{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.904Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Estonia exports to Taiwan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Estonia to Taiwan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "EST",
    "country_name": "Estonia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "TWN",
    "country_name": "Taiwan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "EST",
    "importer_iso3": "TWN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 71,
    "current_lane_count": 25,
    "current_product_count": 25,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 25066489.90632082,
    "attention_trade_usd": 19867007.40400888,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 20738351.849821273,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 6251074.962108754,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2680112.348354817,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 25066489.90632082,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 11,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 14,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 12,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 25,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.8394649666136476,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 32.71001146550699,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3794.803330987396,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 58.98962066086906,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 79.25723736453094,
    "top_product_hs6": "852349",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 14786627.308733685,
    "top_product_description": "Optical media: recorded, excluding products of Chapter 37",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "852349",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 8003.3681640625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 610872,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 25889,
    "buyer_population_latest": 23596.027,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": null,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": null,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Macro trend unavailable",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 79.25723736453094,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 610872,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 25889,
    "buyer_population_2024": 23596.027
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 1116494.1462007898,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 1494231.1690210507,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.83242304544325,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 988599.2146684667,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.83893769823113,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 1800937.4923942431,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 82.17063757209229,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.27732810592506
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 3989892.0077890907,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 121.54527986891748,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.73342769794821
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 5455593.738757022,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.73537349147744,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 76.71520562334355
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 2670799.6934332126,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.04474744041853,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.037466273065014
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 3917882.857124217,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.69324946970941,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6052524026587291
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 3446796.873376449,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.023993593661242,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.192636918405377
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 5419700.2333066715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.238747521480285,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.603190234909736
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 5203537.228175021,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.9884679193735617,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.921439324876147
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 9645480.945945572,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 85.36392694029837,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.91895015838598
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 57316424.36572468,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 494.23085989110103,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 119.50004205603308
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 9317375.016005235,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -83.74397021601885,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.43157741149706
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 11061085.311174111,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.7146089126343,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.670576982243269
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 11466233.391534189,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.662823936009141,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.514631675156
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 8103406.629919017,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.328085752188095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.546611021835578
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 9651961.2046975,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.109920623518796,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.440777273601338
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 9940096.354581615,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.985249772283405,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.6494346779938915
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 21320345.191556685,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 114.48831511305882,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.05184013216252
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 23403528.334977712,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.77086967731655,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.34512851135785
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 16052581.2895076,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.409567567142282,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.323432678806803
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 14251105.631441293,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.222342535301777,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.565108442548834
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 13938335.136489913,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.194710382760301,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.865034325162352
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 11264687.32009944,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.181973960369113,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.136225812649336
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 32813102.54014766,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 191.29172970118447,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.04832971760665
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 31672657.184347194,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.4755791665999958,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.469355079459316
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 31663095.166728977,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.030190133914442807,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.127422016453544
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 33540489.8081743,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.9292833867298445,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.733525772188437
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "export_value_usd": 30759864.206602022,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.290354784546405,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9700321814854251
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "852349",
      "hs_description": "Optical media: recorded, excluding products of Chapter 37",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 226930165.13128543,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 19.106790320328283,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0837984795672586,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2885708331.6475205,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 79.01465884416133,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3110899062879855,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "210220",
      "hs_description": "Yeasts: inactive, other single-cell micro-organisms, dead",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10856179.19304634,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.042758524239497,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "902519",
      "hs_description": "Thermometers and pyrometers: (other than liquid filled, for direct reading), not combined with other instruments",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 67200547.16871169,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 38.018678342563945,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9144592411092916,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "851769",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the transmission or reception of voice, images or other data (including wired/wireless networks), n.e.c. in item no. 8517.6",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 158822199.5090452,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 90.09159258590799,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9706327814770253,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "871410",
      "hs_description": "Motorcycles (including mopeds): parts and accessories",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 108401880.99045226,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.609710662621911,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "310590",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: n.e.s. in heading no. 3105",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10778080.284045408,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 11.10622940723439,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6607105373404832,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "440712",
      "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of fir (Abies spp.) and spruce (Picea spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 92473864.54988562,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.53440789635233,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8244818331828415,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "902750",
      "hs_description": "Instruments and apparatus: using optical radiations (UV, visible, IR), (other than spectrometers, spectrophotometers and spectrographs)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 232671472.06371525,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 74.91658827963919,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7291662346422361,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "TWN",
      "hs_code": "440711",
      "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of pine (Pinus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 77911773.7685169,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 52.23426388534481,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8565141738686246,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "EST",
    "importer_iso3": "TWN",
    "distance_km": 8011,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 610872,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 25888.765087444594,
    "importer_population": 23596.027,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-TWN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-TWN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-TWN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-TWN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-TWN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}