{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.788Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Estonia exports to Uganda: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Estonia to Uganda, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "EST",
    "country_name": "Estonia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "UGA",
    "country_name": "Uganda"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "EST",
    "importer_iso3": "UGA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 7,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2003,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 25838.067546663173,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 25838.067546663173,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "340119",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 25838.067546663173,
    "top_product_description": "Soap and organic surface-active products: in the form of bars, cakes, moulded shapes, and paper, wadding, felt and nonwovens, impregnated, coated or covered with soap or detergent, not for toilet use",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 6611.158203125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03680000081658363,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.63935470076628,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.63935470076628,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 24,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 40434.701516999994,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 858,
    "buyer_population_latest": 47123.531,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.805671720289032,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.56605150525753,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0688087399671105,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.022,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 16.612000000000002,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 40434.701516999994,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 858,
    "buyer_population_2024": 47123.531
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 4139.9422183522,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 7079.0160173900185,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 70.9931115948677,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 50420.3716922242,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 612.2511316313397,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 18205.60440004769,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -63.89236376284916,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 63.83383876738507
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 58484.69401243243,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 221.24555014652097,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 102.157461591398
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1351.694397147314,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -97.68880658440312,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -70.07109528651611
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 11.429324976423235,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.15444459927153,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -91.43740978973496
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 9617.810710652839,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84050.29523171976,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -45.21293933077126
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 91164.46565705385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 847.8712817260862,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 307.0511871831228
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 246517.19571400556,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 170.40930250319667,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2683.6131476149135
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 616014.1433520692,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 149.88688580845766,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 300.10270357938003
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 740202.8452010634,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.160040672640367,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 100.9902790280667
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1461367.7185979693,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 97.4280061299972,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 80.98285307579707
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 824653.2841667769,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.56976182846394,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.211497432739058
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2498342.8793332293,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 202.956761017151,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.00316776904643
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 364003.72598494927,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -85.430193389544,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.08095726902027
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1617871.2342840028,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 344.4655696603771,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.18650653650947
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 862400.3423607493,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.69536585571292,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.851407834383746
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 4007950.4936919073,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 364.74361115401183,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 122.47036795141267
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 822016.2283474139,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.49035973270675,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.204424234533036
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 496129.2696008325,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.644832730583246,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.830904880647214
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 82528.47291258704,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -83.3655303225737,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -72.5909602814135
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 128104.06069883726,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.22407743388542,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -46.18613705796918
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "340119",
      "hs_description": "Soap and organic surface-active products: in the form of bars, cakes, moulded shapes, and paper, wadding, felt and nonwovens, impregnated, coated or covered with soap or detergent, not for toilet use",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18160492.428551283,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "EST",
    "importer_iso3": "UGA",
    "distance_km": 6592,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 40434.701517,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 858.0575491467309,
    "importer_population": 47123.531,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 24,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 40.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.63935470076628,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.63935470076628,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-UGA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-UGA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-UGA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-UGA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-UGA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}