{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.965Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Estonia exports to Vietnam: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Estonia to Vietnam, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "EST",
    "country_name": "Estonia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "VNM",
    "country_name": "Vietnam"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "EST",
    "importer_iso3": "VNM",
    "all_history_lane_count": 81,
    "current_lane_count": 25,
    "current_product_count": 25,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 12587930.747124495,
    "attention_trade_usd": 5570182.574977255,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 9663094.78359419,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1663377.7100830465,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 9892444.797027277,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 12,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 9,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 16,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2100950078713115,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 26.280566103885537,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1059.85846003402,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 18.09842282925119,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 47.39062491213753,
    "top_product_hs6": "732690",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 2278216.9320679097,
    "top_product_description": "Iron or steel: articles n.e.s. in heading no. 7326",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "732690",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 7516.7802734375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.00009999999747378752,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 15.775317722988508,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.775317722988508,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 362637.524071,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3694,
    "buyer_population_latest": 98168.831,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.336634047306667,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.513364638435548,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.77292592499143,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.64,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.712,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 44.2501844574389,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 362637.524071,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3694,
    "buyer_population_2024": 98168.831
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 168081.15761765416,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 455132.52886353445,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 170.78141019165037,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 752499.1937904357,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 65.33628032903418,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 1117517.4486143838,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.50746124860335,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 88.03777086296398
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 592820.9748610366,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.95197147963294,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.209871227593137
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 364919.34386842465,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.44358426184811,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.434788836606423
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 589848.1784239691,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.6379587256533,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.184379846976608
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 974745.3964185928,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 65.25360797468949,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.029131247709017
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 971349.0849812104,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.34843062094584987,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.588166777714996
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 1794615.3182252224,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84.7549296100832,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.902888439464526
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 1301911.8478031224,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.454545016887355,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.127757396862581
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 2353308.2545288475,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 80.75787992096983,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.30777699855938
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 5467283.44108441,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 132.32330191180193,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.966194944284574
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 2443713.1853159126,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.30297246064833,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.35484662238061
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 2611844.4481894467,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.8801553260759984,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5355504419823713
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 3569075.500197796,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.64961949291852,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.251618282397637
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 6743944.984292232,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 88.95495441098085,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.26670513864603
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 6092695.7197382795,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.656799782187143,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.62357389030639
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 19295907.123603817,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 216.70557682852248,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 75.51052082716139
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 18300387.507948276,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.159226820892848,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.48111884438057
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 16132306.538246699,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.84718612521145,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.3446361485456
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 6306780.949949189,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.905894423732995,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.116662312606557
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 7927669.306169855,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.70072385713229,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.33499241720377
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 7811749.688020946,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.462215610566553,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.473311340936807
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 25087207.339467425,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 221.147096890954,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.446089090129185
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 14348909.060354555,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.8038806145604,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.868402745091032
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 13395027.037794717,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.64776686887908,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.691991190771162
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 15876407.119705003,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.524636605129285,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.144793732636352
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 19516773.127569042,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.929407015179137,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.797435955516699
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "export_value_usd": 18396245.3314111,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.741357901912092,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.154879627559167
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "732690",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: articles n.e.s. in heading no. 7326",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1703843040.8802783,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7369833596252655,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "851761",
      "hs_description": "Base stations",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 64805773.09631929,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.46011737682959,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2611267974253457,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "291631",
      "hs_description": "Acids: aromatic monocarboxylic acids, benzoic acid, its salts and esters",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11213071.976424774,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 16.289568136032894,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8591844964661597,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "440712",
      "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of fir (Abies spp.) and spruce (Picea spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22910429.137361977,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 15.600893772873373,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.145335183104987,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "852580",
      "hs_description": "Television cameras, digital cameras and video camera recorders",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 620113500.3134439,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 6.221355217730776,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.272163242372563,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "440711",
      "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of pine (Pinus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 165524716.60980392,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 22.577952864819807,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1748956731455864,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "440890",
      "hs_description": "Wood: n.e.s. in heading no. 4408, sheets for veneer or plywood, other wood sawn lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, not thicker than 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 218880994.45250335,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 42.35303570334062,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0298553807457091,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "440796",
      "hs_description": "Wood: of birch (Betula spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, of a thickness exceeding 6mm, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 77951155.49797146,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 42.45363221538184,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0798669962558891,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "843139",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of the machinery of heading no. 8428, (other than lifts, skip hoists or escalators)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 59967804.84490556,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 54.23564967975653,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.426547473660191,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "hs_code": "440399",
      "hs_description": "Wood: in the rough, whether or not stripped of bark or sapwood, or roughly squared, untreated, n.e.c. in heading no. 4403",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 298349167.2132309,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 58.31768879246157,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6716408303086916,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "EST",
    "importer_iso3": "VNM",
    "distance_km": 8527,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 362637.524071,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3694.018970960344,
    "importer_population": 98168.831,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 16,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 15.775317722988508,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.775317722988508,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-VNM/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-VNM/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-VNM/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-VNM/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-VNM/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}