{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.793Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Estonia exports to Sudan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Estonia to Sudan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "EST",
    "country_name": "Estonia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SDN",
    "country_name": "Sudan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "EST",
    "importer_iso3": "SDN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 4,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2019,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 22181.49210563482,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 22181.49210563482,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 22181.49210563482,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8462894305308447,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 55.857525107806815,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "841370",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 22181.49210563482,
    "top_product_description": "Pumps: centrifugal, n.e.c. in heading no. 8413, for liquids",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 4923.740234375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.247340087719298,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.247340087719298,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 34.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 34326.058557,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 764,
    "buyer_population_latest": 44909.351,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.963299846148697,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.75887703740905,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.064861974623877,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.215999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 20.823999999999998,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 34326.058557,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 764,
    "buyer_population_2024": 44909.351
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 10828.028702797103,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 10782.229485797472,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.42296911336963117,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 3254.205064960309,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -69.81881094956474,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 380127.93292174477,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11581.13027094625,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 227.43627817593648
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 515660.356173228,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.654423554131355,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 262.9819736854289
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 578774.1422904917,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.239410177978005,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 462.3690368679988
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 638472.3523475779,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.314595227221313,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.86959160036723
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 14385614.663599305,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2153.1303995709936,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 203.28776655521045
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 1095804.0699999996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -92.38263991059922,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.7108895419188
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 368924.8099999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -66.33295859176722,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.708901706650934
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 1322946.8399999996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 258.59524871748255,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -54.86244921275364
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 137319.84,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -89.6201543517803,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -49.958138121804254
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 644595.5792406056,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 369.4118338913048,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.443440698703764
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "hs_code": "841370",
      "hs_description": "Pumps: centrifugal, n.e.c. in heading no. 8413, for liquids",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10853458.677718299,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.857525107806815,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8462894305308447,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "EST",
    "importer_iso3": "SDN",
    "distance_km": 4913,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 34326.058557,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 764.341006776072,
    "importer_population": 44909.351,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 34.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.8,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.247340087719298,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.247340087719298,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-SDN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-SDN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-SDN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-SDN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-SDN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}