,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -96.29853470603906,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 4769.112854719403,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.0906519245484,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -73.09206614812022
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 53861.05292793742,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1029.3725807859164,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.493778075296717
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 244209.10374265243,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 353.4057365521397,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 240.22623045855985
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 11067.77582341464,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -95.46791022374094,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.39581319987002
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 108925.61025267755,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 884.1689241865374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.459575854826657
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 632409.9646050389,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 480.58886531644964,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.323738513245445
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 271726.1125624682,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.0332335398652,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 190.64108572355548
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 61289.69964227169,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.44430998394328,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.443267242953297
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 247004.99449698132,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 303.01224502431927,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.902530367833332
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 17809.750819724955,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -92.78972036334974,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -59.681086300740226
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 100734.43693573294,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 465.6139603265299,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.013083167873887
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 17582.733752839344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -82.54545884437032,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -58.55613773919872
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 75848.48065467969,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 331.380476556618,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 62.09253493957591
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 55506.152383893444,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.81969117272116,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.017519676290828
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 46858.73073382531,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.579212895645444,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.64409383931815
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 89624.57621847666,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 91.26547991147469,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.72071130790841
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 88746.12145440411,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9801494201000738,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.93272916298625
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 227356.27731823636,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 156.1872829958515,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 69.2929253763628
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 313001.04018979456,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.66984746661692,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.71885455895862
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 38505.49533873671,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -87.69796569513375,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.295020836942793
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 82937.13126911657,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 115.39037620347506,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.548060812868503
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 61544.96805324217,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.793227820311927,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.850106555357854
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 554974.91993007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 801.7389032519518,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 143.3605701657703
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 237931.07204985892,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.127599193160016,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.09126608958318
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 142027.09887567663,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.307460622076896,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.14768368971459
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "export_value_usd": 498636.97458933736,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 251.08579879239738,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.505245125338319
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "611120",
      "hs_description": "Garments and clothing accessories: babies', of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28920046.05149673,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9501202616823182,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
      "importer_iso3": "BRA",
      "hs_code": "611241",
      "hs_description": "Swimwear: women's or girls', of synthetic fibres, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14504314.573289206,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.032868788081448,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ETH",
    "importer_iso3": "BRA",
    "distance_km": 9946,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1608981.2208119999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7518.834354599067,
    "importer_population": 213993.439,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.6,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 111271.11232999999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 943.9656682091999,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 28.836599972525246,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 28.836599972525246,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-BRA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-BRA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-BRA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-BRA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ETH-BRA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}