{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.255Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Estonia exports to Poland: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Estonia to Poland, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "EST",
    "country_name": "Estonia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "POL",
    "country_name": "Poland"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "EST",
    "importer_iso3": "POL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 481,
    "current_lane_count": 370,
    "current_product_count": 370,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 458734272.7356695,
    "attention_trade_usd": 89311886.215468,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 302719162.78175455,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 79549089.3664673,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 388672.693825768,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 85481100.93491022,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 31,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 241,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 132,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 2,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 99,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3235848818008014,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 25.30714432813509,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 137.0962754311225,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 4.736754506499676,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 12.311128773843528,
    "top_product_hs6": "440890",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 21729116.33666534,
    "top_product_description": "Wood: n.e.s. in heading no. 4408, sheets for veneer or plywood, other wood sawn lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, not thicker than 6mm",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "940510",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 831.039306640625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.35342708230018616,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.625901331632184,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.061643003448277,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.054926749616858235,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 6.006716253831419,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 674048.2663969999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17841,
    "buyer_population_latest": 37781.025,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.774876361756622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.599090635201723,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.7520265621440814,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.94,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.524,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 19.469198515047736,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 674048.2663969999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17841,
    "buyer_population_2024": 37781.025
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 17676492.409970067,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 22133238.004866887,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.212839128554055,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 24982179.918163016,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.87178095075685,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 15199999.967500506,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.156630777246484,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.906865002229699
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 17423022.212037288,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.625146376907106,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.666454548463508
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 27646135.082124125,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 58.67588725808919,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4351220677178773
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 32446510.7319927,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.36364101386627,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.75817259986386
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 35254324.85555458,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.653670487881882,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.48226589356224
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 53714720.3815086,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.363491859766675,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.782293737881076
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 71893571.07388447,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.84333114509515,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.36890528738454
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 87048576.56896178,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.079778440137066,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.160489908931595
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 101824577.1944202,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.974431068097417,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.76174725222566
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 145319501.6819431,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.71554636998416,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.438096176025706
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 197071097.38948587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.61228541838115,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.30676054491932
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 140304836.10687035,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.804965332092426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.277324495249363
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 179977672.53757378,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.276171749692637,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.390264102899824
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 229048799.0721448,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.265118968757918,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.140094098392911
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 181175243.38148695,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.901028900648743,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.895200164809335
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 212834289.96331766,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.474267450089,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.7485259955177614
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 239907609.60520723,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.72037492011071,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.555941048336562
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 235781951.21483698,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.71968633973697,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.178528007403175
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 229339233.51277563,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.732489772379121,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.5208628258119425
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 264986376.77820626,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.54341257683014,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3696806304764015
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 345654797.5371253,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.442478492559832,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.59974170224767
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 318089818.1226654,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.974713387711407,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.521123766416007
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 332003053.35286164,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.373995782798312,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.80515051882078
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 515323602.1693142,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.21652495816496,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.238497266462225
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 546251444.494141,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.0016351268664,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.751494890660638
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 559139430.5963397,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.3593504844886315,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.975995503346454
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 527119901.0556254,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.726573335485297,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7572857418502554
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "440890",
      "hs_description": "Wood: n.e.s. in heading no. 4408, sheets for veneer or plywood, other wood sawn lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, not thicker than 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 135361140.1623541,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 13.07309227835314,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7856636885780944,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "010229",
      "hs_description": "Cattle: live, other than pure-bred breeding animals",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 167425172.2951697,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.9042228669709944,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2547253778550767,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "440910",
      "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous (including unassembled strips and friezes for parquet flooring), continuously shaped along any edges, ends or faces, whether or not planed, sanded or end-jointed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48002316.586416416,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 12.753280088116291,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9005765166438736,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "441899",
      "hs_description": "Wood: builders' joinery and carpentry of wood n.e.c. in heading no. 4418, other than of bamboo or cellular wood panels",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 71091844.80716749,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 26.628410809417392,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2192378105258639,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "940510",
      "hs_description": "Chandeliers and other electric ceiling or wall light fittings: excluding those used for lighting public open spaces or thoroughfares",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 368126253.0681038,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.417153952915523,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.255289708333993,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "843120",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of the machinery of heading no. 8427",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 161182114.94608077,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 9.264624120432527,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9714261199421292,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "852580",
      "hs_description": "Television cameras, digital cameras and video camera recorders",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 705330681.3190486,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.495265891133835,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "330499",
      "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1237369515.6542702,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6289078939198058,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "321410",
      "hs_description": "Mastics: painters' fillings",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 219992308.99364498,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 17.147514871162564,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0469839343609249,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "EST",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "842121",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: for filtering or purifying water",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 177246679.45779723,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 4.572825203186266,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3896888639509757,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "EST",
    "importer_iso3": "POL",
    "distance_km": 836,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512,
    "importer_population": 37781.025,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 11.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.625901331632184,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.061643003448277,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.054926749616858235,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 6.006716253831419
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-POL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-POL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-POL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-POL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/EST-POL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}